13668 Agnes St · Southgate, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1947
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in DIX-TOLEDO HWY SUB subdivision; Cross streets: Trenton / Burns
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Above-grade finished living area and additional finished space below grade
- Exterior features: 40 x 106 lot (0.11 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement with block construction; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.2% in Southgate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in MI, #582 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Southgate Community School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #379 of 540 in MI (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Fordline Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 288 students, 64% FRL); Davidson Middle School (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #343 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 631 students, 52% FRL); Southgate Anderson High School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 990 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.40%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,517
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- 6.96%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14420 Trenton Rd | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (+1%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $181 | 73 |
| 14268 Trenton Rd | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (+1%) | 8mo | $172,000 | $189 | 72 |
| 13620 Poplar St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 824 (-8%) | 2mo | $156,000 | $189 | 66 |
| 14359 Irene St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 824 (-8%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $182 | 63 |
| 14056 Irene St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-15%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $156 | 61 |
| 14733 Trenton Rd | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (+1%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $187 | 60 |
| 12461 Agnes St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 922 (+3%) | 11mo | $183,000 | $198 | 58 |
| 12532 Pearl St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 831 (-8%) | 3mo | $89,400 | $108 | 54 |
| 13199 Irene St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 772 (-14%) | 8mo | $99,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 14639 Trenton Rd | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 824 (-8%) | 11mo | $157,000 | $191 | 48 |
| 12773 Walnut St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (+13%) | 6mo | $152,000 | $150 | 40 |
| 13803 Sycamore St | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $169 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,388
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,555
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48195
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $148 | +0% $98 | +5% $49 | +10% $-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $34 | +0% $98 | +5% $162 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $143 | base $98 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13020 Pullman St Southgate, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 13750 Village Green Blvd Southgate, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,620 | $1.88 | 0d | 10 | 0.71mi |
| 13185 Sycamore St Southgate, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 13210 Village Park Dr Southgate, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,125 | $1.78 | 0d | 9 | 0.88mi |
| 4163 Burns Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13861 Strathcona St Southgate, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 797 | $1,140 | $1.43 | 0d | 5 | 1.17mi |
| 11400 Fordline St Allen Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,400 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1650 19th St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,899 | $1.73 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1750 Saint Johns Blvd Unit 17 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1760 Saint Johns Blvd Apt 14 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1130 21st St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,420 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1569 Sycamore St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1163 17th St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,695 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!
-
2026-05-10status Pending 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!
-
2026-05-07$174,900 Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!
-
2026-05-07$174,900 Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!
-
2026-05-07historical $174,900 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!
-
1992-07-22soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,221 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,457 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$236/yr (+$20/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,221
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$1,735
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$416
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southgate Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632340
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,234
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7591
- State rank
- #379 of 540 in MI
Livability — Southgate
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southgate, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 29,366
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,366
- Household income
- $66,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 727.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.28%
- Current HPI
- 207.9776
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $180,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $174,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,221 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…