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20291 Greydale Ave
B- Composite 69.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

20291 Greydale Ave · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1952 5,663 sqft lot $106/sqft · 16% above area Est $179k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-structured bungalow with an oversized backyard. Plenty of room to entertain. Subject is priced to sell fast. Property to be sold as-is. .

Key facts

  • Oversized backyard
  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

OVERSIZED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located near Lasher and 8 Mile; subdivision: LAHSER AVE SUPER; Directions: Take Lasher to Hessel, go east and make a right on Greydale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 137 (0.13 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); ENERGY STAR qualified heating equipment; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.32%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,442
List price
$109,900
Delta
-38.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20300 Chapel St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,043 (+0%) 1mo $122,500 $117 92
20266 Greydale Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,072 (+3%) 3mo $115,000 $107 90
21700 Pembroke Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+5%) 3mo $155,000 $142 75
19711 Chapel St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-2%) 1mo $120,000 $118 74
20116 Greydale Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,164 (+12%) 2mo $149,500 $128 74
20089 Trinity St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,025 (-1%) 4mo $201,349 $196 72
19411 Chapel St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-2%) 5mo $65,000 $64 65
21338 Pembroke Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 930 (-11%) 1mo $115,000 $124 64
19734 Westbrook St 0.50mi 3/1.0 950 (-9%) 2mo $63,500 $67 61
21256 8 1/2 Mile Rd 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+0%) 4mo $169,000 $162 60
19212 Northrop St 0.74mi 3/1.0 981 (-6%) 2mo $65,000 $66 54
19971 Patton St 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 901 (-13%) 3mo $54,000 $60 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$7,913
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$63,626
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,363 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,975/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $996
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $352 -5% $321 +0% $290 +5% $259 +10% $228
Rent -10% $182 -5% $236 +0% $290 +5% $344 +10% $398
Rate -1.0pp $346 -0.5pp $318 base $290 +0.5pp $262 +1.0pp $233

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20555 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $975 $1.32 44d 2 0.12mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 0.31mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 17d 1 0.35mi
47129 Wedgewood Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 44d 1 0.36mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 0.37mi
19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,395 $1.15 44d 1 0.48mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 44d 1 0.63mi
19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 17d 1 0.63mi
20079 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 5d 1 0.64mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 0.76mi
23411 W Eight Mile Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 742 $1,000 $1.35 44d 1 0.79mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 44d 1 0.89mi
20284 Melrose St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 0.98mi
19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 855 $1,020 $1.19 44d 1 0.99mi
19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 740 $1,150 $1.55 44d 2 0.99mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.07mi
22419 Fairway Dr Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1262 $1,850 $1.47 25d 1 1.15mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 44d 1 1.19mi
19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 44d 1 1.19mi
19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 44d 1 1.19mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 1.19mi
19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 25d 1 1.20mi
19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 25d 1 1.20mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 1.22mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 1.25mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 3d 1 1.30mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 25d 1 1.35mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 17d 1 1.38mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 17d 1 1.39mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 5d 1 1.39mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 25d 1 1.40mi
23404 Plum Hollow St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.5 1050 $2,000 $1.90 25d 1 1.41mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 15d 1 1.44mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 25d 1 1.45mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 17d 1 1.47mi
20083 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 5d 1 1.47mi
20083 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 11d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Well-structured bungalow with an oversized backyard. Plenty of room to entertain. Subject is priced to sell fast. Property to be sold as-is. .

  2. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Well-structured bungalow with an oversized backyard. Plenty of room to entertain. Subject is priced to sell fast. Property to be sold as-is. .

  3. 2026-05-06
    listed $109,900 Active 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Well-structured bungalow with an oversized backyard. Plenty of room to entertain. Subject is priced to sell fast. Property to be sold as-is. .

  4. 2026-05-06
    listed $109,900 Active 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Well-structured bungalow with an oversized backyard. Plenty of room to entertain. Subject is priced to sell fast. Property to be sold as-is. .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,975 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,975 · $165/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,357
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,975
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,309
− Management
−$1,309
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,863
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$447
After-tax cash flow
$3,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,975 · +43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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