212 Blackmar St · Newark, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1875
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 3 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt pitched roof; Resale property; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage
- Construction: Stone foundation; Built previously (existing construction)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms including den, family room and laundry
- Flooring: Carpet; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Newark Central School District (town): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #527 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $132k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.33%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,664
- List price
- $132,000
- Delta
- -19.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Blackmar St | 0.02mi | 4/1.5 | 1,662 (+5%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $27 | 78 |
| 209 Cooper St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,446 (-8%) | 1mo | $192,500 | $133 | 76 |
| 208 Van Buren St St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,736 (+10%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $40 | 62 |
| 214 Hoffman St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,552 (-2%) | 10mo | $180,200 | $116 | 58 |
| 340 W Union St St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,554 (-2%) | 5mo | $143,000 | $92 | 58 |
| 162 Bryant Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+3%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $135 | 57 |
| 115 Ford St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-15%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $74 | 54 |
| 318 East Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,660 (+5%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $90 | 53 |
| 454 Murray St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,528 (-3%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $39 | 51 |
| 325 E Union St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,428 (-10%) | 16mo | $122,000 | $85 | 47 |
| 322 E Miller St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,770 (+12%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $73 | 45 |
| 603 Colton Ave | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,738 (+10%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $92 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,857
- Equity at exit
- $19,682
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,724
- Equity at exit
- $11,413
Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14513
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$692
- Tax from tax record
- −$301 /mo · $3,615/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $195
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $232 | +0% $195 | +5% $158 | +10% $120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $133 | +0% $195 | +5% $257 | +10% $319 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $262 | -0.5pp $229 | base $195 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,000
- Closing costs
- $3,960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $132,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$132,000 Active 509-char remark
-
2023-01-18soldstatus $69,000
-
2023-01-13soldstatus $69,000 Closed Sale or Rented 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".
-
2022-12-26status Under Contract- Do Not Show 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".
-
2022-12-16price $79,500 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".
-
2022-11-17$86,500 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".
-
2020-08-24soldstatus $86,900
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2020-08-24soldstatus $86,900
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2020-08-21soldstatus $86,900 Closed Sale or Rented
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!
-
2020-07-14status Pending Sale
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!
-
2020-06-19status Under Contract- Do Not Show
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!
-
2020-06-05$85,900 Active
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!
-
2019-11-13historical
-
2019-10-21price $85,900
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2019-10-01$89,900 Active
-
1996-12-06soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,615 · $301/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,615 · $301/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,394
- − Property taxes
- −$3,615
- − Insurance
- −$660
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$3,840
- Taxable income
- $358
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$86
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newark Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620640
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,966
- Composite
- 33.55/100
- National rank
- #5428
- State rank
- #527 of 590 in NY
Livability — Newark
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #405
- US rank
- #6978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newark, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,501
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,662 people
- By 2030
- 81,945 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 73,735 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 65,029 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 47,451 · -44.6%
- By 2100
- 31,574 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 13% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.98%
- Current HPI
- 253.627
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+116.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $132,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-13 Sold (MLS) $69,000 UNYREIS
- 2022-12-26 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2022-12-16 Price Changed $79,500 UNYREIS
- 2022-11-17 Listed $86,500 UNYREIS
- 2020-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $86,900 Public Records
- 2020-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $86,900 Public Records
- 2020-08-21 Sold (MLS) $86,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-07-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-06-19 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-06-05 Listed $85,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-11-13 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-10-21 Price Changed $85,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-10-01 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 1996-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,615 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…