14 Matthews Pl · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$999,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained three-family home offering the perfect blend of investment potential and comfortable living. Each unit features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a bright living room, and an eat-in kitchen, ideal for owner-occupants or savvy investors. Family Home - Great Investment Opportunity. 3 Car Garage was recently removed foundation in place.
Key facts
- 6,125 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1905
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $999k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $652/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $999k).
- Recommended offer: $969k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,294/mo this rent would consume 152% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 4225% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($969k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $103k; list at $999k implies a 870% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.39%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $984,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9609 Avenue M | 0.27mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,466 (-7%) | 5mo | $920,000 | $373 | 65 |
| 1442 E 86th St | 0.32mi | 7/— (+1) | 2,895 (+10%) | 1mo | $1,135,000 | $392 | 64 |
| 1389 E 93rd St | 0.31mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,612 (-1%) | 20mo | $950,000 | $364 | 62 |
| 2109 Canarsie Rd | 0.37mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,736 (+4%) | 10mo | $900,000 | $329 | 61 |
| 1611 E 92nd St | 0.08mi | 5/4.5 (-1) | 3,000 (+14%) | 14mo | $900,000 | $300 | 51 |
| 1211 E 84th St | 0.44mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,820 (+7%) | 13mo | $982,000 | $348 | 51 |
| 1771 E 93rd St | 0.39mi | 6/3.0 | 2,332 (-12%) | 17mo | $1,100,000 | $472 | 48 |
| 8 Paerdegat 6th St | 0.69mi | 6/3.0 | 2,394 (-9%) | 10mo | $960,000 | $401 | 44 |
| 8011 Avenue K | 0.70mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,440 (-8%) | 9mo | $970,000 | $398 | 40 |
| 1 Paerdegat 10th St | 0.60mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,980 (+13%) | 13mo | $980,000 | $329 | 35 |
| 12 Paerdegat 13th St | 0.52mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 3,000 (+14%) | 16mo | $1,030,000 | $343 | 33 |
| 1475 E 102th St | 0.58mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,258 (-14%) | 15mo | $965,000 | $427 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-37,587
- Equity at exit
- $148,954
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $126,509
- Equity at exit
- $86,375
Cash invested: $279,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11236
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 24.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,294 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,239
- Tax from tax record
- −$521 /mo · $6,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$416
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,162
- Net cashflow
- $1,956
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $10,293 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,431 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,431 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $3,431 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,294 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $249,750
- Closing costs
- $29,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2025-07-29status Pending
-
2025-06-24$999,000 Active
-
2022-08-18price $980,000
-
1997-12-22soldstatus $103,000
-
1991-01-02soldstatus $140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,252 · $521/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,568 · $964/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,315/yr (+$443/mo · 85.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $123,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,960
- − Property taxes
- −$6,252
- − Insurance
- −$4,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,882
- − Management
- −$9,882
- − Depreciation
- −$29,062
- Taxable income
- $7,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,799
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,051
- Household income
- $81,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4225.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% White 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14%
- Foreign-born
- 45% · Canada, Mexico, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 14% Spanish 6% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -375.21%
- Current HPI
- 330.8367
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+613.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-29 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-24 Listed $999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-18 Price Changed $980,000 BNYMLS
- 1997-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 1991-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,252 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…