221 W Flynn St · Redwood Falls, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property features 3 bedrooms 1 bath and nice size 2 stall garage. Lots of yard space with patio space in back yard. This property has lots of potential!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1909
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (32x24, 768 sq ft)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas fuel; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story design; Above-grade finished living area approximately 1,154 sq ft
- Construction: Block construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area 588)
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Main-level porch (17x7)
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two secondary bedrooms on the upper level, one primary bedroom on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (upper level); 1 quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Informal dining area; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.0% in Redwood Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#169 in MN, #3,642 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Redwood Area School District (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 25 units permitted in Redwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Redwood County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.46%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,422
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 182.87%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-9,696
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,123
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56283
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,530/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Fallwood Rd Unit 111 Redwood Falls, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 100 Fallwood Rd Unit 109 Redwood Falls, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $890 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 100 Fallwood Rd Unit 122 Redwood Falls, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,550 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 100 Fallwood Rd Unit 110 Redwood Falls, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-28$120,000 Active 159-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,530
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$96
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$23
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Redwood Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700182
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,326
- Composite
- 36.1/100
- National rank
- #4756
- State rank
- #207 of 301 in MN
Livability — Redwood Falls
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #3642
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redwood Falls, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,469
Population outlook (Redwood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,504 people
- By 2030
- 13,983 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 13,056 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 12,225 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 11,051 · -23.8%
- By 2100
- 9,786 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Redwood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.0 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.40%
- Current HPI
- 213.8535
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,530 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…