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1207 N 2148 St
B- Composite 68.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

1207 N 2148 St · Texarkana, TX 75501
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,561 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1965 Poor condition 0.80 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Own a quiet county home with Shop and Craft room. 5 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Big living and fenced in back yard. Defiantly a Fixer upper.

Key facts

  • Fenced in back yard
  • Shop and craft room
  • 0.8 acre lot

Tags

SHOP AND CRAFT ROOMFENCED IN BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Four parking spaces total; Two-car attached garage; Two carport spaces; Garage faces side
  • Utilities: Propane service; Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick construction
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with brick
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storm doors; Barbed wire and chain link partial fencing; Boat house; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace with insert in the family room
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
  • Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
13.90%
Cash-on-cash
27.17%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$19,726
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$55,868
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75501

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$571

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $633 -5% $602 +0% $571 +5% $539 +10% $508
Rent -10% $451 -5% $511 +0% $571 +5% $630 +10% $690
Rate -1.0pp $616 -0.5pp $593 base $571 +0.5pp $547 +1.0pp $524

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,114
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,449
− Management
−$1,449
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$5,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,382
After-tax cash flow
$5,465/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property is in poor condition and requires extensive renovations to improve its value. The kitchen and bathrooms are in the worst condition and should be the first priority for renovation.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
  • Major kitchen flooring — damaged and uneven
  • Major kitchen appliances — dated and in poor condition
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
  • Major bathroom tile — dated and in poor condition
  • Major exterior paint — peeling and damaged
  • Major window frames — damaged and in poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both exterior paint job — a fresh paint job would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
  • Both landscaping — pruning and landscaping would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen flooring · damaged and uneven Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom tile · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · peeling and damaged Major $15,000–50,000
window frames · damaged and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 7 items $105,000–350,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both exterior paint job — a fresh paint job would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
  • Both landscaping — pruning and landscaping would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texarkana ISD
NCES district ID
4842480
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,692
Composite
31.87/100
National rank
#5867
State rank
#472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

Score
77/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Texarkana, TX
County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
City population
61,238
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
34,866
Household income
$45,995
Rent vs Own
42.9% rent · 57.1% own
Severe rent burden
1289.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.14%
Current HPI
147.9402
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $90,000 TBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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