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1603 Winchester St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$157,900

1603 Winchester St · Jackson, MS 39211
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,300 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1958 Fair condition 0.28 ac lot $69/sqft · 37% below area Est $253k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This investment home is perfect for the the seasoned and newbie investors who would like to add this property to their rental portfolio. This is a DSCR Loan approved property. Features guaranteed cash flow of $1,640 per month with a HUD tenant. Its a spacious 4br/2ba corner lot home with NO carpets, large bedrooms, wood burning brick fireplace, and ample parking. It's near main roads of Ridgewood, Northside, Old Canton, Lakeland, near I55, hospitals and clinics, near Span Elementary and Jackson Academy Private School, shopping, dining and entertaining. Don't miss out on this long term investment opportunity for tax write offs, build equity, and get cash flow! Call a Realtor now for information.

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Corner lot
  • 0.28 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOTWOOD BURNING BRICK FIREPLACEAMPLE PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $157,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$252,508) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $158k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spann Elementary School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #289 of 375 statewide, top 78%, 395 students, 100% FRL); Chastain Middle School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #165 of 179 statewide, top 93%, 499 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,952 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.76%
Cash-on-cash
15.96%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,508
List price
$157,900
Delta
-37.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1609 Sheffield Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,320 (+1%) 3mo $375,000 $162 85
4311 Roswell Ct 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,141 (-7%) 3mo $265,000 $124 61
2009 Southwood Rd 0.55mi 4/3.0 2,410 (+5%) 4mo $259,500 $108 59
1641 Acadia Ct 0.34mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,517 (+9%) 1mo $359,000 $143 58
318 Rollingwood Dr 0.73mi 4/2.5 2,391 (+4%) 4mo $275,000 $115 54
4506 Eastwood Rd 0.62mi 4/3.0 2,126 (-8%) 1mo $325,000 $153 54
1865 E Northside Dr 0.49mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,496 (+8%) 1mo $375,000 $150 53
4424 Northover Dr 0.73mi 4/2.5 2,474 (+8%) 0mo $310,000 $125 51
1527 Kimwood Cir 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,981 (-14%) 2mo $249,500 $126 50
1917 E Northside Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,035 (-12%) 1mo $333,000 $164 50
4429 Forest Park Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,968 (-14%) 2mo $240,000 $122 49
2017 Southwood Rd 0.57mi 4/3.0 2,599 (+13%) 3mo $325,000 $125 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$23,115
Equity at exit
$23,543
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$119,448
Equity at exit
$13,652

Cash invested: $44,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
16 active · 22 under contract
Months of supply
2.2 mo (45%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$259,750 ($114/sqft)
Median days on market
84 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-3.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 39211

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,166 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$828
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,750/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,422
Max offer price $157,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $677 -5% $633 +0% $588 +5% $543 +10% $499
Rent -10% $417 -5% $502 +0% $588 +5% $673 +10% $759
Rate -1.0pp $667 -0.5pp $628 base $588 +0.5pp $547 +1.0pp $505

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,475
Closing costs
$4,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4750 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 3.0 2085 $2,200 $1.06 72d 1 0.22mi
5125 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 3.0 2025 $2,100 $1.04 72d 1 0.48mi
212 Pimlico Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1600 $900 $0.56 63d 1 0.56mi
1046 Newland St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2700 $3,200 $1.19 72d 1 0.68mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $1,100 $1.05 63d 31 0.78mi
5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,465 $0.90 93d 1 1.31mi
5544 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,831 $1.02 93d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-07-29
    days on market $157,900 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-07-27
    days on market $157,900 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-07-25
    days on market $157,900 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-07-23
    days on market $157,900 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-07-22
    days on market $157,900 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-07-21
    days on market $157,900 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-07-18
    days on market $157,900 Active 112 DOM
  8. 2026-07-16
    days on market $157,900 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-07-16
    days on market $157,900 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-07-14
    days on market $157,900 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-07-13
    days on market $157,900 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-07-12
    days on market $157,900 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-07-11
    days on market $157,900 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-07-10
    days on market $157,900 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-07-09
    days on market $157,900 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-07-08
    days on market $157,900 Active 102 DOM
  17. 2026-07-07
    days on market $157,900 Active 101 DOM
  18. 2026-07-06
    days on market $157,900 Active 100 DOM
  19. 2026-07-05
    days on market $157,900 Active 99 DOM
  20. 2026-07-04
    days on market $157,900 Active 98 DOM
  21. 2026-07-03
    days on market $157,900 Active 97 DOM
  22. 2026-07-02
    days on market $157,900 Active 96 DOM
  23. 2026-07-01
    days on market $157,900 Active 95 DOM
  24. 2026-06-30
    days on market $157,900 Active 94 DOM
  25. 2026-06-29
    days on market $157,900 Active 93 DOM
  26. 2026-06-28
    days on market $157,900 Active 92 DOM
  27. 2026-06-28
    days on market $157,900 Active 91 DOM
  28. 2026-06-27
    days on market $157,900 Active 90 DOM
  29. 2026-06-25
    days on market $157,900 Active 88 DOM
  30. 2026-06-23
    pricedays on market $157,900 Active 86 DOM
  31. 2026-06-22
    days on market $169,900 Active 85 DOM
  32. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 82 DOM
  33. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 81 DOM
  34. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 80 DOM
  35. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 79 DOM
  36. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 77 DOM
  37. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 76 DOM
  38. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 74 DOM
  39. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 73 DOM
  40. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 72 DOM
  41. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 71 DOM
  42. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
  43. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
  44. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 66 DOM
  45. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 65 DOM
  46. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
  47. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
  48. 2026-03-28
    listed $169,900 Active 729-char remark
    Show marketing remark (729 chars)

    This investment home is perfect for the the seasoned and newbie investors who would like to add this property to their rental portfolio. This is a DSCR Loan approved property. Features guaranteed cash flow of $1,640 per month with a HUD tenant. Its a spacious 4br/2ba corner lot home with NO carpets, large bedrooms, wood burning brick fireplace, and ample parking. It's near main roads of Ridgewood, Northside, Old Canton, Lakeland, near I55, hospitals and clinics, near Span Elementary and Jackson Academy Private School, shopping, dining and entertaining. Don't miss out on this long term investment opportunity for tax write offs, build equity, and get cash flow! Call a Realtor now for information. **Do NOT Disturb tenant**

  49. 2025-08-22
    historical $2,009
  50. 2025-07-07
    listed $2,009

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,750 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,750 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,989
− Mortgage interest
−$8,845
− Property taxes
−$2,750
− Insurance
−$790
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,079
− Management
−$2,079
− Depreciation
−$4,593
Taxable income
$4,852
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,165
After-tax cash flow
$5,890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $57,500–$103,500 screening

This single-family home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and landscaping improvements, to increase its resale and rental value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — No roof visible in photos
  • Major Windows (windows) — No windows visible in photos
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel visible in photos
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures visible in photos
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior walls or siding visible in photos

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and discolored, indicating wear and tear.
  • Moderate Paint — Worn in some areas, especially in living areas.
  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming and maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and repainting — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 29/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Spann Elementary School F MS #289/375 Nat'l #37,303/41,679 Middle Bailey Middle Apac School B- MS #18/179 Nat'l #2,699/14,009 High Murrah High School F MS #130/197 Nat'l #14,491/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 242,528 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,838
Household income
$69,426
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+8356.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $169,900 MLSU
  • 2025-08-22 Rental Removed $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-07 Listed for Rent $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-28 Rental Removed $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-18 Listed for Rent $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-06-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1980-06-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,750 · +82.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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