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12640 W State Route 163
D- Composite 37.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

12640 W State Route 163 · Oak Harbor, OH 43449
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1989 2.15 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Live On-Site Real Estate Auction! Minimum Bid $150,000. Auction date is June 13th at 11am with preview and registration at 10am. Situated on 2.15 Acres in Oak Harbor, surrounded by open space and scenic views, this is perfect for those seeking a quieter lifestyle, yet still conveniently located! 3,108 Sq. Ft with 4-bedrooms, 2-baths and a full basement. Spacious 36 x 47 pole barn, ideal for equipment, hobbies or workshop. This home has it all! Whether you're looking for space, privacy, or an investment opportunity, this property delivers! Info & Terms on Auctioneer's website. Open House Event June 8th 3-6pm. 10% Buyer's Premium.

Key facts

  • 2.15 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1989

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking for 4 vehicles; Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (150 amp service); Propane available; Septic tank; Well water
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Has basement (block)
  • Exterior features: Fire pit; Ramped access; Deck; Front porch; Barn(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on Upper level (approx. 15 x 11); Bedroom 3 on Upper level (approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom 4 on Upper level (approx. 12 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in shower chair; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; Roll-in shower; Storage; Walk-in closets; Primary bathroom; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (13.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.2% in Oak Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#211 in OH, #3,308 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Benton Carroll Salem Local (town): math 79% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #74 of 656 in OH (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Harbor High School (math 75% / reading 80%, grade A-, #52 of 781 statewide, top 7%, 673 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ottawa County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $123,872 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.22%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.6%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-31,440
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-36,419
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43449

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,908/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$-113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,382
Max offer price $130,068
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    listed $150,000 Active
  12. 2026-05-06
    historical $150,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,908 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,908 · $242/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,865
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,908
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$3,937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$945
After-tax cash flow
$-409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benton Carroll Salem Local
NCES district ID
3904892
Math proficiency
79% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,133
Composite
66.1/100
National rank
#438
State rank
#74 of 656 in OH

Livability — Oak Harbor

Score
76/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#3308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ottawa · 37,113 people
Metro
Sandusky, OH
Population (ZIP)
8,053
Household income
$71,496
Rent vs Own
19.7% rent · 80.3% own
Severe rent burden
11.2

Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,548 people
By 2030
38,297 · -3.2%
By 2040
35,070 · -11.3%
By 2050
31,956 · -19.2%
By 2075
27,454 · -30.6%
By 2100
23,596 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-31.3pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.1 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.76%
Current HPI
192.8443
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $150,000 NORIS
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $150,000 NORIS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,908 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…