3620 Radial Ave · Albany, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ranch home on level lot. Needs some TLC, bring your tool kits and restore the beauty. Nice opportunity to add to investment portfolio or a homebuyer looking to customize their home. Make an offer today!
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-story detached single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as of listing (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $120k implies a 492% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.21%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $23,987
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3706 Parr Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-3%) | 13mo | $24,000 | $17 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,980
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $51,412
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31705
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,269/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2025-10-06$119,900 Active
-
2018-05-11soldstatus $20,260 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Wonderful opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ranch home on level lot. Needs some TLC, bring your tool kits and restore the beauty. Nice opportunity to add to investment portfolio or a homebuyer looking to customize their home. Make an offer today!
-
2018-02-13$21,400 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Wonderful opportunity to own this 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ranch home on level lot. Needs some TLC, bring your tool kits and restore the beauty. Nice opportunity to add to investment portfolio or a homebuyer looking to customize their home. Make an offer today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,269 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,269 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,405
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,269
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $868
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,548/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dougherty County
- NCES district ID
- 1301830
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,105
- Composite
- 11.31/100
- National rank
- #9716
- State rank
- #163 of 174 in GA
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #18903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dougherty County · 89,040 people
- City population
- 89,040
- Metro
- Albany, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,791
- Household income
- $42,972
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1933.0
Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,551 people
- By 2030
- 80,637 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 72,090 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 64,056 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 46,332 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 33,127 · -60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.46%
- Current HPI
- 152.4574
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.10%
- Metro
- Albany, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+460.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — SWGABOR
- 2025-10-06 Listed $119,900 SWGABOR
- 2018-05-11 Sold (MLS) $20,260 GAMLS
- 2018-02-13 Listed $21,400 GAMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,269 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…