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2713 Squire Cir
D Composite 43.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,500

2713 Squire Cir · Columbia, MO 65202
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,072 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1965 9,331 sqft lot $125/sqft · 17% above area Est $222k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Private backyard
  • Thoughtful updates

Tags

NEW ROOFQUIET CUL-DE-SACWOODED SETTINGPRIVATE BACKYARDCOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACETHOUGHTFUL UPDATES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached paved garage with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Faces south
  • Construction: No other structures listed
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/deck and front porch; Full wire fencing; Cul-de-sac lot; Partially wooded

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Oven; Built-in range
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
  • Flooring: Wood; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smart thermostat; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Walk-out basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (6.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blue Ridge Elem. (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,005 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 419 students, 68% FRL); Oakland Middle School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #342 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 544 students, 59% FRL); Muriel W. Battle High School (math 7% / reading 47%, grade F, #420 of 521 statewide, top 82%, 1,581 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 35% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia 93 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $241,682 (6.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.60%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$221,940
List price
$259,500
Delta
12.60%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2700 Squire Cir 0.06mi 4/2.0 2,024 (-2%) 7mo $230,000 $114 86
2624 Whitegate Dr 0.09mi 4/2.0 2,028 (-2%) 21mo $269,000 $133 73
2504 Whitegate Dr 0.21mi 4/2.0 2,020 (-2%) 15mo $179,900 $89 71
1507 Sylvan Ln 0.30mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,156 (+4%) 5mo $249,900 $116 68
1505 Sylvan Ln 0.30mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,992 (-4%) 15mo $225,000 $113 62
2420 White Gate Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,808 (-13%) 8mo $230,000 $127 59
2712 Mexico Gravel Rd 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,332 (+12%) 22mo $155,000 $66 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.96% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-16,980
Equity at exit
$38,692
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$40,095
Equity at exit
$22,437

Cash invested: $72,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65202

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,417 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,361
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,945/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,065
Max offer price $259,500
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $425 -5% $352 +0% $278 +5% $205 +10% $131
Rent -10% $87 -5% $183 +0% $278 +5% $374 +10% $469
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $344 base $278 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,875
Closing costs
$7,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
600 N William St Columbia, MO 5.0 2.5 2120 $2,400 $1.13 23d 1 1.31mi
1415 Paris Rd Unit A Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1659 $3,200 $1.93 45d 1 1.35mi
1413 Paris Rd Unit 101 Columbia, MO 4.0 4.0 1659 $2,800 $1.69 45d 1 1.36mi
1409 Paris Rd Unit 101 Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1468 $3,200 $2.18 45d 1 1.39mi
3402 E Saint Charles Rd Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,575 $1.06 45d 1 1.43mi
1514 Richardson St Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1827 $1,800 $0.99 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $259,500 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $259,500 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 609-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $259,500 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 487-char remark
  6. 2026-05-07
    status Active 487-char remark
  7. 2026-04-17
    status Pending 487-char remark
  8. 2026-04-09
    listed $249,900 Active 487-char remark
  9. 2026-04-02
    historical $249,900 487-char remark
  10. 2024-05-03
    soldstatus
  11. 2024-04-29
    soldstatus Closed 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.

  12. 2024-03-26
    historical 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.

  13. 2024-03-21
    listed $209,000 Active 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Come discover this inviting split-level home nestled in a wooded lot at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac. Step inside to find a spacious family room and living area, complemented by a cozy fireplace. The beautifully updated kitchen adds a touch of modern elegance. With its serene location and large fenced backyard, along with recent upgrades, this home offers the perfect combination of comfort, space, and style.

  14. 2003-11-04
    soldstatus
  15. 2003-08-25
    listed $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,945 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,517 · $210/mo
Expected delta
+$572/yr (+$48/mo · 29.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,002
− Mortgage interest
−$14,536
− Property taxes
−$1,945
− Insurance
−$1,298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,320
− Management
−$2,320
− Depreciation
−$7,549
Taxable loss
−$966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$232
After-tax cash flow
$3,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia 93
NCES district ID
2901000
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,547
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6036
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Columbia

Score
83/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#862

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, MO
County
Boone County · 158,877 people
City population
158,877
Metro
Columbia, MO
Population (ZIP)
47,327
Household income
$72,289
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
1326.0

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,891 people
By 2030
217,799 · +7.3%
By 2040
246,789 · +21.6%
By 2050
276,116 · +36.1%
By 2075
348,426 · +71.7%
By 2100
400,856 · +97.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 16% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.32%
Current HPI
205.5154
Rent YoY
▲ 5.96%
Metro
Columbia, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+214.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $259,500 CBORMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Pending CBORMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted CBORMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Pending CBORMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $249,900 CBORMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Coming Soon CBORMLS
  • 2024-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) CBORMLS
  • 2024-03-26 Delisted CBORMLS
  • 2024-03-21 Listed $209,000 CBORMLS
  • 2003-11-04 Sold (MLS) CBORMLS
  • 2003-08-25 Listed $82,500 CBORMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,945 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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