1021 Gordon Dr · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$46,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into refined comfort with this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom 2-bath mobile home, thoughtfully designed to offer both style and functionality. The home features a spacious, open layout complemented by newly replaced oversized deck- perfect for outdoor entertaining or peaceful relaxation. The kitchen is enhanced with sleek stainless steel appliances, blending modern elegance with everyday convenience, while a brand new washer and dryer add effortless move-in-ready appeal. Every detail contributes to a warm yet sophisticated atmosphere, creating a truly inviting place to call home. Call today to schedule your private tour!
Key facts
- Oversized deck
- New washer and dryer
- 1,056 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,500
- List price
- $46,000
- Delta
- -3.16%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 Gordon Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $44 | 99 |
| 1015 Gordon Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (+3%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $55 | 78 |
| 1407 W Commodore Blvd #194 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (+3%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $55 | 77 |
| 1407 W Commodore Blvd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 1mo | $49,000 | $43 | 76 |
| 1925 Last Rd #219 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-4%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $60 | 71 |
| 1206 W Plum St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $52 | 63 |
| 1021 W Peach St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-12%) | 16mo | $44,000 | $48 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-1,572
- Equity at exit
- $6,859
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $5,005
- Equity at exit
- $3,977
Cash invested: $12,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68522
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,504 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$241
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$58 /mo · $690/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$771
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $99
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $131 | -5% $115 | +0% $99 | +5% $83 | +10% $67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-20 | -5% $40 | +0% $99 | +5% $159 | +10% $218 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $122 | -0.5pp $111 | base $99 | +0.5pp $87 | +1.0pp $75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,500
- Closing costs
- $1,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1915 SW 12th St Unit 128 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,429 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1309 W Plum St #73 Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,679 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 705 Folsom Ln Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1173 | $2,105 | $1.79 | 15d | 16 | 0.38mi |
| 1101 W C St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $1,385 | $1.33 | 15d | 9 | 0.60mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 8 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $950 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 6 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $975 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1500 S Folsom St Unit 4 Lincoln, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $975 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 760 W C St Lincoln, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,419 | $1.39 | 15d | 8 | 0.72mi |
| 2960 S Coddington Ave Lincoln, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,419 | $1.78 | 15d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 1170 SW 27th St Lincoln, NE | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,349 | $1.32 | 15d | 12 | 1.21mi |
| 1708 S 6th St Unit 2 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $771 · $9,252/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-10status Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Step into refined comfort with this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom 2-bath mobile home, thoughtfully designed to offer both style and functionality. The home features a spacious, open layout complemented by newly replaced oversized deck- perfect for outdoor entertaining or peaceful relaxation. The kitchen is enhanced with sleek stainless steel appliances, blending modern elegance with everyday convenience, while a brand new washer and dryer add effortless move-in-ready appeal. Every detail contributes to a warm yet sophisticated atmosphere, creating a truly inviting place to call home. Call today to schedule your private tour!
-
2026-04-20historical 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Step into refined comfort with this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom 2-bath mobile home, thoughtfully designed to offer both style and functionality. The home features a spacious, open layout complemented by newly replaced oversized deck- perfect for outdoor entertaining or peaceful relaxation. The kitchen is enhanced with sleek stainless steel appliances, blending modern elegance with everyday convenience, while a brand new washer and dryer add effortless move-in-ready appeal. Every detail contributes to a warm yet sophisticated atmosphere, creating a truly inviting place to call home. Call today to schedule your private tour!
-
2026-04-13status Pending 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Step into refined comfort with this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom 2-bath mobile home, thoughtfully designed to offer both style and functionality. The home features a spacious, open layout complemented by newly replaced oversized deck- perfect for outdoor entertaining or peaceful relaxation. The kitchen is enhanced with sleek stainless steel appliances, blending modern elegance with everyday convenience, while a brand new washer and dryer add effortless move-in-ready appeal. Every detail contributes to a warm yet sophisticated atmosphere, creating a truly inviting place to call home. Call today to schedule your private tour!
-
2026-03-25$46,000 New 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Step into refined comfort with this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom 2-bath mobile home, thoughtfully designed to offer both style and functionality. The home features a spacious, open layout complemented by newly replaced oversized deck- perfect for outdoor entertaining or peaceful relaxation. The kitchen is enhanced with sleek stainless steel appliances, blending modern elegance with everyday convenience, while a brand new washer and dryer add effortless move-in-ready appeal. Every detail contributes to a warm yet sophisticated atmosphere, creating a truly inviting place to call home. Call today to schedule your private tour!
-
2024-05-17soldstatus $43,000 Sold 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
This mobile home is a spacious and comfortable living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. It features a newly replaced large deck which provides ample space for outdoor relaxation and entertainment. The home is equipped with stainless steel appliances, adding a touch of modern elegance to the kitchen. Overall this mobile home offers a nice and inviting atmosphere for a comfortable living experience. Lot rent is $694 a month and water, trash, sewer is billed in addition to lot rent by Harbour West. Buyer must apply through Harbour West and be approved.
-
2024-05-03status Pending 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
This mobile home is a spacious and comfortable living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. It features a newly replaced large deck which provides ample space for outdoor relaxation and entertainment. The home is equipped with stainless steel appliances, adding a touch of modern elegance to the kitchen. Overall this mobile home offers a nice and inviting atmosphere for a comfortable living experience. Lot rent is $694 a month and water, trash, sewer is billed in addition to lot rent by Harbour West. Buyer must apply through Harbour West and be approved.
-
2024-03-19$52,000 New 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
This mobile home is a spacious and comfortable living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. It features a newly replaced large deck which provides ample space for outdoor relaxation and entertainment. The home is equipped with stainless steel appliances, adding a touch of modern elegance to the kitchen. Overall this mobile home offers a nice and inviting atmosphere for a comfortable living experience. Lot rent is $694 a month and water, trash, sewer is billed in addition to lot rent by Harbour West. Buyer must apply through Harbour West and be approved.
-
2023-10-24soldstatus $40,000 Sold
-
2023-10-11status Pending
-
2023-09-12$40,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,577
- − Property taxes
- −$690
- − Insurance
- −$230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,444
- − Management
- −$1,444
- − HOA
- −$9,252
- − Depreciation
- −$1,338
- Taxable income
- $1,073
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$257
- After-tax cash flow
- $933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom 2-bath mobile home offers a spacious, open layout with new updates, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both furniture — improves aesthetics and comfort
- Both upgrades to appliances — enhances functionality and appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both furniture — improves aesthetics and comfort ↑
- Both upgrades to appliances — enhances functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,836
- Household income
- $77,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 366.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.49%
- Current HPI
- 247.8809
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+15.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Relisted — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $46,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-05-17 Sold (MLS) $43,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-05-03 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2024-03-19 Listed $52,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-10-24 Sold (MLS) $40,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-10-11 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2023-09-12 Listed $40,000 GPRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…