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67 Dorchester Dr Unit E
C+ Composite 64.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

67 Dorchester Dr Unit E · Leisure Village, NJ 08701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily · 88 Days on market
Built 1965 871 sqft lot $156/sqft · 28% below area Est $201k · 28% under $397/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Leisure Village, a desirable 55+ community! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring a functional layout with spacious living area and well-sized bedrooms with ample closet space, this home has solid potential for the right buyer. Home Being Sold ''As Is'' Leisure Village Community offers many exceptional amenities, two pools, two clubhouses, security gate, including seven freshwater lakes, two stocked with fish, kayaking, a 9 hole-golf course, gym, shuffleboard, pickleball, basketball, and so much more. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Great value with endless possibilities!

Key facts

  • Security gate
  • Two clubhouses
  • 9 hole-golf course

Tags

TWO POOLSTWO CLUBHOUSESSECURITY GATESEVEN FRESHWATER LAKES9 HOLE-GOLF COURSEGYM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.0% in Leisure Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 425 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $145k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.53%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,287
List price
$145,000
Delta
-27.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51A Cambridge Ct 0.14mi 2/1.0 987 (+6%) 2mo $140,000 $142 81
49C Cambridge Ct Unit 100c 0.21mi 2/1.0 987 (+6%) 2mo $189,000 $191 78
35F Cambridge Ct 0.23mi 2/1.0 987 (+6%) 2mo $115,000 $117 76
699A Plymouth Dr Unit 699A 0.46mi 2/1.0 982 (+6%) 1mo $259,000 $264 68
404A Picardy Ct 0.50mi 2/1.0 982 (+6%) 0mo $235,000 $239 66
703 Plymouth Dr Unit A 0.50mi 2/1.0 982 (+6%) 1mo $265,000 $270 66
145B Buckingham Dr 0.18mi 1/1.0 (-1) 808 (-13%) 1mo $179,900 $223 65
681B New Castle Ct 0.51mi 2/1.0 982 (+6%) 2mo $147,000 $150 65
465D Thornbury Ct 0.63mi 2/1.0 982 (+6%) 2mo $205,000 $209 59
402 Picardy Ct Unit B 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+12%) 0mo $259,900 $251 59
243D Jefferson Ct 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+12%) 0mo $170,000 $164 58
537D Dartmoor Ct 0.69mi 2/1.0 982 (+6%) 2mo $200,000 $204 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,989
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$15,935
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08701

Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,094 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$397
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,771
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $305 +0% $255 +5% $205 +10% $155
Rent -10% $89 -5% $172 +0% $255 +5% $338 +10% $420
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $292 base $255 +0.5pp $217 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 841 $1,795 $2.13 25d 1 0.17mi
341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $2,275 $2.32 23d 1 0.23mi
106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 858 $2,200 $2.56 18d 1 0.26mi
335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $1,950 $1.99 20d 1 0.31mi
219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ 1.0 1.0 663 $1,900 $2.87 44d 1 0.49mi
278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,250 $2.25 3d 1 0.57mi
1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $2,000 $2.04 5d 1 1.09mi
523 Sophee Ln #1000 Lakewood, NJ 1.0 1.0 889 $1,800 $2.02 0d 1 1.18mi
824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ 2.0 1.0 982 $2,200 $2.24 20d 1 1.19mi
829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ 1.0 1.0 663 $1,600 $2.41 25d 1 1.23mi
1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ 2.0 1.0–1.5 1187 $2,575 $2.17 0d 4 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$397 · $4,764/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgymsecurity

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $145,000 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $155,000 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Welcome to Leisure Village, a desirable 55+ community! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring a functional layout with spacious living area and well-sized bedrooms with ample closet space, this home has solid potential for the right buyer. Home Being Sold ''As Is'' Leisure Village Community offers many exceptional amenities, two pools, two clubhouses, security gate, including seven freshwater lakes, two stocked with fish, kayaking, a 9 hole-golf course, gym, shuffleboard, pickleball, basketball, and so much more. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Great value with endless possibilities!

  17. 2026-04-16
    price $160,000 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Welcome to Leisure Village, a desirable 55+ community! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring a functional layout with spacious living area and well-sized bedrooms with ample closet space, this home has solid potential for the right buyer. Home Being Sold ''As Is'' Leisure Village Community offers many exceptional amenities, two pools, two clubhouses, security gate, including seven freshwater lakes, two stocked with fish, kayaking, a 9 hole-golf course, gym, shuffleboard, pickleball, basketball, and so much more. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Great value with endless possibilities!

  18. 2026-03-26
    listed $165,000 Active 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Welcome to Leisure Village, a desirable 55+ community! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring a functional layout with spacious living area and well-sized bedrooms with ample closet space, this home has solid potential for the right buyer. Home Being Sold ''As Is'' Leisure Village Community offers many exceptional amenities, two pools, two clubhouses, security gate, including seven freshwater lakes, two stocked with fish, kayaking, a 9 hole-golf course, gym, shuffleboard, pickleball, basketball, and so much more. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Great value with endless possibilities!

  19. 2009-11-02
    soldstatus $58,000 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    2bed 1 bath Leisure Village Marlboro Model. Interior FRESHLY PAINTED!!!NEW CLOSET DOORS!!! NEW KITCHEN FLOOR!!!! NEW WALL TO WALL CARPET!!!! BEST PRICED UNIT IN OLV. 24 HOUR NURSING STAFF ON PREMISSES!!!

  20. 2009-07-31
    listed $64,500 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    2bed 1 bath Leisure Village Marlboro Model. Interior FRESHLY PAINTED!!!NEW CLOSET DOORS!!! NEW KITCHEN FLOOR!!!! NEW WALL TO WALL CARPET!!!! BEST PRICED UNIT IN OLV. 24 HOUR NURSING STAFF ON PREMISSES!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,123
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,010
− Management
−$2,010
− HOA
−$4,764
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$1,099
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$264
After-tax cash flow
$2,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakewood Township School District
NCES district ID
3408220
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,301
Composite
19.21/100
National rank
#8813
State rank
#417 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Leisure Village

Score
64/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#14624

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leisure Village, NJ
County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
139,149
Household income
$64,959
Rent vs Own
48.5% rent · 51.5% own
Severe rent burden
5757.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -682.83%
Current HPI
465.344
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $155,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $160,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $165,000 MOMLS
  • 2009-11-02 Sold (MLS) $58,000 MOMLS
  • 2009-07-31 Listed $64,500 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…