CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1603 Winchester St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

1603 Winchester St · Jackson, MS 39211
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,300 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1958 0.28 ac lot $74/sqft · 32% below area Est $252k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This investment home is perfect for the the seasoned and newbie investors who would like to add this property to their rental portfolio. This is a DSCR Loan approved property. Features guaranteed cash flow of $1,640 per month with a HUD tenant. Its a spacious 4br/2ba corner lot home with NO carpets, large bedrooms, wood burning brick fireplace, and ample parking. It's near main roads of Ridgewood, Northside, Old Canton, Lakeland, near I55, hospitals and clinics, near Span Elementary and Jackson Academy Private School, shopping, dining and entertaining. Don't miss out on this long term investment opportunity for tax write offs, build equity, and get cash flow! Call a Realtor now for information. **Do NOT Disturb tenant**

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Corner lot
  • 0.28 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOTWOOD BURNING BRICK FIREPLACEAMPLE PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $169,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$251,681) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.12%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$251,681
List price
$169,900
Delta
-32.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1609 Sheffield Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,320 (+1%) 1mo $375,000 $162 87
1534 Brecon Dr 0.07mi 4/2.0 2,512 (+9%) 5mo $275,000 $109 77
4550 Ridgewood Rd 0.32mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,315 (+1%) 4mo $190,350 $82 74
4311 Roswell Ct 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,141 (-7%) 2mo $265,000 $124 62
2009 Southwood Rd 0.55mi 4/3.0 2,410 (+5%) 3mo $259,500 $108 60
1415 Winchester St 0.22mi 4/3.0 2,643 (+15%) 3mo $169,900 $64 58
318 Rollingwood Dr 0.73mi 4/2.5 2,391 (+4%) 3mo $275,000 $115 55
1777 Brecon Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,971 (-14%) 5mo $189,900 $96 53
1903 Bellewood Rd 0.41mi 4/3.5 2,597 (+13%) 4mo $292,000 $112 50
4429 Forest Park Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,968 (-14%) 1mo $240,000 $122 50
4407 Forest Park Dr 0.47mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,070 (-10%) 3mo $239,000 $115 50
2017 Southwood Rd 0.57mi 4/3.0 2,599 (+13%) 2mo $325,000 $125 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$16,835
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$108,371
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39211

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,166 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,750/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$520

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,508
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4750 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 3.0 2085 $2,200 $1.06 23d 1 0.22mi
5125 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 3.0 2025 $2,100 $1.04 23d 1 0.48mi
212 Pimlico Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1600 $900 $0.56 14d 1 0.56mi
1046 Newland St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2700 $3,200 $1.19 23d 1 0.68mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $1,100 $1.05 14d 31 0.78mi
5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,465 $0.90 43d 1 1.31mi
5544 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,831 $1.02 43d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 65 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
  17. 2026-03-28
    listed $169,900 Active 729-char remark
    Show marketing remark (729 chars)

    This investment home is perfect for the the seasoned and newbie investors who would like to add this property to their rental portfolio. This is a DSCR Loan approved property. Features guaranteed cash flow of $1,640 per month with a HUD tenant. Its a spacious 4br/2ba corner lot home with NO carpets, large bedrooms, wood burning brick fireplace, and ample parking. It's near main roads of Ridgewood, Northside, Old Canton, Lakeland, near I55, hospitals and clinics, near Span Elementary and Jackson Academy Private School, shopping, dining and entertaining. Don't miss out on this long term investment opportunity for tax write offs, build equity, and get cash flow! Call a Realtor now for information. **Do NOT Disturb tenant**

  18. 2025-08-22
    historical $2,009
  19. 2025-07-07
    listed $2,009
  20. 2025-06-28
    historical $2,009
  21. 2025-06-18
    listed $2,009
  22. 2024-07-31
    soldstatus
  23. 2022-08-10
    soldstatus
  24. 2019-04-16
    soldstatus
  25. 2018-06-07
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-02-10
    soldstatus
  27. 1986-07-31
    soldstatus
  28. 1980-06-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,750 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,750 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,989
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,750
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,079
− Management
−$2,079
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$3,771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$905
After-tax cash flow
$5,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,838
Household income
$69,426
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
736.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.99%
Current HPI
145.5192
Rent YoY
▲ 7.90%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+8356.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $169,900 MLSU
  • 2025-08-22 Rental Removed $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-07 Listed for Rent $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-28 Rental Removed $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-18 Listed for Rent $2,009 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-08-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-06-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1980-06-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,750 · +82.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…