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7425 Church St #2
D+ Composite 48.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

7425 Church St #2 · Yucca Valley, CA 92284
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 804 sqft · Manufactured public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1974 $44/sqft · 10% below area Est $39k · 10% under ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICED TO SELL!!!! Beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home in a welcoming, amenity-filled community. This home features sound-dampening floors, a new ductless A/C system, central heating, and an upgraded kitchen and bathroom. Enjoy the spacious gated yard—perfect for pets, gardening, or relaxing outdoors—plus a sunroom and covered carport for added convenience. Community amenities include a pool, indoor spa, clubhouse, fitness room, and billiards room. Move-in ready, stylish, and located in a friendly neighborhood—this home has it all!

Key facts

  • Upgraded bathroom
  • Remodeled
  • Spacious gated yard

Tags

REMODELEDSOUND-DAMPENING FLOORSDUCTLESS A/C SYSTEMUPGRADED KITCHENUPGRADED BATHROOMSPACIOUS GATED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area source: Seller provided
  • Financial info: Land lease: $700 per month
  • HOA & community: Part of an association; Senior community; Community setting: Rural; Park name: Aztec; Manager approval required; Pets: contact manager

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Parking available
  • Utilities: Public/District water; Septic (soils analysis)
  • Home design: Single-story; Mobile home remains on site; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Mobile home (80 x 12); Year built (per seller)
  • Exterior features: No pool; Level with street lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Front door entry; All bedrooms located on the ground level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.7% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools F, crime D-.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $33,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.51%
Cap rate
40.72%
Cash-on-cash
122.96%
DSCR
6.47
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,704
List price
$35,000
Delta
-9.57%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7425 Church St #59 0.00mi 2/1.5 780 (-3%) 4mo $25,000 $32 90
7425 Church St #97 0.13mi 2/2.0 800 (-0%) 12mo $41,500 $52 79
56254 29 Palms Hwy #38 0.56mi 1/1.0 (-1) 780 (-3%) 0mo $50,000 $64 64
7425 Church St #43 0.05mi 1/1.0 (-1) 728 (-10%) 19mo $24,500 $34 61
7425 Church St #58 0.13mi 2/1.0 696 (-13%) 20mo $33,000 $47 55
56254 29 Palms Hwy #120 0.56mi 1/1.0 (-1) 720 (-10%) 1mo $32,000 $44 51
56254 29 Palms Hwy #66 0.33mi 2/2.0 720 (-10%) 16mo $47,500 $66 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.13×
Total profit
$60,103
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.52×
Total profit
$142,329
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92284

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
563
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$1,004

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,028 -5% $1,016 +0% $1,004 +5% $992 +10% $980
Rent -10% $880 -5% $942 +0% $1,004 +5% $1,066 +10% $1,129
Rate -1.0pp $1,022 -0.5pp $1,013 base $1,004 +0.5pp $995 +1.0pp $986

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7496 Church St Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 2.0 987 $1,850 $1.87 19d 1 0.23mi
7389 Cibola Trl Unit B Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 15d 1 0.28mi
7616 Apache Trl Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,900 $1.88 44d 1 0.54mi
7434 Cherokee Trl Unit D Yucca Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 608 $1,100 $1.81 44d 1 0.65mi
7239 Cherokee Trl Yucca Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,429 $2.60 0d 1 0.71mi
6936 Grand Ave Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 785 $1,600 $2.04 19d 1 0.78mi
7154 Barberry Ave Unit A Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,049 $1.86 19d 1 0.80mi
56565 Sunnyslope Dr Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 44d 1 0.80mi
7330 Dumosa Ave Unit 7330 Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 3d 1 0.90mi
56769 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 11d 1 0.95mi
57472 Primrose Dr Unit 3 Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $35,000 Active 577-char remark
  16. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-27
    historical
  18. 2026-03-07
    status Pending Sale
  19. 2026-01-08
    price $35,000
  20. 2026-01-05
    listed $39,895 Active
  21. 2026-01-05
    historical
  22. 2025-12-08
    price $39,895
  23. 2025-11-16
    price $47,995
  24. 2025-09-27
    listed $52,995 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,927
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,514
− Management
−$1,514
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$12,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,933
After-tax cash flow
$9,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yucca Valley

Score
60/100
State rank
#566
US rank
#18584

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yucca Valley, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
25,415
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,415
Household income
$58,373
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.13%
Current HPI
486.7185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $35,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $35,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $39,895 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $39,895 GPSMLS
  • 2025-11-16 Price Changed $47,995 GPSMLS
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $52,995 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2015): $64 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…