5726 Dutch Ln · Powell, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$433,180
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 5726 Dutch Lane, Powell, Ohio — a stunning new construction townhome built by M/I Homes. This thoughtfully designed home offers 2,049 square foot of well-planned living space, featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and an owner's bedroom suite conveniently located on the upper level. Key Features: Fireplace Patio Owner's en-suite bathroom Step inside to discover an open-concept living space that seamlessly connects the main areas of the home, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere for everyday living and entertaining. Every detail of this home reflects the quality of design that M/I Homes is known for, from the carefully selected finishes to the functional layout that m
Key facts
- Natural wood accents
- Black-lined windows
- Grand family room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $433k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-743 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $326k (24.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (34.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $285k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.8% in Powell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#201 in OH, #3,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Indian Springs Elementary (math 89% / reading 90%, grade A+, #24 of 1,584 statewide, top 2%, 654 students, 6% FRL); Hyatts Middle School (math 87% / reading 87%, grade A+, #7 of 654 statewide, top 1%, 930 students, 5% FRL); Olentangy Liberty High School (math 75% / reading 92%, grade A, #20 of 781 statewide, top 2%, 1,877 students, 3% FRL) — zoned schools at 5% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($407k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.35%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $647,546
- List price
- $433,180
- Delta
- -33.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5494 Dutch Ln | 0.21mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 2,049 (0%) | 7mo | $422,060 | $206 | 80 |
| 6079 Ludwig St | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 | 1,884 (-8%) | 4mo | $520,000 | $276 | 59 |
| 3218 Korg St | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 2,234 (+9%) | 7mo | $621,250 | $278 | 53 |
| 3391 Korg St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,056 (+0%) | 12mo | $630,980 | $307 | 52 |
| 5975 Ludwig St | 0.49mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 2,158 (+5%) | 20mo | $579,795 | $269 | 47 |
| 5967 Ibanez Dr | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 2,297 (+12%) | 17mo | $843,885 | $367 | 43 |
| 6162 Bishop Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (-5%) | 16mo | $517,980 | $265 | 43 |
| 3349 Majestic Way | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,886 (-8%) | 11mo | $603,900 | $320 | 42 |
| 3053 Sinatra Way | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,164 (+6%) | 18mo | $462,500 | $214 | 42 |
| 3019 Sinatra Way Lot 62 | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,096 (+2%) | 24mo | $508,000 | $242 | 42 |
| 6235 Lawford Ln | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,158 (+5%) | 24mo | $475,000 | $220 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-114,984
- Equity at exit
- $64,589
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.24×
- Total profit
- $-150,500
- Equity at exit
- $37,453
Cash invested: $121,290 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43065
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,849 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,272
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$541 /mo · $6,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$180
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $-743
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-444 | -5% $-593 | +0% $-743 | +5% $-893 | +10% $-1,042 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-968 | -5% $-855 | +0% $-743 | +5% $-630 | +10% $-518 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-525 | -0.5pp $-633 | base $-743 | +0.5pp $-855 | +1.0pp $-969 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,295
- Closing costs
- $12,995
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5494 Dutch Ln Powell, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2049 | $2,800 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5478 Dutch Ln Powell, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1792 | $2,800 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 6650 Liberty Grand Blvd Powell, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1355 | $3,040 | $2.24 | 0d | 11 | 1.19mi |
| 6932 Kinsale Ln Powell, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1810 | $2,700 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3225 Rossmore Cir Powell, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,295 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $433,180 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $433,180 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $433,180 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $433,180 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $433,180 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $433,180 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $433,180 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $433,180 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $433,180 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $433,180 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $433,180 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $433,180 Active 54 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,187
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,265
- − Property taxes
- −$6,498
- − Insurance
- −$2,166
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,735
- − Management
- −$2,735
- − Depreciation
- −$12,602
- Taxable loss
- −$16,813
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,035
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olentangy Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904676
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,074
- Composite
- 75.56/100
- National rank
- #132
- State rank
- #18 of 656 in OH
Livability — Powell
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #3091
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Delaware County · 203,207 people
- City population
- 46,679
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,679
- Household income
- $154,481
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 351.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Asian 11% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.55%
- Current HPI
- 233.6439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…