2713 Squire Cir · Columbia, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Private backyard
- Thoughtful updates
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached paved garage with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Faces south
- Construction: No other structures listed
- Exterior features: Covered patio/deck and front porch; Full wire fencing; Cul-de-sac lot; Partially wooded
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Oven; Built-in range
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
- Flooring: Wood; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Smart thermostat; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Walk-out basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blue Ridge Elem. (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,005 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 419 students, 68% FRL); Oakland Middle School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #342 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 544 students, 59% FRL); Muriel W. Battle High School (math 7% / reading 47%, grade F, #420 of 521 statewide, top 82%, 1,581 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 35% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia 93 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.60%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,940
- List price
- $259,500
- Delta
- 12.60%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2700 Squire Cir | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 2,024 (-2%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $114 | 86 |
| 2624 Whitegate Dr | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 2,028 (-2%) | 21mo | $269,000 | $133 | 73 |
| 2504 Whitegate Dr | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (-2%) | 15mo | $179,900 | $89 | 71 |
| 1507 Sylvan Ln | 0.30mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,156 (+4%) | 5mo | $249,900 | $116 | 68 |
| 1505 Sylvan Ln | 0.30mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,992 (-4%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 2420 White Gate Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,808 (-13%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $127 | 59 |
| 2712 Mexico Gravel Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,332 (+12%) | 22mo | $155,000 | $66 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.96% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-16,980
- Equity at exit
- $38,692
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $40,095
- Equity at exit
- $22,437
Cash invested: $72,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65202
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,417 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,361
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,945/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $425 | -5% $352 | +0% $278 | +5% $205 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $183 | +0% $278 | +5% $374 | +10% $469 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $344 | base $278 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,875
- Closing costs
- $7,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 N William St Columbia, MO | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2120 | $2,400 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1415 Paris Rd Unit A Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $3,200 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1413 Paris Rd Unit 101 Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1659 | $2,800 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1409 Paris Rd Unit 101 Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $3,200 | $2.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3402 E Saint Charles Rd Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,575 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1514 Richardson St Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $1,800 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $259,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 609-char remark
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2026-06-17pricestatusdays on market $259,500 Active 1 DOM
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2026-05-10status Pending 487-char remark
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2026-05-07status Active 487-char remark
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2026-04-17status Pending 487-char remark
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2026-04-09$249,900 Active 487-char remark
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2026-04-02historical $249,900 487-char remark
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2024-05-03soldstatus
-
2024-04-29soldstatus Closed 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.
-
2024-03-26historical 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.
-
2024-03-21$209,000 Active 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.
-
2003-11-04soldstatus
-
2003-08-25$82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,945 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,517 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- +$572/yr (+$48/mo · 29.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,536
- − Property taxes
- −$1,945
- − Insurance
- −$1,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,320
- − Management
- −$2,320
- − Depreciation
- −$7,549
- Taxable loss
- −$966
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$232
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia 93
- NCES district ID
- 2901000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,547
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6036
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, MO
- County
- Boone County · 158,877 people
- City population
- 158,877
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,327
- Household income
- $72,289
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1326.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,891 people
- By 2030
- 217,799 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 246,789 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 276,116 · +36.1%
- By 2075
- 348,426 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 400,856 · +97.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 16% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.32%
- Current HPI
- 205.5154
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.96%
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+214.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $259,500 CBORMLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — CBORMLS
- 2026-04-17 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $249,900 CBORMLS
- 2026-04-02 Coming Soon — CBORMLS
- 2024-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 2024-03-26 Delisted — CBORMLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $209,000 CBORMLS
- 2003-11-04 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 2003-08-25 Listed $82,500 CBORMLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,945 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…