16 Lelola Ln · Pell City, AL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.43%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy lake living with a beautiful view of Logan Martin Lake from a spacious big-screen porch—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. This completely remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath home (2011, 14x66) sits on a desirable corner lot, offering privacy and charm. The property includes a 16x32 garage/storage building, ideal for boats, tools, or hobbies. Located in a welcoming community with access to a boat launch and pier, it’s perfect for water lovers. Move-in ready with modern updates throughout, this home combines comfort, convenience.
Key facts
- Boat launch
- Lake view
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property has paved public road access; Boat launch and motorized boats allowed; Fishing, swimming and skiing allowed; Water access; Lot has lake/water view
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Parking on main level
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet available (Hargray)
- Home design: Single-story living (all main-level rooms); Existing construction; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Screened deck; Screened porch; Storage building; Lake/water view; Waterfront on Logan Martin (water access, 1 ft reported); Corner lot; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Laminate countertops; Electric cooktop; Built-in dishwasher; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Additional bedroom(s) (main level); Walk-in closets
- Flooring: Hardwood laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower; Tub/shower combo; Split bedrooms layout (bath access)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Split system cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Split bedroom floor plan; All window treatments remain
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.5% in Pell City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Pell City (town): math 17% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #67 of 129 in AL (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Coosa Valley Elementary School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #121 of 627 statewide, top 21%, 486 students, 54% FRL); Pell City High School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #181 of 305 statewide, top 60%, 1,171 students, 55% FRL).
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.71%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,362
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $23,137
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35054
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $353 | +0% $306 | +5% $259 | +10% $213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $182 | -5% $244 | +0% $306 | +5% $368 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $374 | -0.5pp $340 | base $306 | +0.5pp $271 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $135,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 43% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,506
- − Management
- −$1,506
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,619
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$389
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready manufactured home offers a good condition with modern updates and a desirable corner lot, perfect for lake living.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both trim around windows — improves aesthetics and value
- Both check for termite damage — ensures structural integrity and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both trim around windows — improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both check for termite damage — ensures structural integrity and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pell City
- NCES district ID
- 0102650
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,051
- Composite
- 26.04/100
- National rank
- #7303
- State rank
- #67 of 129 in AL
Livability — Pell City
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #8246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,546
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,954
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,158 people
- By 2030
- 97,008 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 101,615 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 104,537 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 109,350 · +16.1%
- By 2100
- 106,785 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.47%
- Current HPI
- 188.9891
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $140,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…