540 Wood St · Burnham, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COMING SOON: SHOWINGS BEGIN MAY 1ST. This lovingly maintained home has plenty of room for gatherings indoors and outdoors with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a large family room addition. The main floor has a kitchen/dining room space with a breakfast bar, tile backsplash, LVP flooring and mini-split for comfort. Two first floor bedrooms and a full bath make one floor living possible, along with a main floor laundry room. The expansive family room is a great place to gather around the hand laid stone fireplace; the cathedral ceiling and tongue and groove wood give this room a cozy, welcoming feel. Imagine hosting holidays in this room! A sliding door leads to the outside patio, covered for those rainy days. The upstairs was expanded with twin dormers on either side making the primary bedroom larger and adding a walk-in-closet and full bath with a skylight. A fourth bedroom is used as an office or hobby space- use your imagination! Below grade there is a rec room and storage spaces. Walk outside to the rear of this quiet property and find a two car garage with additional workshop. The entire property sits on . 33 acres off of a side street that has low traffic. The big updates have been done with a roof (2021), replacement windows, 3 wall-mounted mini-splits and 200 amp electrical box. A wood burning fireplace and propane stove in the family room provide auxiliary heat. Situated just outside of Burnham, this home offers convenience with a rural feel. Call soon for a showing! MORE PHOTOS COMING SOON!
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($266/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#634 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Derry El Sch (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 276 students, 100% FRL); Mifflin Co Ms (math 16% / reading 51%, grade F, #342 of 512 statewide, top 67%, 689 students, 59% FRL); Mifflin Co Hs (math 76% / reading 24%, grade D+, #133 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 1,086 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 44% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
- Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.39%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,058
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- 29.59%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $107,142
- Equity at exit
- $191,298
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $309,983
- Equity at exit
- $384,761
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17009
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $92 | +0% $22 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-57 | +0% $22 | +5% $101 | +10% $180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $146 | -0.5pp $85 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 4th Ave Burnham, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $2,000 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $245,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $245,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $245,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $260,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $260,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$275,000 Active 1521-char remark
Show marketing remark (1521 chars)
COMING SOON: SHOWINGS BEGIN MAY 1ST. This lovingly maintained home has plenty of room for gatherings indoors and outdoors with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a large family room addition. The main floor has a kitchen/dining room space with a breakfast bar, tile backsplash, LVP flooring and mini-split for comfort. Two first floor bedrooms and a full bath make one floor living possible, along with a main floor laundry room. The expansive family room is a great place to gather around the hand laid stone fireplace; the cathedral ceiling and tongue and groove wood give this room a cozy, welcoming feel. Imagine hosting holidays in this room! A sliding door leads to the outside patio, covered for those rainy days. The upstairs was expanded with twin dormers on either side making the primary bedroom larger and adding a walk-in-closet and full bath with a skylight. A fourth bedroom is used as an office or hobby space- use your imagination! Below grade there is a rec room and storage spaces. Walk outside to the rear of this quiet property and find a two car garage with additional workshop. The entire property sits on . 33 acres off of a side street that has low traffic. The big updates have been done with a roof (2021), replacement windows, 3 wall-mounted mini-splits and 200 amp electrical box. A wood burning fireplace and propane stove in the family room provide auxiliary heat. Situated just outside of Burnham, this home offers convenience with a rural feel. Call soon for a showing! MORE PHOTOS COMING SOON!
-
2026-04-17historical $275,000 1521-char remark
Show marketing remark (1521 chars)
COMING SOON: SHOWINGS BEGIN MAY 1ST. This lovingly maintained home has plenty of room for gatherings indoors and outdoors with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a large family room addition. The main floor has a kitchen/dining room space with a breakfast bar, tile backsplash, LVP flooring and mini-split for comfort. Two first floor bedrooms and a full bath make one floor living possible, along with a main floor laundry room. The expansive family room is a great place to gather around the hand laid stone fireplace; the cathedral ceiling and tongue and groove wood give this room a cozy, welcoming feel. Imagine hosting holidays in this room! A sliding door leads to the outside patio, covered for those rainy days. The upstairs was expanded with twin dormers on either side making the primary bedroom larger and adding a walk-in-closet and full bath with a skylight. A fourth bedroom is used as an office or hobby space- use your imagination! Below grade there is a rec room and storage spaces. Walk outside to the rear of this quiet property and find a two car garage with additional workshop. The entire property sits on . 33 acres off of a side street that has low traffic. The big updates have been done with a roof (2021), replacement windows, 3 wall-mounted mini-splits and 200 amp electrical box. A wood burning fireplace and propane stove in the family room provide auxiliary heat. Situated just outside of Burnham, this home offers convenience with a rural feel. Call soon for a showing! MORE PHOTOS COMING SOON!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,051 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,961 · $247/mo
- Expected delta
- +$910/yr (+$76/mo · 44.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$2,051
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$3,967
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$952
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mifflin County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215290
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,718
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5755
- State rank
- #380 of 539 in PA
Livability — Burnham
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #634
- US rank
- #6172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burnham, PA
- City population
- 2,804
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,682
Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,611 people
- By 2030
- 43,212 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 40,197 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,813 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 28,833 · -35.4%
- By 2100
- 20,296 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.31%
- Current HPI
- 249.4239
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-17 Coming Soon $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,051 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…