CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1039 Clayton Rd
B Composite 71.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

1039 Clayton Rd · Monroe, NJ 08094
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1954 0.99 ac lot Est $353k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1039 Clayton Road, an incredible opportunity brimming with potential and ready for its next chapter in the heart of Williamstown. This property offers a versatile canvas for investors, flippers, or savvy buyers looking to customize a space and build immediate equity. Situated in a highly accessible location, you will enjoy the perfect balance of suburban tranquility and convenient proximity to local shopping, dining, major commuting routes, and great schools. Whether your goal is to renovate and hold, execute a profitable flip, or design your own dream home, this location provides the ideal foundation for a high-return investment. Bring your vision and your contractor to unlock t

Key facts

  • 0.99 acre lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land and improvement assessed values reported by Assessor
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric service 200+ amp; Natural gas heating fuel; Well water; On-site septic
  • Home design: Detached property; Finished above-grade area reported as 1,078 sq. ft. (per Assessor)
  • Construction: Block construction; Permanent foundation; Year built reported by Assessor
  • Exterior features: Detached structure; Other above- and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Central A/C; Forced air heating; Hot water system (other)
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area reported by Assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; list at $225k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $225,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
9.96%
Cash-on-cash
13.09%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$352,506
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1049 Clayton Rd 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+9%) 13mo $385,000 $327 67
1061 Clayton Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 988 (-8%) 14mo $340,000 $344 60
321 N Tuckahoe Rd 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,215 (+13%) 21mo $340,000 $280 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$7,429
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$63,325
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,999 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$409 /mo · $4,903/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$687

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,129
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $815 -5% $751 +0% $687 +5% $623 +10% $560
Rent -10% $450 -5% $569 +0% $687 +5% $806 +10% $924
Rate -1.0pp $800 -0.5pp $744 base $687 +0.5pp $629 +1.0pp $570

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
385 N Tuckahoe Rd Unit 969 Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 25d 1 0.42mi
945 Woodview Ct Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 23d 1 0.43mi
969 Woodview Ct Williamstown, NJ 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,999 $2.00 21d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-04
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,903 · $409/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,253 · $438/mo
Expected delta
+$350/yr (+$29/mo · 7.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,992
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$4,903
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,879
− Management
−$2,879
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$5,056
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,213
After-tax cash flow
$7,032/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Monroe

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+275.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-06-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-08 Price Changed $134,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-14 Listed $144,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-02-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-09 Price Changed $112,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-09-24 Price Changed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-09-08 Price Changed $137,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-27 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-13 Price Changed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-03 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-18 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (MLS) $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-02-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-10-16 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-08-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-01-16 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,903 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…