213 Lavelle Dr · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property has been placed in an upcoming event. All bids should be submitted at www.Xome.com (void where prohibited). Please submit any pre-auction offer received through the property details page on Xome.com. Any post-auction offers will need to be submitted directly to the listing agent. All offers will be reviewed and responded to within 3 business days. All properties are subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions (minimums will apply). Contact an agent for details. Cash only. Open kitchen. Laminate/wood flooring. Covered back porch. Near Gulfport shopping/dining and amenities. No disclosures. Buyers to satisfy themselves as to condition.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Converted garage
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway on concrete
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built information from assessor/appraiser
- Exterior features: Front porch; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in refrigerator; Electric range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Built-in refrigerator; Electric range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Three Rivers Elementary (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #113 of 375 statewide, top 31%, 498 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 769 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.45%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,910
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Lavelle Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-5%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $133 | 83 |
| 120 Imilda Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 3mo | $79,900 | $67 | 68 |
| 119 Gahan Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-1%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $132 | 66 |
| 710 Beverly Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (-8%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $138 | 63 |
| 12104 Three Rivers Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-4%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $37 | 60 |
| 801 Shirley Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 986 (-11%) | 5mo | $80,750 | $82 | 58 |
| 11433 Klein Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (+4%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $61 | 56 |
| 1010 Michelle Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (+13%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $128 | 53 |
| 13517 Artes St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-10%) | 0mo | $139,900 | $140 | 50 |
| 12011 Three Rivers Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-13%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 12011 Three Rivers Rd Unit A | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-13%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $125 | 40 |
| 15051 Sagewood St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+15%) | 4mo | $189,999 | $149 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,215
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $55,959
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 769
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,504 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $348 | +0% $309 | +5% $269 | +10% $229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $190 | -5% $249 | +0% $309 | +5% $368 | +10% $427 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $379 | -0.5pp $344 | base $309 | +0.5pp $272 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Clarence Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1009 Michelle Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 12040 Highland Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $950 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 12147 Prudie Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 12450 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14180 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 101 Fore St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11200 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,445 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11200 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,147 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11502 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 15235 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 15251 Parkwood Dr N Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11413 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11487 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11405 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11425 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 13070 Tracewood Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 15373 Saint Charles St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1075 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 44d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 11213 Dobson Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10479 Cal Ln Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 14437 Whitney Dr Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-25$140,000 Active
-
2016-10-04soldstatus
-
2016-09-29soldstatus 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
This property has been placed in an upcoming event. All bids should be submitted at www.Xome.com (void where prohibited). Please submit any pre-auction offer received through the property details page on Xome.com. Any post-auction offers will need to be submitted directly to the listing agent. All offers will be reviewed and responded to within 3 business days. All properties are subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions (minimums will apply). Contact an agent for details. Cash only. Open kitchen. Laminate/wood flooring. Covered back porch. Near Gulfport shopping/dining and amenities. No disclosures. Buyers to satisfy themselves as to condition.
-
2016-08-31$35,000 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
This property has been placed in an upcoming event. All bids should be submitted at www.Xome.com (void where prohibited). Please submit any pre-auction offer received through the property details page on Xome.com. Any post-auction offers will need to be submitted directly to the listing agent. All offers will be reviewed and responded to within 3 business days. All properties are subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions (minimums will apply). Contact an agent for details. Cash only. Open kitchen. Laminate/wood flooring. Covered back porch. Near Gulfport shopping/dining and amenities. No disclosures. Buyers to satisfy themselves as to condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,045 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,106 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$61/yr (+$5/mo · 5.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,045
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,444
- − Management
- −$1,444
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,500
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$360
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+300.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $140,000 MLSU
- 2016-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-09-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2016-08-31 Listed $35,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,045 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…