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104 Arvilla Rd
C+ Composite 60.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

104 Arvilla Rd · Matamoras (New Matamoras), OH 26170
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1946 0.28 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute and cozy 3-bedroom home perfect for those looking to downsize, start out, or add to their investment portfolio. Includes an attached one-car garage and a location just outside of town, providing a quiet setting with quick access to the main road. Per seller- Tyler or Pleasants Schools.

Key facts

  • Quiet setting
  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

ATTACHED ONE-CAR GARAGEQUIET SETTINGQUICK ACCESS TO MAIN ROADTYLER OR PLEASANTS SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water and well
  • Home design: Single-family property; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,092; Lot approximately 0.28 acres
  • Construction: Concrete, vinyl siding, and wood siding construction; Asphalt, fiberglass, and metal roofing
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement with interior and exterior entry; Total of 6 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Tyler County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #18 of 55 in WV (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tyler County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,582 (3.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$59,801
Equity at exit
$89,998
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
7.14×
Total profit
$171,883
Equity at exit
$194,084

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 26170

Home prices YoY
14.9%
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $689/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $859
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $113 +0% $85 +5% $56 +10% $28
Rent -10% $8 -5% $46 +0% $85 +5% $123 +10% $161
Rate -1.0pp $135 -0.5pp $110 base $85 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $32

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    price $99,900
  3. 2026-03-13
    listed $107,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$689 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,124 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 63.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,590
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$689
− Insurance
−$1,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$149
After-tax cash flow
$1,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler County Schools
NCES district ID
5401440
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,906
Composite
29.17/100
National rank
#6576
State rank
#18 of 55 in WV

Livability — Matamoras (New Matamoras)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Pleasants
Population (ZIP)
6,153
Household income
$61,992
Rent vs Own
16.6% rent · 83.4% own
Severe rent burden
4.5

Population outlook (Tyler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,409 people
By 2030
8,035 · -4.4%
By 2040
7,233 · -14.0%
By 2050
6,460 · -23.2%
By 2075
4,823 · -42.6%
By 2100
3,342 · -60.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tyler

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.4) · D 15.3% · R 82.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -67.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.4 2020: R+66.2 2016: R+68.0 2012: R+43.5 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.38%
Current HPI
264.467
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $107,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $689 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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