228 N Texas St · Pittsburg, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step back in time as you walk into this 1936 built home. Roomy space and a large front porch. Updates tastefully done. Schedule an appointment to see this property!
Key facts
- Built 1936
- Listed 92 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.1% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#144 in TX, #4,098 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
- Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 18 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.04%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $210,988
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -29.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Branch St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,757 (-2%) | 9mo | $248,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 402 Cypress St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,688 (-6%) | 5mo | $62,500 | $37 | 72 |
| 511 Cypress St | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,609 (-10%) | 13mo | $259,000 | $161 | 51 |
| 105 Candy Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,855 (+3%) | 15mo | $199,900 | $108 | 48 |
| 154 Tupelo St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,580 (-12%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $155 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $18,136
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $70,544
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75686
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$311 /mo · $3,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 Mount Pleasant St Pittsburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2305 | $2,300 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $159,000 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
Step back in time as you walk into this 1936 built home. Roomy space and a large front porch. Updates tastefully done. Schedule an appointment to see this property!
-
2026-03-18$173,000 Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
Step back in time as you walk into this 1936 built home. Roomy space and a large front porch. Updates tastefully done. Schedule an appointment to see this property!
-
2025-10-14$159,000 Active
-
2025-10-07historical
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2025-09-23$179,500 Active
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2025-09-11historical
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2025-09-02price $139,000
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2025-09-01price $135,000
-
2025-07-14price $149,000
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2025-07-08price $159,000
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2025-05-26$169,500 Active
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2025-03-26historical
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2025-02-11price $165,000
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2025-02-11price $165,000
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2025-02-11price $165,000
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2025-01-30$169,500 Active
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2024-11-25$169,500 Active
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2024-11-22$169,500 Active
-
2024-11-15$174,430 Active
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2024-09-28historical
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2024-08-29price $169,500
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2024-08-28price $169,500
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2024-08-09price $173,500
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2024-08-07price $173,500
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2024-07-29$175,000 Active
-
2024-07-25$175,000 Active
-
2023-10-26historical
-
2023-08-26$175,000 Active
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2023-08-25soldstatus
-
2023-08-21$175,000 Active
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2020-06-30soldstatus
-
2020-06-30soldstatus
-
2020-05-29$112,900
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2020-01-06$112,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,738 · $311/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,738 · $311/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$3,738
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $6,021
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,445
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,500/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsburg ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835010
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,136
- Composite
- 40.87/100
- National rank
- #3627
- State rank
- #216 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pittsburg
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #4098
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pittsburg, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,427
Population outlook (Camp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,403 people
- By 2030
- 13,741 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 14,436 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 15,135 · +12.9%
- By 2075
- 16,836 · +25.6%
- By 2100
- 17,582 · +31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Black 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Scottish 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.6) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.12%
- Current HPI
- 181.5522
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+319.5% since first listed45 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $159,000 GTAR
- 2026-03-18 Listed $173,000 GTAR
- 2025-10-14 Listed $159,000 LAAR
- 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $179,500 NTREIS
- 2025-09-11 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $139,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $149,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $159,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-26 Listed $169,500 NTREIS
- 2025-03-26 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $165,000 LAAR
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $165,000 GTAR
- 2025-01-30 Listed $169,500 LAAR
- 2024-11-25 Listed $169,500 NTREIS
- 2024-11-22 Listed $169,500 GTAR
- 2024-11-15 Listed $174,430 GTAR
- 2024-09-28 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-08-29 Price Changed $169,500 NTREIS
- 2024-08-28 Price Changed $169,500 GTAR
- 2024-08-09 Price Changed $173,500 NTREIS
- 2024-08-07 Price Changed $173,500 GTAR
- 2024-07-29 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $175,000 GTAR
- 2023-10-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2023-08-26 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2023-08-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-21 Listed $175,000 GTAR
- 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) — LAAR
- 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2020-05-29 Listed $112,900 GTAR
- 2020-01-06 Listed $112,900 LAAR
- 2018-04-17 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2018-02-26 Listed $89,900 GTAR
- 2015-11-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-11-23 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2015-10-27 Listed $69,900 GTAR
- 2014-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-11 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2014-05-05 Listed $79,500 GTAR
- 2014-02-24 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2014-01-23 Listed $37,900 GTAR
- 2004-05-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,738 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…