2312 23rd Street Ensley · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The front porch has been converted to a sun room with widows and Venetian blinds This home is in very good condition ready to move in
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 268 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $109k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.28%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,305
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- 30.84%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2309 22nd St Ensley | 0.04mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,495 (-3%) | 4mo | $87,500 | $59 | 86 |
| 2321 22nd St Ensley | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,388 (-10%) | 0mo | $77,000 | $55 | 79 |
| 2517 Avenue | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,638 (+6%) | 1mo | $114,429 | $70 | 72 |
| 2436 29th St W | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,398 (-9%) | 2mo | $98,100 | $70 | 65 |
| 1319 Court R | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-6%) | 6mo | $39,900 | $28 | 60 |
| 2671 20th St W | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-7%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $144 | 60 |
| 2627 28th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-8%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $127 | 58 |
| 2908 Ensley Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (+1%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $39 | 57 |
| 2720 23rd St W | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,692 (+10%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $27 | 57 |
| 2728 20th Place Ensley | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-13%) | 1mo | $47,000 | $35 | 54 |
| 1633 29th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,658 (+8%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $63 | 47 |
| 2116 Warrior Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,720 (+12%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $29 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $9,513
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $61,376
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,281 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $369 | +0% $338 | +5% $307 | +10% $276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $237 | -5% $287 | +0% $338 | +5% $388 | +10% $439 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $365 | base $338 | +0.5pp $309 | +1.0pp $281 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2337 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,295 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2356 22nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $985 | $0.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2426 Avenue U Unit U Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,175 | $0.93 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2108 25th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2213 25th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2528 25th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1563 | $1,100 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2037 26th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $995 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2436 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2609 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2609 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2621 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2348 Court R Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $1,769 | $0.99 | 2d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1825 18th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,123 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2712 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,099 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2720 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2720 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 20d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2714 17th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $1,553 | $0.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2523 16th street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,300 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3017 Ensley Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1540 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2709 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,323 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1720 Cullman Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $899 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1720 Cullman Ave Unit 3 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $950 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2304 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $980 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1616 28th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1081 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1724 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,395 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2309 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,395 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3009 Prince Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,095 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1633 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,200 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2920 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,050 | $0.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1521 27th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1545 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1331 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3221 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1820 33rd St W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,495 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1701 Avenue I Unit I Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $1,225 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1701 Avenue I Unit I Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 820 17th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1701 4th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1977 | $1,550 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2520 Avenue U Unit A Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3113 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,275 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 811 17th Aly Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $109,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
The front porch has been converted to a sun room with widows and Venetian blinds This home is in very good condition ready to move in
-
2025-12-23price $119,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
The front porch has been converted to a sun room with widows and Venetian blinds This home is in very good condition ready to move in
-
2025-11-01price $129,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
The front porch has been converted to a sun room with widows and Venetian blinds This home is in very good condition ready to move in
-
2025-09-22$139,000 Active 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
The front porch has been converted to a sun room with widows and Venetian blinds This home is in very good condition ready to move in
-
2000-09-05soldstatus $52,900
-
1984-01-23soldstatus $35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,369
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,230
- − Management
- −$1,230
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $2,403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$577
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,475/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+203.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $109,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $129,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-22 Listed $139,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2000-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 1984-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…