1207 N 2148 St · Texarkana, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Own a quiet county home with Shop and Craft room. 5 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Big living and fenced in back yard. Defiantly a Fixer upper.
Key facts
- Fenced in back yard
- Shop and craft room
- 0.8 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Four parking spaces total; Two-car attached garage; Two carport spaces; Garage faces side
- Utilities: Propane service; Public sewer; Other water source
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick construction
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with brick
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storm doors; Barbed wire and chain link partial fencing; Boat house; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace with insert in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
- Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.17%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $19,726
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $55,868
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $633 | -5% $602 | +0% $571 | +5% $539 | +10% $508 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $451 | -5% $511 | +0% $571 | +5% $630 | +10% $690 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $616 | -0.5pp $593 | base $571 | +0.5pp $547 | +1.0pp $524 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-22$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,449
- − Management
- −$1,449
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $5,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,382
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,465/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This property is in poor condition and requires extensive renovations to improve its value. The kitchen and bathrooms are in the worst condition and should be the first priority for renovation.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
- Major kitchen flooring — damaged and uneven
- Major kitchen appliances — dated and in poor condition
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
- Major bathroom tile — dated and in poor condition
- Major exterior paint — peeling and damaged
- Major window frames — damaged and in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
- Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would increase both resale and rental value
- Both exterior paint job — a fresh paint job would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
- Both landscaping — pruning and landscaping would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen flooring · damaged and uneven | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom tile · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · peeling and damaged | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| window frames · damaged and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both exterior paint job — a fresh paint job would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both landscaping — pruning and landscaping would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texarkana ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842480
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,692
- Composite
- 31.87/100
- National rank
- #5867
- State rank
- #472 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texarkana
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #3241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texarkana, TX
- County
- Bowie County · 61,238 people
- City population
- 61,238
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,866
- Household income
- $45,995
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1289.0
Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,699 people
- By 2030
- 94,824 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 94,870 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 93,686 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 90,082 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 76,579 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.14%
- Current HPI
- 147.9402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.63%
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $90,000 TBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…