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285 Chestnut St
C Composite 57.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

285 Chestnut St · Phillips, WI 54555
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,040 sqft · Other · 178 Days on market
Built 1920 8,276 sqft lot $61/sqft · 21% below area Est $158k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!

Key facts

  • Several improvements
  • Large dining room
  • New boiler system

Tags

SEVERAL IMPROVEMENTSNEW BOILER SYSTEMBRAND NEW CARPETINGLARGE LIVING ROOMSTAIN GLASS WINDOWLARGE DINING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Phillips School District (rural): math 39% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #233 of 342 in WI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Price County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Price County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $125k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.92%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,557
List price
$124,900
Delta
-20.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,071
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,255
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54555

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,118/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,118
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 173 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 172 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 169 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 165 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 163 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 162 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 161 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 160 DOM
  16. 2026-02-23
    price $124,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!

  17. 2025-10-31
    price $129,900
  18. 2025-10-04
    price $134,900
  19. 2025-09-18
    price $139,900
  20. 2025-09-18
    price $139,900
  21. 2025-08-19
    price $144,900
  22. 2025-08-19
    price $144,900
  23. 2025-07-16
    price $149,900
  24. 2025-07-16
    price $149,900
  25. 2025-06-23
    price $154,900
  26. 2025-06-23
    price $154,900
  27. 2025-05-28
    price $159,900
  28. 2025-05-28
    price $159,900
  29. 2025-04-09
    listed $164,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!

  30. 2025-04-09
    listed $129,900 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!

  31. 2025-04-09
    listed $164,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Enjoy classic charm with this 4-bedroom home with a convenient location in the City of Phillips. This home has seen several improvements over the last 10 years including, siding, roof, windows and a new boiler system installed in August of 2024. As soon as you enter the home you are greeted with brand new carpeting and a large living room area featuring a stain glass window. The main floor also features a large dining room, bedroom, bath and 1st floor laundry room. There is a detached garage with alley access and a beautiful corner lot with mature trees. Call today for your personal tour. Seller is Motivated!

  32. 2024-10-07
    soldstatus $65,000
  33. 2024-10-04
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
  34. 2024-08-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  35. 2024-07-03
    status Active
  36. 2024-06-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  37. 2024-06-13
    listed $69,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,118 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,214 · $185/mo
Expected delta
+$97/yr (+$8/mo · 4.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,599
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,118
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$269
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$64
After-tax cash flow
$1,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phillips School District
NCES district ID
5511730
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,261
Composite
29.84/100
National rank
#6417
State rank
#233 of 342 in WI

Livability — Phillips

Score
69/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#8882

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phillips, WI
Population (ZIP)
4,726

Population outlook (Price County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,757 people
By 2030
12,157 · -4.7%
By 2040
10,761 · -15.6%
By 2050
9,515 · -25.4%
By 2075
8,293 · -35.0%
By 2100
7,470 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Pacific Islander 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Hungarian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Price

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 33.9% · R 65.1%
2008→2024 swing
-44.5pp toward R · 2008: 13.4pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+27.6 2016: R+25.0 2012: D+0.0 2008: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.02%
Current HPI
203.2875
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.7% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $124,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $129,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $134,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,900 RANWW
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $139,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $144,900 RANWW
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $144,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-07-16 Price Changed $149,900 RANWW
  • 2025-07-16 Price Changed $149,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $154,900 RANWW
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $154,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $159,900 RANWW
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $159,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $164,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $164,900 RANWW
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $129,900 GNMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2024-10-04 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GNMLS
  • 2024-08-26 Contingent GNMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Relisted GNMLS
  • 2024-06-19 Contingent GNMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Listed $69,500 GNMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,118 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…