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1917 W Walnut St
B Composite 73.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,000

1917 W Walnut St · Ashland, PA 17921
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1900 1,307 sqft lot Est $63k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this cheerful and move-in ready home on quiet Walnut Street in Ashland! Filled with natural light and decorated in tasteful, modern colors throughout, this well-maintained home offers spacious rooms, comfortable living areas, and a warm, inviting atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The large backyard provides plenty of space for outdoor fun, gardening, or a play area for the kids, while the expansive basement offers abundant storage and endless possibilities. Clean, bright, and ready for its next owner simply unpack and start enjoying all this wonderful home has to offer!

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Natural light
  • Expansive basement

Tags

LARGE BACKYARDEXPANSIVE BASEMENTNATURAL LIGHTCOMFORTABLE LIVING AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: 13 x 100 lot dimensions; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,179 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Schuylkill Jshs (math 21% / reading 47%, grade F, #318 of 437 statewide, top 73%, 1,008 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 35% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
10.93%
Cash-on-cash
16.55%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,525
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1613 Walnut St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,164 (+14%) 2mo $120,000 $103 66
819 Market St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,043 (+2%) 10mo $45,000 $43 62
906 Walnut St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,032 (+1%) 9mo $90,000 $87 61
923 Brock St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 990 (-3%) 5mo $26,000 $26 60
1705 Market St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,140 (+11%) 15mo $90,000 $79 58
1306 Market St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,085 (+6%) 20mo $55,000 $51 56
1125 Market St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+12%) 7mo $90,000 $78 53
1329 Spruce St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,112 (+8%) 20mo $68,000 $61 53
1210 Walnut St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,156 (+13%) 14mo $42,500 $37 45
718 Brock St 0.64mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,098 (+7%) 21mo $50,000 $46 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$54,635
Equity at exit
$62,161
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
8.65×
Total profit
$147,703
Equity at exit
$134,052

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17921

Home prices YoY
21.7%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,306/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$267

Break-even live

Break-even rent $738
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $306 -5% $286 +0% $267 +5% $247 +10% $227
Rent -10% $182 -5% $224 +0% $267 +5% $309 +10% $351
Rate -1.0pp $301 -0.5pp $284 base $267 +0.5pp $249 +1.0pp $230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1313 Spruce St Ashland, PA 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 44d 1 0.32mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 602-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $69,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,306 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,306 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,900
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$2,306
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,032
− Management
−$1,032
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$2,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$555
After-tax cash flow
$2,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Schuylkill SD
NCES district ID
4210110
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,529
Composite
28.37/100
National rank
#6770
State rank
#429 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ashland

Score
64/100
State rank
#1179
US rank
#13787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,029

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 62.11%
Current HPI
347.8425
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,306 · +94.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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