CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9135 Winthrop St
B- Composite 66.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

9135 Winthrop St · Detroit, MI 48228
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 787 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1946 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 9135 Winthrop - a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath range located on Detroit's desirable west side! This property offers a spacious layout with great potential for both homeowners and investors alike. Features include a functional floor plan, generous living space, and a full basement for added convenience. Situated on a quiet residential block near schools, parks, shopping, and major freeways, this home provides easy access to everything Detroit has to offer. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or your next investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Full basement
  • 3,485 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTQUIET RESIDENTIAL BLOCKEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Basement parking access noted
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding construction
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Awning(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,210/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $70k implies a 1897% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.09%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$46,433
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9176 Winthrop St 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 730 (-7%) 2mo $30,000 $41 78
9590 Sussex St 0.45mi 2/1.0 800 (+2%) 7mo $30,000 $38 71
8283 Sussex St 0.51mi 2/1.0 777 (-1%) 4mo $58,000 $75 70
8896 Coyle St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 768 (-2%) 9mo $45,000 $59 68
8324 Coyle St 0.52mi 2/1.0 800 (+2%) 8mo $48,000 $60 66
10000 Montrose St 0.55mi 2/1.0 732 (-7%) 4mo $25,000 $34 59
9580 Mansfield St 0.43mi 2/1.0 890 (+13%) 0mo $23,000 $26 58
9965 Asbury Park 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 824 (+5%) 6mo $60,000 $73 51
10017 Mansfield St 0.62mi 2/1.0 862 (+10%) 8mo $45,000 $52 49
11360 Prest St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 842 (+7%) 3mo $55,000 $65 49
9997 Robson St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 865 (+10%) 3mo $35,000 $40 46
9910 Coyle St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 904 (+15%) 4mo $56,000 $62 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$12,294
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$32,129
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,210 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,607/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $671
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $466 -5% $446 +0% $426 +5% $406 +10% $386
Rent -10% $330 -5% $378 +0% $426 +5% $474 +10% $522
Rate -1.0pp $461 -0.5pp $444 base $426 +0.5pp $408 +1.0pp $389

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 17d 1 0.18mi
8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,300 $1.26 44d 1 0.31mi
9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 25d 1 0.33mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 3d 1 0.36mi
9601 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 500 $725 $1.45 44d 1 0.41mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.42mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 0.52mi
9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 44d 1 0.53mi
14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $845 $0.94 44d 1 0.54mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 44d 1 0.55mi
9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,430 $1.63 44d 1 0.64mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 0.67mi
8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,150 $1.12 44d 1 0.67mi
11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 13d 1 0.68mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 17d 1 0.73mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 17d 1 0.75mi
8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,350 $1.37 44d 1 0.77mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 25d 1 0.87mi
9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 6d 1 0.87mi
7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 981 $1,150 $1.17 16d 1 1.03mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 19d 1 1.07mi
12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,373 $1.57 23d 1 1.07mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 1.08mi
13717 Keal St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 799 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 1.13mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 44d 1 1.14mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 44d 1 1.15mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 6d 1 1.17mi
18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 44d 1 1.17mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 2d 15 1.22mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 44d 1 1.37mi
13310 Plymouth Rd Unit 05 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $595 $0.92 44d 1 1.41mi
13310 Plymouth Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $645 $0.99 44d 1 1.41mi
11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,400 $1.25 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 617-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,607 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,607 · $134/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,526
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,607
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$4,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,029
After-tax cash flow
$4,084/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-12-11 Sold (MLS) $3,505 REALCOMP
  • 2014-12-11 Sold (MLS) $3,505 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-11-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-11-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-11-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2014-11-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-10-21 Listed $3,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-10-21 Listed $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1997-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,607 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…