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8124 Thorn Creek Rd
B- Composite 67.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

8124 Thorn Creek Rd · Franklin, WV 26815
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1915 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in the scenic mountains of Sugar Grove, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of country living and practical functionality. The property features multiple outbuildings, providing ample space for equipment storage, workshops, hobbies, or agricultural use. A small garden is already established and growing, offering a great start for anyone who enjoys gardening. Whether you’re looking for a full-time residence or a weekend retreat, this property offers plenty of flexibility. Enjoy the peace and privacy of rural West Virginia while still having all the essentials for comfortable living.

Key facts

  • Rural west virginia
  • Scenic mountains
  • Equipment storage

Tags

SCENIC MOUNTAINSMULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGSEQUIPMENT STORAGESMALL GARDENRURAL WEST VIRGINIA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Spring water source; On-site septic system
  • Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished living area reported by assessor
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built recorded by assessor
  • Exterior features: Located outside city limits in a rural setting; No tidal water on the property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Propane (owned) heat; Wood-burning heat; Electric hot water; Other cooling system
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 1.5% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#67 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pendleton County Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #8 of 55 in WV (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 276 students, 0% FRL); Pendleton County Middle/High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 388 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Pendleton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
  • Pendleton County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.74%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$40,687
Equity at exit
$69,194
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
4.49×
Total profit
$112,454
Equity at exit
$122,887

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26815

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $360/yr
Insurance
$48
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,021
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $228 -5% $195 +0% $163 +5% $130 +10% $98
Rent -10% $66 -5% $114 +0% $163 +5% $211 +10% $260
Rate -1.0pp $221 -0.5pp $192 base $163 +0.5pp $133 +1.0pp $103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$360 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$678 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$318/yr (+$27/mo · 88.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,720
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$360
− Insurance
−$2,078
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,178
− Management
−$1,178
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$140
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$34
After-tax cash flow
$1,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pendleton County Schools
NCES district ID
5401080
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,262
Composite
32.31/100
National rank
#5749
State rank
#8 of 55 in WV

Livability — Franklin

Score
69/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#8230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
553

Population outlook (Pendleton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,110 people
By 2030
5,557 · -9.1%
By 2040
4,486 · -26.6%
By 2050
3,557 · -41.8%
By 2075
2,156 · -64.7%
By 2100
1,424 · -76.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Pendleton

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.6) · D 19.9% · R 78.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -58.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.6 2020: R+53.6 2016: R+51.8 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.57%
Current HPI
176.1731
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $360 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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