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212 Blackmar St
C+ Composite 62.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,000

212 Blackmar St · Newark, NY 14513
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1875 10,454 sqft lot $84/sqft · 19% below area Est $164k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1875

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 3 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt pitched roof; Resale property; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Built previously (existing construction)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms including den, family room and laundry
  • Flooring: Carpet; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Newark Central School District (town): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #527 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $132k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $130,020 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.07%
Cash-on-cash
6.33%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,664
List price
$132,000
Delta
-19.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 Blackmar St 0.02mi 4/1.5 1,662 (+5%) 13mo $45,000 $27 78
209 Cooper St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (-8%) 1mo $192,500 $133 76
208 Van Buren St St 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,736 (+10%) 10mo $70,000 $40 62
214 Hoffman St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,552 (-2%) 10mo $180,200 $116 58
340 W Union St St 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,554 (-2%) 5mo $143,000 $92 58
162 Bryant Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,624 (+3%) 6mo $219,000 $135 57
115 Ford St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-15%) 7mo $100,000 $74 54
318 East Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,660 (+5%) 11mo $150,000 $90 53
454 Murray St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,528 (-3%) 14mo $60,000 $39 51
325 E Union St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,428 (-10%) 16mo $122,000 $85 47
322 E Miller St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (+12%) 15mo $130,000 $73 45
603 Colton Ave 0.64mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,738 (+10%) 5mo $160,000 $92 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-8,857
Equity at exit
$19,682
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$8,724
Equity at exit
$11,413

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14513

Home prices YoY
-16.7%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$301 /mo · $3,615/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,327
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $270 -5% $232 +0% $195 +5% $158 +10% $120
Rent -10% $71 -5% $133 +0% $195 +5% $257 +10% $319
Rate -1.0pp $262 -0.5pp $229 base $195 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $132,000 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-05-08
    listed $132,000 Active 509-char remark
  5. 2023-01-18
    soldstatus $69,000
  6. 2023-01-13
    soldstatus $69,000 Closed Sale or Rented 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".

  7. 2022-12-26
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".

  8. 2022-12-16
    price $79,500 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".

  9. 2022-11-17
    listed $86,500 Active 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio! Property being sold "As Is".

  10. 2020-08-24
    soldstatus $86,900
  11. 2020-08-24
    soldstatus $86,900
  12. 2020-08-21
    soldstatus $86,900 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!

  13. 2020-07-14
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!

  14. 2020-06-19
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!

  15. 2020-06-05
    listed $85,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A hidden gem in the village of Newark! Within minutes to parks, canal port, local schools and shops. Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on nearly a quarter acre with a spacious driveway and three fenced sides. Park in the detached, 3-car garage this winter and never brush the snow off your car again! The workshop off the garage provides ample space for hobbies or storage. A great starter home, or addition to any rental portfolio!

  16. 2019-11-13
    historical
  17. 2019-10-21
    price $85,900
  18. 2019-10-01
    listed $89,900 Active
  19. 1996-12-06
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,615 · $301/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,615 · $301/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,890
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$3,615
− Insurance
−$660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable income
$358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$86
After-tax cash flow
$2,255/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newark Central School District
NCES district ID
3620640
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$44,966
Composite
33.55/100
National rank
#5428
State rank
#527 of 590 in NY

Livability — Newark

Score
71/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#6978

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, NY
Population (ZIP)
13,501

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
85,662 people
By 2030
81,945 · -4.3%
By 2040
73,735 · -13.9%
By 2050
65,029 · -24.1%
By 2075
47,451 · -44.6%
By 2100
31,574 · -63.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 13% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.98%
Current HPI
253.627
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $132,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-13 Sold (MLS) $69,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-12-26 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-12-16 Price Changed $79,500 UNYREIS
  • 2022-11-17 Listed $86,500 UNYREIS
  • 2020-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $86,900 Public Records
  • 2020-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $86,900 Public Records
  • 2020-08-21 Sold (MLS) $86,900 UNYREIS
  • 2020-07-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-06-19 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-06-05 Listed $85,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-11-13 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2019-10-21 Price Changed $85,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-10-01 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 1996-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,615 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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