10 Dillow Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come on over to beautiful Bella Vista! This darling home has 3 beds, 2 baths and new roof March 2020. This home has lots of storage and has a wonderful huge deck in the back to enjoy the woods and has tons of privacy for great BBQ'S. New wood laminate floors in the living room and also has a new water heater. Great neighborhood in a cul-de-sac and close to all of the wonderful trails Bella Vista has to offer. POA is $37 a month which includes access to the fitness center, clubhouse, pools, parks, golf courses, tennis courts, and all of the gorgeous lakes!
Key facts
- Roof
- Added storage
- New shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fees); Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space); Has carport
- Utilities: Electricity available; Sewer available; Public water available
- Home design: Single-story home; 25 years or older
- Construction: Brick construction; See remarks for additional construction details; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Crawlspace
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Storage structure; Back yard fencing; Sloped, wooded lot; Public road frontage; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms (two listed)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Programmable thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Double-pane windows; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $244k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $200k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.92%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,540
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Constance Cir | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-0%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $238 | 83 |
| 3 Lyneham Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,278 (-2%) | 16mo | $260,000 | $203 | 58 |
| 15 Duxford Cir | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,230 (-6%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $199 | 57 |
| 23 Harrington Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (+12%) | 5mo | $295,470 | $202 | 54 |
| 8 Dinton Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (-3%) | 17mo | $279,000 | $220 | 51 |
| 8 Sutherland Ln | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,192 (-9%) | 8mo | $280,000 | $235 | 51 |
| 8 Rettendon Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (+11%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $197 | 49 |
| 127 Rillington Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (+11%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $196 | 43 |
| 12 Rettendon Ln | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,115 (-15%) | 4mo | $259,000 | $232 | 34 |
| 3 Alex Ln | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,131 (-14%) | 14mo | $253,000 | $224 | 33 |
| 74 Witherby Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-10%) | 21mo | $255,000 | $217 | 32 |
| 3 Laceby Ln | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,118 (-14%) | 12mo | $290,000 | $259 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $26,743
- Equity at exit
- $101,236
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $103,023
- Equity at exit
- $139,016
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72714
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 475
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,442 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $415 | -5% $336 | +0% $256 | +5% $177 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $63 | -5% $160 | +0% $256 | +5% $353 | +10% $449 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $397 | -0.5pp $327 | base $256 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Harrington Ln Unit 1241318P Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,578 | $2.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 30 Lunsford Ln Unit 1241312P Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,842 | $1.65 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15 Mills Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $1,950 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 12 Sunderland Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,700 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 10 Granshire Dr Unit 1237423P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $3,703 | $2.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4 Sibsey Cir Unit 1230868P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $3,469 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18price $280,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $300,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $300,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 569-char remark
-
2026-06-01$300,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,051 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,792 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$741/yr (+$62/mo · 70.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$1,051
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,344
- − Management
- −$2,344
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$1,670
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,476/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,350
- Household income
- $103,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 61.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Current HPI
- 307.5796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+347.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $300,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $305,000 NWARMLS
- 2022-01-13 Sold (MLS) $200,000 NWARMLS
- 2021-11-29 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2021-11-22 Price Changed $199,000 NWARMLS
- 2021-11-05 Listed $205,000 NWARMLS
- 2020-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $133,500 Public Records
- 2020-03-27 Sold (MLS) $133,500 NWARMLS
- 2020-01-31 Listed $140,000 NWARMLS
- 1995-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,051 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…