13098 Michael St · Biloxi, MS
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Close proximity to I-10, minutes to D'Iberville & Promenade shopping, restaurants & entertainment. Ocean Springs is a short ride to great restaurants, festivals & shopping. This house is needing a lot of repairs, but could be so charming. Old established neighborhood. If you are looking for an affordable home to fix & live in or if you are an investor looking for a rental, this could be your next project. Some of the flooring is original hardwood. Fenced yard & shed. ''Short Sale Bank Approval Needed''. Home is being sold in ''As Is'' condition. Seller & Bank will do no repairs.
Key facts
- Newer exterior vinyl
- Newer water heater
- Newer lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Near entertainment; Playground
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 covered space); Driveway; Direct access; 2 total parking spaces
- Security: See remarks (security features referenced)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Fixer condition; Owner-provided living area
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built (year from public records)
- Exterior features: Chain link perimeter fencing; Three-tab shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Natural gas hook-up in kitchen
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Attic fan
- Interior features: Dead bolt locks; Rain gutters
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $87k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.11%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,440
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8442 Louise St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,487 (+0%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $145 | 80 |
| 13100 Lorraine Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-8%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $184 | 44 |
| 9150 Woolmarket Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,683 (+14%) | 6mo | $299,900 | $178 | 40 |
| 9201 Woolmarket Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+10%) | 10mo | $259,000 | $160 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $12,878
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $53,883
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39532
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 392
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,776 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $520
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13349 Lorraine Rd Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,925 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-13$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,310
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,304
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,705
- − Management
- −$1,705
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,535
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,089
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Biloxi
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Biloxi, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,662
- Household income
- $68,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.04%
- Current HPI
- 154.9975
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+39.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $125,000 MLSU
- 2023-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-07-14 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-07-08 Price Changed $40,000 MLSU
- 2023-06-18 Listed $65,000 MLSU
- 2023-06-14 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2023-05-20 Price Changed $65,000 MLSU
- 2023-05-20 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-04-01 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-03-28 Price Changed $75,000 MLSU
- 2023-03-28 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-02-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-02-08 Listed $124,900 MLSU
- 2019-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2018-11-14 Listed $89,900 MLSU
- 2013-11-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+22.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,304 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…