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13668 Agnes St
D Composite 42.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

13668 Agnes St · Southgate, MI 48195
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 899 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1947 4,792 sqft lot $195/sqft · 40% above area Est $164k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in DIX-TOLEDO HWY SUB subdivision; Cross streets: Trenton / Burns
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Above-grade finished living area and additional finished space below grade
  • Exterior features: 40 x 106 lot (0.11 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with block construction; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.2% in Southgate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in MI, #582 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Southgate Community School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #379 of 540 in MI (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Fordline Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 288 students, 64% FRL); Davidson Middle School (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #343 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 631 students, 52% FRL); Southgate Anderson High School (math 22% / reading 62%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 990 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $161,165 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.40%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,517
List price
$174,900
Delta
6.96%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14420 Trenton Rd 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 910 (+1%) 3mo $165,000 $181 73
14268 Trenton Rd 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 910 (+1%) 8mo $172,000 $189 72
13620 Poplar St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 824 (-8%) 2mo $156,000 $189 66
14359 Irene St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 824 (-8%) 4mo $149,900 $182 63
14056 Irene St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-15%) 2mo $120,000 $156 61
14733 Trenton Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 910 (+1%) 8mo $170,000 $187 60
12461 Agnes St 0.61mi 3/1.0 922 (+3%) 11mo $183,000 $198 58
12532 Pearl St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 831 (-8%) 3mo $89,400 $108 54
13199 Irene St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 772 (-14%) 8mo $99,000 $128 52
14639 Trenton Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 824 (-8%) 11mo $157,000 $191 48
12773 Walnut St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,016 (+13%) 6mo $152,000 $150 40
13803 Sycamore St 0.60mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+12%) 9mo $170,000 $169 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-20,388
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,555
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48195

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,221/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,488
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $197 -5% $148 +0% $98 +5% $49 +10% $-1
Rent -10% $-29 -5% $34 +0% $98 +5% $162 +10% $225
Rate -1.0pp $186 -0.5pp $143 base $98 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13020 Pullman St Southgate, MI 4.0 1.0 1050 $1,550 $1.48 4d 1 0.66mi
13750 Village Green Blvd Southgate, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 862 $1,620 $1.88 0d 10 0.71mi
13185 Sycamore St Southgate, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,700 $1.57 26d 1 0.80mi
13210 Village Park Dr Southgate, MI 2.0 1.0 630 $1,125 $1.78 0d 9 0.88mi
4163 Burns Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 3d 1 1.05mi
13861 Strathcona St Southgate, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 797 $1,140 $1.43 0d 5 1.17mi
11400 Fordline St Allen Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 0d 1 1.20mi
1650 19th St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,899 $1.73 20d 1 1.21mi
1750 Saint Johns Blvd Unit 17 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,025 $1.37 26d 1 1.22mi
1760 Saint Johns Blvd Apt 14 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 26d 1 1.22mi
1130 21st St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 864 $1,420 $1.64 0d 1 1.24mi
1569 Sycamore St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 944 $1,695 $1.80 45d 1 1.34mi
1163 17th St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,695 $1.68 45d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    * * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!

  2. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    * * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!

  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $174,900 Active 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    * * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!

  4. 2026-05-07
    listed $174,900 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    * * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!

  5. 2026-05-07
    historical $174,900 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    * * MULTIPLE OFFERS - ALL OFFERS DUE BY 5/9 @ 6:30PM * * Incredible value in the heart of Southgate! This beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch offers the perfect blend of charm, updates, and functionality. Step inside to be greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, a freshly remodeled gourmet kitchen complete with brand new stainless steel appliances, spacious bedrooms, and a warm, inviting layout throughout. The fully finished basement provides nice additional living space perfect for entertaining, a home office, gym, or recreation area. Complete with a 2-car garage, great curb appeal, and located close to shopping, dining, parks, and schools — this move-in ready gem is one you won’t want to miss. Appliances included. Updated mechanicals. Schedule your private tour today!

  6. 1992-07-22
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,221 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,457 · $205/mo
Expected delta
+$236/yr (+$20/mo · 10.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,340
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,221
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,547
− Management
−$1,547
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$1,735
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$416
After-tax cash flow
$1,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southgate Community School District
NCES district ID
2632340
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,234
Composite
24.83/100
National rank
#7591
State rank
#379 of 540 in MI

Livability — Southgate

Score
85/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southgate, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
29,366
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
29,366
Household income
$66,118
Rent vs Own
32.8% rent · 67.2% own
Severe rent burden
727.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.28%
Current HPI
207.9776
Rent YoY
▲ 4.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $180,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $174,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1992-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,221 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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