8124 Thorn Creek Rd · Franklin, WV
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the scenic mountains of Sugar Grove, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of country living and practical functionality. The property features multiple outbuildings, providing ample space for equipment storage, workshops, hobbies, or agricultural use. A small garden is already established and growing, offering a great start for anyone who enjoys gardening. Whether you’re looking for a full-time residence or a weekend retreat, this property offers plenty of flexibility. Enjoy the peace and privacy of rural West Virginia while still having all the essentials for comfortable living.
Key facts
- Rural west virginia
- Scenic mountains
- Equipment storage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Spring water source; On-site septic system
- Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: Located outside city limits in a rural setting; No tidal water on the property
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane (owned) heat; Wood-burning heat; Electric hot water; Other cooling system
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 1.5% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#67 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pendleton County Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #8 of 55 in WV (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 276 students, 0% FRL); Pendleton County Middle/High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 388 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Pendleton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Pendleton County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.74%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $40,687
- Equity at exit
- $69,194
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $112,454
- Equity at exit
- $122,887
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26815
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $360/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $228 | -5% $195 | +0% $163 | +5% $130 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $66 | -5% $114 | +0% $163 | +5% $211 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $221 | -0.5pp $192 | base $163 | +0.5pp $133 | +1.0pp $103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $360 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $678 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$318/yr (+$27/mo · 88.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$360
- − Insurance
- −$2,078
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pendleton County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401080
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,262
- Composite
- 32.31/100
- National rank
- #5749
- State rank
- #8 of 55 in WV
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #8230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 553
Population outlook (Pendleton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,110 people
- By 2030
- 5,557 · -9.1%
- By 2040
- 4,486 · -26.6%
- By 2050
- 3,557 · -41.8%
- By 2075
- 2,156 · -64.7%
- By 2100
- 1,424 · -76.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Pendleton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.6) · D 19.9% · R 78.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -58.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.6 2020: R+53.6 2016: R+51.8 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.57%
- Current HPI
- 176.1731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $360 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…