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221 Plan
B- Composite 69.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$107,725

221 Plan · Greenville, TX 75401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,133 sqft · Manufactured · 234 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Model Plan 221 - 3 Bed, 2 Bath | 1,113 Sq. Ft. | Modern Manufactured Home for Sale in Los Caballos, Greenville TX Note: The Zillow home price does not include monthly site rent. Discover comfort and style in Model Plan 221, a 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,113 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space in the Los Caballos luxury community of Greenville, Texas. The open-concept design features a spacious living room with a built-in entertainment center, perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. The L-shaped kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances, ample cabinet storage, and a smart layout that combines beauty and functionality. The primary suite provides a peaceful retreat with a large bedroom, dual vanity sinks, and a private toilet room for added comfort. Two additional bedrooms and a full guest bathroom offer flexibility for family, visitors, or home office use. Leasing the land is a benefit-your monthly site rent includes resort-style amenities such as a swimming pool, fitness center with instructor-led classes, business center, community kitchen, grilling patios, and dog parks. It also covers lawn care, land property taxes, and a private 8'x14' storage unit, all within a secure, well-maintained neighborhood. Schedule your private tour today and experience modern manufactured home living at its best with Model Plan 221 in Los Caballos!

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • L-shaped kitchen
  • Primary suite

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNBUILT-IN ENTERTAINMENT CENTERL-SHAPED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE CABINET STORAGEPRIMARY SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, commute F.
  • Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 396 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $745 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,798 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.83%
Cash-on-cash
19.79%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$10,569
Equity at exit
$16,062
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$35,705
Equity at exit
$9,314

Cash invested: $30,163 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75401

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
396
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,572 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$565
Tax est. 1.5%
$135 /mo · $1,616/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$497

Break-even live

Break-even rent $942
Max offer price $107,725
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,931
Closing costs
$3,232
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
341 Canterbury Way Greenville, TX 3.0 2.0 1070 $1,399 $1.31 1d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $107,725 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,725 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,725 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,725 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $107,725 Active 229 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,725 Active 225 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,725 Active 224 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,725 Active 223 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $107,725 Active 220 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $107,725 Active 219 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,725 Active 218 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $107,725 Active 217 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $107,725 Active 216 DOM
  14. 2025-10-28
    listed $107,725 Active 1393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1393 chars)

    Model Plan 221 - 3 Bed, 2 Bath | 1,113 Sq. Ft. | Modern Manufactured Home for Sale in Los Caballos, Greenville TX Note: The Zillow home price does not include monthly site rent. Discover comfort and style in Model Plan 221, a 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,113 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space in the Los Caballos luxury community of Greenville, Texas. The open-concept design features a spacious living room with a built-in entertainment center, perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. The L-shaped kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances, ample cabinet storage, and a smart layout that combines beauty and functionality. The primary suite provides a peaceful retreat with a large bedroom, dual vanity sinks, and a private toilet room for added comfort. Two additional bedrooms and a full guest bathroom offer flexibility for family, visitors, or home office use. Leasing the land is a benefit-your monthly site rent includes resort-style amenities such as a swimming pool, fitness center with instructor-led classes, business center, community kitchen, grilling patios, and dog parks. It also covers lawn care, land property taxes, and a private 8'x14' storage unit, all within a secure, well-maintained neighborhood. Schedule your private tour today and experience modern manufactured home living at its best with Model Plan 221 in Los Caballos!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,864
− Mortgage interest
−$6,034
− Property taxes
−$1,616
− Insurance
−$539
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,509
− Management
−$1,509
− Depreciation
−$3,134
Taxable income
$4,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,085
After-tax cash flow
$4,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This modern manufactured home in Greenville, TX, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a spacious and well-designed interior with a good kitchen and bathroom. The home is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. Potential buyers or renters can consider adding smart home features, landscaping improvements, and kitchen appliance upgrades to further increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenville ISD
NCES district ID
4821720
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,374
Composite
19.56/100
National rank
#8759
State rank
#743 of 826 in TX

Livability — Greenville

Score
77/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#2719

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hunt County · 71,969 people
City population
42,767
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,669
Household income
$59,908
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,090 people
By 2030
100,452 · +3.5%
By 2040
106,544 · +9.7%
By 2050
111,218 · +14.6%
By 2075
121,695 · +25.3%
By 2100
123,683 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunt

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.45%
Current HPI
339.0287
Rent YoY
▲ 0.62%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $107,725 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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