905 W D St · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors! Exceptional value-add opportunity featuring 905 & 907 W D Street in Belleville, IL. Purchase two homes in one transaction and capitalize on the potential for rental income, renovation, or portfolio growth. Whether you're a seasoned investor or looking for your next project, this package offers endless possibilities and strong upside potential. Sold as-is. Schedule your showing today and explore the opportunity to turn vision into value.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Built 1892
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (Ameren)
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half levels; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard; Few trees; Level lot; Other lot features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 1 bedroom on the upper level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Gas Range; Central air; Forced air heating; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $74k (25.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $74k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Elem School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 145 students, 0% FRL); Central Jr High School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #410 of 665 statewide, top 62%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.19%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $18,900
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Lois Ct | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 576 (+7%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $35 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-20,328
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,019
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $913 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,626/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $-144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-87 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-144 | +5% $-172 | +10% $-200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-216 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-144 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-94 | -0.5pp $-118 | base $-144 | +0.5pp $-170 | +1.0pp $-196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 W Lincoln St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $750 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 229 S Church St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $750 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 102 N 27th St Unit 8 Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 355 | $700 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 104 N 27th St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 515 | $825 | $1.60 | 5d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 104 N 27th St Unit 8 Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 515 | $800 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1671 Shadow Ridge Ct Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,325 | $1.62 | 0d | 10 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,500 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,626 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,626 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,962
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$3,626
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$877
- − Management
- −$877
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable loss
- −$3,384
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$812
- After-tax cash flow
- $-913/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,152
- Household income
- $65,952
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.27%
- Current HPI
- 145.9237
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.47%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+71.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $99,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2024): $3,626 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…