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221 W Flynn St
C- Composite 51.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

221 W Flynn St · Redwood Falls, MN 56283
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 903 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1909 0.25 ac lot $133/sqft · 262% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property features 3 bedrooms 1 bath and nice size 2 stall garage. Lots of yard space with patio space in back yard. This property has lots of potential!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1909

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (32x24, 768 sq ft)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas fuel; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story design; Above-grade finished living area approximately 1,154 sq ft
  • Construction: Block construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area 588)
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Main-level porch (17x7)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two secondary bedrooms on the upper level, one primary bedroom on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (upper level); 1 quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Informal dining area; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.0% in Redwood Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#169 in MN, #3,642 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Redwood Area School District (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 25 units permitted in Redwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Redwood County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.46%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,422
List price
$120,000
Delta
182.87%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-9,696
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,123
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56283

Home prices YoY
-15.6%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,530/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,021
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Fallwood Rd Unit 111 Redwood Falls, MN 2.0 1.0 847 $1,300 $1.53 43d 1 0.70mi
100 Fallwood Rd Unit 109 Redwood Falls, MN 2.0 1.0 958 $890 $0.93 43d 1 0.71mi
100 Fallwood Rd Unit 122 Redwood Falls, MN 3.0 1.0 919 $1,550 $1.69 43d 1 0.71mi
100 Fallwood Rd Unit 110 Redwood Falls, MN 2.0 1.0 846 $1,100 $1.30 43d 1 0.74mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    listed $120,000 Active 159-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,530 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,530 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,579
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,530
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$96
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$23
After-tax cash flow
$1,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Redwood Area School District
NCES district ID
2700182
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,326
Composite
36.1/100
National rank
#4756
State rank
#207 of 301 in MN

Livability — Redwood Falls

Score
76/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#3642

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redwood Falls, MN
Population (ZIP)
6,469

Population outlook (Redwood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,504 people
By 2030
13,983 · -3.6%
By 2040
13,056 · -10.0%
By 2050
12,225 · -15.7%
By 2075
11,051 · -23.8%
By 2100
9,786 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Redwood

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.0 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.40%
Current HPI
213.8535
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,530 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…