Duplex
491 2nd St · Troy, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Nice renovated 2 family. Both units are vacant. Also comes with a backyard and 3 car garage.
Key facts
- Renovated
- Backyard
- 2,613 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Tenants pay heat, electricity, and gas; Owner pays water, sewer, trash collection, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: 3 total parking spaces; 3-car garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 1,892; Built with wood siding
- Construction: Block and brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Pressure-treated deck; Deck; Wood fencing with gate; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 1 bedroom (on 1st floor); Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (on 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on 1st floor, one on 2nd floor)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $409/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,602/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2698% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $240k implies a 395% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.84%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,092
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 3rd St | 0.17mi | 5/2.0 | 1,936 (+2%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $72 | 82 |
| 393 1st St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (-2%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $106 | 75 |
| 556 2nd St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,754 (-7%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 55 Tyler St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,640 (-13%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 84 Ida St | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,876 (-1%) | 4mo | $72,000 | $38 | 63 |
| 358 1st St | 0.29mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,024 (+7%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $79 | 62 |
| 21 Lincoln Ave | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,142 (+13%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $54 | 61 |
| 303 2nd Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,924 (+2%) | 10mo | $133,500 | $69 | 50 |
| 17 7th St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,664 (-12%) | 4mo | $211,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 28-30 Vandenburgh Ave | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,888 (-0%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $111 | 50 |
| 588 6th Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,120 (+12%) | 9mo | $256,100 | $121 | 34 |
| 182 Hill St | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 | 1,610 (-15%) | 11mo | $148,000 | $92 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $20,437
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $115,610
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12180
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,602 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,512/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$756
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,602 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,801 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,801 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,602 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 2nd St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2442 | $3,000 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1520 6th Ave Troy, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1209 | $1,349 | $1.12 | 23d | 8 | 1.12mi |
| 51 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $725 | $0.36 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 53 13th St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 41 Christie St Troy, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $700 | $0.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 17 State St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1810 | $3,635 | $2.01 | 14d | 7 | 1.22mi |
| 79 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 88 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 97 14th St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 97 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $625 | $0.39 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1820 Highland Ave Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $725 | $0.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-01-16status Pending
-
2025-12-23price $239,900
-
2025-11-25$249,900 Active
-
2011-05-06historical
-
2011-04-22$35,000
-
2009-02-01historical
-
2008-07-25$89,000
-
2003-10-24soldstatus $48,500
-
2003-10-21soldstatus $48,500
-
2003-08-13historical
-
2003-07-20$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,512 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,283 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- +$771/yr (+$64/mo · 30.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$2,512
- − Insurance
- −$6,724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,458
- − Management
- −$3,458
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable income
- $6,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,597
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troy City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628950
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,143
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4318
- State rank
- #467 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- County
- Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
- City population
- 53,479
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,479
- Household income
- $75,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2698.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.53%
- Current HPI
- 285.0762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+336.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-01-16 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $239,900 Global MLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $249,900 Global MLS
- 2011-05-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2011-04-22 Listed $35,000 Global MLS
- 2009-02-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2008-07-25 Listed $89,000 Global MLS
- 2003-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
- 2003-10-21 Sold (MLS) $48,500 Global MLS
- 2003-08-13 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2003-07-20 Listed $55,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+17.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,512 · -33.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…