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128 Hamilton St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 83.64
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$325,000

128 Hamilton St · Albany, NY 12207
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 5,430 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1858 2,613 sqft lot Est $624k · 48% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

39-year owner with long term tenants makes for a great investment as projected rents could approach $5,500/month with garage rented separately. Priced well below other 4-unit properties and those with similar rent potential, especially with an oversized 2-car garage accessible from the yard or Van Zandt Street. Although some apartments are listed as 1 bedroom, the tenants have elected to use them as 2 bedrooms. Seller pays approximately $3,947.16 for utilities annually (2025). Close to MVP Arena, Empire State Plaza, Albany Capital Center, Cafe Capriccio and I-87. Property was under contract for a long period of time only to have the buyers financing fail at last minute.

Key facts

  • Close to mvp arena
  • 2,613 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

OVERSIZED 2-CAR GARAGEACCESSIBLE FROM THE YARDCLOSE TO MVP ARENACLOSE TO EMPIRE STATE PLAZACLOSE TO ALBANY CAPITAL CENTERCLOSE TO CAFE CAPRICCIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $325,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$624,450) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($59k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $325k).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 5 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $300k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1858 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $320,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1858 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
24.57%
Cash-on-cash
65.27%
DSCR
3.90
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$624,450
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Jefferson St 0.45mi 7/4.0 (+1) 5,420 (-0%) 3mo $625,000 $115 67
11 Elm St 0.09mi 7/4.0 (+1) 4,680 (-14%) 13mo $425,000 $91 53
285 Lark St 0.67mi 6/5.0 5,196 (-4%) 2mo $445,000 $86 52
324 Hudson Ave 0.59mi 6/7.0 4,940 (-9%) 0mo $739,000 $150 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 5.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.9%
Equity multiple
5.20×
Total profit
$382,001
Equity at exit
$146,134
10-year hold
IRR
73.4%
Equity multiple
11.59×
Total profit
$963,869
Equity at exit
$225,210

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12207

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,340 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$589 /mo · $7,070/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,961
Net cashflow
$4,950

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,075
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5,134 -5% $5,042 +0% $4,950 +5% $4,858 +10% $4,766
Rent -10% $4,212 -5% $4,581 +0% $4,950 +5% $5,319 +10% $5,688
Rate -1.0pp $5,113 -0.5pp $5,032 base $4,950 +0.5pp $4,865 +1.0pp $4,780

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $9,340

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    price $325,000
  3. 2026-03-31
    listed $625,000 Active
  4. 2025-12-04
    status Pending
  5. 2025-11-28
    historical
  6. 2025-11-03
    price $325,000
  7. 2025-09-06
    status Active
  8. 2025-08-26
    status Pending
  9. 2025-08-23
    historical $950
  10. 2025-08-22
    listed $350,000 Active
  11. 2025-08-07
    listed $950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,070 · $589/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,070 · $589/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$112,080
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$7,070
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,966
− Management
−$8,966
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable income
$57,793
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$13,870
After-tax cash flow
$45,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
116,921
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
1,988
Household income
$58,998
Rent vs Own
96.0% rent · 4.0% own
Severe rent burden
182.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
▲ 5.83%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $325,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $625,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-12-04 Pending Global MLS
  • 2025-11-28 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $325,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-09-06 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Pending Global MLS
  • 2025-08-23 Rental Removed $950 REDFIN
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $350,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Listed for Rent $950 REDFIN

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,070 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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