3208 Pasadena St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1926
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,669/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $135k implies a 979% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.76%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,824
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- 59.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $9,180
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $64,807
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,669 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,836/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $1,700 | $0.81 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 286 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,900 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $134,900 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 269 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 268 DOM
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2026-04-27price $134,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2026-04-26status Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2026-04-26status Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2026-04-26price $134,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-12-26historical 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-09-10price $124,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-09-09price $124,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-08-15price $114,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-08-15price $114,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-08-01price $119,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-08-01price $119,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-07-08price $124,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-07-08price $124,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-06-28status Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-06-27historical 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-06-05price $129,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-06-04price $129,900 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-05-07$140,000 Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2025-05-07$140,000 Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great investment property brick 3 bedroom 1 bathroom per unit. Freshly painted.
-
2024-03-01status Active
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2024-03-01historical
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2024-03-01historical
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2024-03-01historical
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2024-01-25$129,900 Active
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2024-01-25$129,900 Active
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2011-09-30soldstatus $12,500
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2011-09-15historical
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2011-06-02$24,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,836 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,957 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,836
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $2,830
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$679
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+441.8% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $134,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-28 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-07 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-07 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-01 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-25 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-25 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-09-30 Sold (MLS) $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-06-02 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,836 · -50.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…