85 Iron Ln · Poinciana, FL 33844

$100,000

1 bd · 2.0 ba · 408 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market

Built 1987 2,574 sqft lot $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.8/30.0
• DSCR +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.2/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Forget about monthly lot leases—here, you own the land outright! HOA dues are currently only $210 for the entire year. This well-maintained 1-bedroom, 2-full bathroom home at 85 Iron Ln is ready for its next owner. This home is built for low-maintenance living and peace of mind. Inside, you’ll find well-kept hard floors throughout, creating a clean, modern feel and making upkeep a breeze. Strategically located between Orlando and Tampa, this property puts you in the driver’s seat of Florida’s best attractions, being just minutes away from the charm of Winter Haven and the world-class fun of Legoland Florida. This property is perfectly positioned for those seeking

Key facts

• Well maintained
• 2,574 sq ft lot
• Parking

Tags

• WELL MAINTAINED
• LOW MAINTENANCE LIVING
• HARD FLOORS THROUGHOUT
• STRATEGICALLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Residential property (manufactured home) on a small lot (approximately 0.06 acres, 40 x 65); Living/building area reported as 408 (units listed in public records)
• Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Homeowners association present; annual association fee $210 (monthly equivalent $17.50); association fee is required; Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Has a carport (1 space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Home faces south; Entry on main level
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation (and other foundation type listed)
• Exterior features: Porch with screened enclosure; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: No notable interior features listed
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located inside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.3% in Poinciana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1333 active listings in the ZIP; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.22% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.75%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-936
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $12,981
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33844

• Home prices YoY: -26.7%
• Rents YoY: 1.2%
• Active inventory: 1333
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,219 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$106 /mo · $1,268/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$17
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$256
• Net cashflow: $274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $872

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $17 · $204/yr

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $100,000 Active 30 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
15. 2026-05-14
    listed $120,000 Active
16. 1998-02-16
    soldstatus $31,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,268 · $106/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,268 · $106/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,628
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$1,268
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,170
• − Management: −$1,170
• − HOA: −$204
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $1,805
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$433
• After-tax cash flow: $2,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Polk
• NCES district ID: 1201590
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $43,979
• Composite: 34.74/100
• National rank: #5132
• State rank: #62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Poinciana

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #859
• US rank: #21760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Polk County · 740,051 people
• City population: 51,255
• Metro: Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
• Population (ZIP): 51,255
• Household income: $63,650
• Rent vs Own: 29.6% rent · 70.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1107.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 752,975 people
• By 2030: 804,621 · +6.9%
• By 2040: 906,117 · +20.3%
• By 2050: 1,000,476 · +32.9%
• By 2075: 1,197,520 · +59.0%
• By 2100: 1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 48% White 31% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.94%
• Current HPI: 291.0798
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.16%
• Metro: Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+281.0% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,268 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.