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23 Star Struck Ln
D+ Composite 45.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,500

23 Star Struck Ln · Woods Landing-Jelm, WY 82070
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 470 sqft · Manufactured · 323 Days on market
Built 1960

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Vinyl windows
  • Solid foundation

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSVINYL WINDOWSENERGY EFFICIENCYLOW MAINTENANCESOLID FOUNDATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Zoned for limited multifamily with manufactured homes
  • Construction: Metal siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $4k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $621 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $4k).
  • Recommended offer: $4k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Albany County School District #1 (town): math 51% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #19 of 41 in WY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $31 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $135 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($4k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $3,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
21.87%
Cap rate
205.30%
Cash-on-cash
710.73%
DSCR
32.62
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
31.27×
Total profit
$38,142
Equity at exit
$671
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
65.59×
Total profit
$81,385
Equity at exit
$389

Cash invested: $1,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82070

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
275
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$984 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$24
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $68/yr
Insurance
$2
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$621

Break-even live

Break-even rent $198
Max offer price $4,500
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,125
Closing costs
$135
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $4,500 Active 323 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $4,500 Active 322 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $4,500 Active 321 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $4,500 Active 320 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,500 Active 319 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $4,500 Active 317 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $4,500 Active 316 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $4,500 Active 313 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $4,500 Active 312 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $4,500 Active 311 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $4,500 Active 308 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $4,500 Active 307 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $4,500 Active 306 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $4,500 Active 305 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $4,500 Active 304 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $4,500 Active 303 DOM
  17. 2025-07-31
    listed $4,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,808
− Mortgage interest
−$252
− Property taxes
−$68
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$131
Taxable income
$7,943
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,906
After-tax cash flow
$5,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany County School District #1
NCES district ID
5600730
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,169
Composite
46.25/100
National rank
#2485
State rank
#19 of 41 in WY

Livability — Woods Landing-Jelm

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Albany County · 37,075 people
Metro
Laramie, WY
Population (ZIP)
20,144
Household income
$69,095
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
974.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,687 people
By 2030
46,862 · +7.3%
By 2040
53,248 · +21.9%
By 2050
60,547 · +38.6%
By 2075
82,326 · +88.4%
By 2100
102,008 · +133.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 50.6% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -3.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.2 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+4.3 2012: R+2.5 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -396.34%
Current HPI
193.777
Rent YoY
▲ 2.21%
Metro
Laramie, WY
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $4,500 LBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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