Duplex
121 Park St · Potsdam, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
New investment opportunity at 121 Park Street in Potsdam! This updated 2-unit property is a great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage by renting one unit while living in the other. The property features one 3-bedroom, 1-bath unit and one 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit. Many updates have already been completed, including updated kitchens and bathrooms throughout. Separate utilities with 2 furnaces, 2 electric water heaters, and two separate 100-amp electric entrances make management convenient for owners and tenants alike. Both units also feature their own laundry hookups.
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Updated bathrooms
- Updated kitchens
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $130k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $409/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.6% in Potsdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in NY, #3,908 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Potsdam Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #258 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lawrence Avenue Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 551 students, 39% FRL); A A Kingston Middle School (math 27% / reading 54%, grade F, #409 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 368 students, 40% FRL); Potsdam Senior High School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 372 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.94%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,293
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -47.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Noreen Dr | 2.11mi | 4/1.5 (-2) | 1,800 (-2%) | 45mo | $230,000 | $128 | 30 |
| 23 Ridge St | 2.11mi | 4/1.5 (-2) | 1,772 (-3%) | 44mo | $115,100 | $65 | 28 |
| 14 Circle Dr | 2.19mi | 4/1.5 (-2) | 1,928 (+6%) | 34mo | $238,000 | $123 | 24 |
| 13 Haggerty Rd | 2.14mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,240 (+22%) | 11mo | $343,000 | $153 | 24 |
| 9 Circle Dr | 2.15mi | 4/2.5 (-2) | 2,068 (+13%) | 12mo | $229,900 | $111 | 21 |
| 55 Elm St | 2.10mi | 4/2.0 (-2) | 1,992 (+9%) | 29mo | $145,000 | $73 | 20 |
| 39 Elm St | 2.14mi | 4/1.5 (-2) | 2,088 (+14%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $81 | 16 |
| 31 Maple St | 1.75mi | 5/1.0 (-1) | 2,064 (+13%) | 38mo | $169,600 | $82 | 14 |
| 34 Sissonville Rd | 2.16mi | 4/2.0 (-2) | 1,300 (-29%) | 35mo | $121,000 | $93 | 10 |
| 32 Maple St | 1.77mi | 4/2.5 (-2) | 2,148 (+18%) | 29mo | $399,000 | $186 | 8 |
| 25 Circle Dr | 2.12mi | 4/2.5 (-2) | 2,176 (+19%) | 29mo | $270,000 | $124 | 8 |
| 431 River Rd | 1.60mi | 4/1.0 (-2) | 1,522 (-17%) | 46mo | $160,300 | $105 | 6 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $123,013
- Equity at exit
- $117,114
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.84×
- Total profit
- $321,660
- Equity at exit
- $252,561
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13676
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,442 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$376 /mo · $4,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $817
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,200 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,243 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,442 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $891 | -5% $854 | +0% $817 | +5% $780 | +10% $744 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $624 | -5% $721 | +0% $817 | +5% $914 | +10% $1,010 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $883 | -0.5pp $850 | base $817 | +0.5pp $783 | +1.0pp $749 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableNatural gas available
- Home design
- Multi-family residential income property2 stories
- Construction
- Wood sidingMetal and shingle roof
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porchLevel lotPublic maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- MicrowaveRefrigeratorElectric cooktopGas cooktop
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heating
- Interior features
- Insulated windowsTotal of 9 rooms
- Laundry & utility
- Electric water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $130,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $130,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $130,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $130,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $130,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $130,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $130,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $130,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-29pricedays on market $130,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $149,500 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $149,500 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $149,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $149,500 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $149,500 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $149,500 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $149,500 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $149,500 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $149,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $149,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $149,500 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $149,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $149,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $149,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $149,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $149,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $149,500 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $149,500 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $149,500 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $149,500 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $149,500 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $149,500 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $149,500 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $149,500 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $149,500 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $149,500 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $149,500 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $149,500 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $149,500 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $149,500 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $149,500 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $149,500 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,500 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,500 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,500 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $149,500 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $149,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,500 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,500 Active 26 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,514 · $376/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,514 · $376/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$4,514
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,344
- − Management
- −$2,344
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $8,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,792/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This 2-unit property requires moderate repairs, particularly to the exterior siding, and some maintenance to the interior. Repainting and replacing carpet would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Weathered and in need of repainting.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Repainting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves living space and rental appeal. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Potsdam Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623670
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,144
- Composite
- 50.05/100
- National rank
- #1915
- State rank
- #258 of 590 in NY
Livability — Potsdam
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #249
- US rank
- #3908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- St. Lawrence · 110,027 people
- City population
- 2,123
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,408
- Household income
- $56,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 25% of renters
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 48.01%
- Current HPI
- 318.7704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-16.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $149,500 SLCMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $150,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $167,000 SLCMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $179,000 SLCMLS
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,514 · +127.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…