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3606 Rabbit Ln 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 48.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

3606 Rabbit Ln · Bryan, TX 77808
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,465 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1985 1.04 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Available 1.04 acre of land in Bryan, TX. Country living with established city utilities, multiple land entry accessibility, mature trees and a home that will need interior renovation. Easy access to HWY 6, call today to view!

Key facts

  • 1.04 acre of land
  • Interior renovation
  • Mature trees

Tags

1.04 ACRE OF LANDESTABLISHED CITY UTILITIESMATURE TREESINTERIOR RENOVATIONEASY ACCESS TO HWY 6

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $155,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $188,985.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities C-.
  • Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,985
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3003 Kim St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (-4%) 1mo $180,000 $129 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-19,243
Equity at exit
$28,178
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,986
Equity at exit
$16,340

Cash invested: $52,916 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77808

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,906 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$258 /mo · $3,099/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,681
Max offer price $188,985
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $285 -5% $232 +0% $178 +5% $125 +10% $71
Rent -10% $27 -5% $103 +0% $178 +5% $253 +10% $329
Rate -1.0pp $273 -0.5pp $226 base $178 +0.5pp $129 +1.0pp $79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,246
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3721 McKenzie St Bryan, TX 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,000 $1.34 44d 1 0.56mi
2796 Buccaneer Trl Bryan, TX 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,950 $1.53 21d 1 0.81mi
2408 Southside Dr Bryan, TX 3.0 1.5 1435 $1,399 $0.97 44d 1 1.24mi
2702 Montana Ave Bryan, TX 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,875 $1.44 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2025-10-07
    status Pending
  2. 2025-09-23
    listed $155,000 Active
  3. 1995-05-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,099 · $258/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,099 · $258/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,877
− Mortgage interest
−$10,586
− Property taxes
−$3,099
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,830
− Management
−$1,830
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$911
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$219
After-tax cash flow
$2,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bryan ISD
NCES district ID
4811790
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,895
Composite
26.26/100
National rank
#7253
State rank
#608 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bryan

Score
76/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#3341

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bryan, TX
County
Brazos County · 233,400 people
City population
101,772
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,797
Household income
$113,343
Rent vs Own
9.5% rent · 90.5% own
Severe rent burden
110.0

Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,942 people
By 2030
296,630 · +10.7%
By 2040
354,560 · +32.3%
By 2050
414,616 · +54.7%
By 2075
562,158 · +109.8%
By 2100
678,828 · +153.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazos

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.49%
Current HPI
216.65
Rent YoY
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-07 Pending BCSRMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $155,000 BCSRMLS
  • 1995-05-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,099 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…