285 Chestnut St · Phillips, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!
Key facts
- Several improvements
- Large dining room
- New boiler system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, health & safety D.
- Phillips School District (rural): math 39% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #233 of 342 in WI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Price County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Price County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $125k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.92%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,557
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -20.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,071
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,255
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54555
- Home prices YoY
- -15.4%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,118/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 37 events
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2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 169 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 161 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-02-23price $124,900 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!
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2025-10-31price $129,900
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2025-10-04price $134,900
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2025-09-18price $139,900
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2025-09-18price $139,900
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2025-08-19price $144,900
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2025-08-19price $144,900
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2025-07-16price $149,900
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2025-07-16price $149,900
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2025-06-23price $154,900
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2025-06-23price $154,900
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2025-05-28price $159,900
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2025-05-28price $159,900
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2025-04-09$164,900 Active
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!
-
2025-04-09$129,900 Active 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!
-
2025-04-09$164,900 Active
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!
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2024-10-07soldstatus $65,000
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2024-10-04soldstatus $65,000 Closed
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2024-08-26historical Active Under Contract
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2024-07-03status Active
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2024-06-19historical Active Under Contract
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2024-06-13$69,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,118 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,214 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- +$97/yr (+$8/mo · 4.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,118
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$269
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phillips School District
- NCES district ID
- 5511730
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,261
- Composite
- 29.84/100
- National rank
- #6417
- State rank
- #233 of 342 in WI
Livability — Phillips
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #8882
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phillips, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,726
Population outlook (Price County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,757 people
- By 2030
- 12,157 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 10,761 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 9,515 · -25.4%
- By 2075
- 8,293 · -35.0%
- By 2100
- 7,470 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Hungarian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Price
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 33.9% · R 65.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.5pp toward R · 2008: 13.4pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+27.6 2016: R+25.0 2012: D+0.0 2008: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.02%
- Current HPI
- 203.2875
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+79.7% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $124,900 GNMLS
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $129,900 GNMLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $134,900 GNMLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,900 RANWW
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,900 GNMLS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $144,900 RANWW
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $144,900 GNMLS
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $149,900 RANWW
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $149,900 GNMLS
- 2025-06-23 Price Changed $154,900 RANWW
- 2025-06-23 Price Changed $154,900 GNMLS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $159,900 RANWW
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $159,900 GNMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $164,900 GNMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $164,900 RANWW
- 2025-04-09 Listed $129,900 GNMLS
- 2024-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-04 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GNMLS
- 2024-08-26 Contingent — GNMLS
- 2024-07-03 Relisted — GNMLS
- 2024-06-19 Contingent — GNMLS
- 2024-06-13 Listed $69,500 GNMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,118 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…