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130 S Elm Ave
D Composite 41.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

130 S Elm Ave · Gillett, WI 54124
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Other · 52 Days on market
Built 1946 6,098 sqft lot $109/sqft · at area comps Est $172k · at est. ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent price for this Gillett property! This 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom Cape Cod home is a great find. The main floor interior of this home is like brand new and Well-Maintained. Entire main floor was gutted to the studs and renovated. All new plumbing, electrical, insulation, sheetrock, Kitchen Cabinets, Countertops, bathroom fixtures, flooring, doors and windows. Range, Refrigerator, Microwave, Washer and Dryer are included in sale. Enjoy the deep backyard the property has to offer. Close to schools & shopping. Save money with your low house payment here! A must see! The exterior is Slate siding.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Construction completed
  • Construction: Finished above-grade area about 1,600 sq. ft.; No finished below-grade square footage reported
  • Exterior features: Asphalt/composite exterior; Lot is approximately 0.14 acres (under 1/2 acre); Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (13 x 14); Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level (14 x 14); Second bedroom on upper level (12 x 14)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement with poured concrete and sump pump; Main-level living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#467 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gillett School District (rural): math 33% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #245 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gillett High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #376 of 483 statewide, top 79%, 159 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gillett School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Oconto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oconto County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $153,268 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.34%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,928
List price
$174,900
Delta
1.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-24,874
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-17,220
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54124

Home prices YoY
-13.8%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,533 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,994/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,464
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $174,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $174,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $179,900 Active 610-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,994 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,615 · $218/mo
Expected delta
+$621/yr (+$52/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,392
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,994
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,471
− Management
−$1,471
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$2,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$553
After-tax cash flow
$1,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gillett School District
NCES district ID
5505250
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$43,986
Composite
28.94/100
National rank
#6631
State rank
#245 of 342 in WI

Livability — Gillett

Score
66/100
State rank
#467
US rank
#11862

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gillett, WI
Population (ZIP)
3,345

Population outlook (Oconto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,829 people
By 2030
35,853 · -2.7%
By 2040
32,932 · -10.6%
By 2050
29,355 · -20.3%
By 2075
22,731 · -38.3%
By 2100
16,736 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Portuguese 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oconto

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.0% · R 71.0%
2008→2024 swing
-49.2pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+9.5 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.57%
Current HPI
285.0576
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $174,900 RANW
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $179,900 RANW

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,994 · +40.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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