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9181 Harvard Rd
C+ Composite 60.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,000

9181 Harvard Rd · Detroit, MI 48224
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1929 3,920 sqft lot $62/sqft · 22% above area Est $76k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is a tenant occupied Colonial on Detroit's East Side. This recently updated dwelling boasts 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. It is currently occupied by a tenant paying 1500 / month. Lease and rent ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Nice location near the Detroit / Grosse Pointe border.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1929
  • Listed 76 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $93k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $93k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,420 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
13.01%
Cash-on-cash
24.00%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,948
List price
$93,000
Delta
22.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9155 Grayton St 0.11mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,554 (+3%) 0mo $170,000 $109 84
9160 Boleyn St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,436 (-5%) 4mo $69,000 $48 80
6150 Bluehill St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,647 (+9%) 3mo $153,000 $93 61
5753 Three Mile Dr 0.71mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,521 (+1%) 2mo $75,000 $49 59
9922 Yorkshire Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,342 (-11%) 2mo $75,000 $56 57
5960 Bishop St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,351 (-10%) 2mo $155,000 $115 56
16801 Chandler Park Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,632 (+8%) 4mo $260,000 $159 53
9905 Balfour Rd 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,597 (+6%) 3mo $160,000 $100 51
5541 Grayton St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,730 (+15%) 0mo $200,000 $116 44
5791 Bedford St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,344 (-11%) 1mo $178,000 $132 42
10947 Roxbury St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,696 (+12%) 2mo $127,675 $75 41
10130 Somerset Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (-14%) 4mo $116,500 $90 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$14,872
Equity at exit
$13,867
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$42,997
Equity at exit
$8,041

Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,453 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$488
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,202/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $793
Max offer price $93,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,250
Closing costs
$2,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 44d 1 0.10mi
9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1329 $1,200 $0.90 17d 1 0.11mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.20mi
9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1508 $1,300 $0.86 44d 1 0.20mi
6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1330 $1,199 $0.90 17d 1 0.22mi
9142 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 5.0 1.5 1450 $1,700 $1.17 2d 1 0.24mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 44d 1 0.26mi
10030 Bishop St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1721 $1,200 $0.70 17d 1 0.31mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 18d 1 0.40mi
9635 Everts St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,650 $1.14 44d 1 0.41mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 0.49mi
10870 Marne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1156 $1,100 $0.95 17d 1 0.53mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.58mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.59mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 17d 1 0.59mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 12d 1 0.61mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 0.67mi
5944 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1910 $1,300 $0.68 17d 1 0.68mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 17d 1 0.71mi
20926 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 0.71mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 15d 1 0.78mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 44d 1 0.79mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 5d 1 0.81mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 44d 1 0.85mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 44d 1 0.88mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 44d 1 0.88mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 0.89mi
19435 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,300 $1.13 17d 1 0.92mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 0.94mi
5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,450 $1.01 4d 1 0.95mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 11d 1 0.98mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 44d 1 1.00mi
19168 Berden St Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 2d 1 1.02mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 17d 1 1.02mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 17d 1 1.02mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 1.07mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 18d 1 1.08mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 17d 1 1.09mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.16mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $93,000 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $93,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $93,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $93,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $93,000 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $93,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,000 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,000 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 58 DOM
  14. 2026-04-03
    listed $95,000 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Colonial on Detroit's East Side. This recently updated dwelling boasts 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. It is currently occupied by a tenant paying 1500 / month. Lease and rent ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Nice location near the Detroit / Grosse Pointe border.

  15. 2026-04-03
    listed $95,000 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Here is a tenant occupied Colonial on Detroit's East Side. This recently updated dwelling boasts 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. It is currently occupied by a tenant paying 1500 / month. Lease and rent ledger available upon request. No showings prior to accepted offer. Nice location near the Detroit / Grosse Pointe border.

  16. 2025-06-05
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed
  17. 2025-06-05
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed
  18. 2025-05-07
    status Pending
  19. 2025-05-06
    status Pending
  20. 2025-03-27
    price $57,000
  21. 2025-03-26
    price $57,000
  22. 2025-02-12
    listed $60,000 Active
  23. 2025-02-12
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,202 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,317 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$115/yr (+$10/mo · 9.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,431
− Mortgage interest
−$5,209
− Property taxes
−$1,202
− Insurance
−$465
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,394
− Management
−$1,394
− Depreciation
−$2,705
Taxable income
$5,060
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,214
After-tax cash flow
$5,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-05 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-05 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-27 Price Changed $57,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Price Changed $57,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-12 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-12 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,202 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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