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534 Bluebird Dr
B- Composite 69.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

534 Bluebird Dr · Chubbuck, ID 83202
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Other · 12 Days on market
Built 1982 610 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home sits on a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. This property comes with a spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window outlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garbage for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long!

Key facts

  • 0.14 acre plot
  • Electric door
  • Built-in storage

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOME WITH LAND0.14 ACRE PLOTDETACHED SINGLE CAR GARAGEELECTRIC DOORBUILT-IN STORAGECOVERED PORTION OFF GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#4 in ID, #454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Chubbuck Elementary School (math 61% / reading 64%, grade B, #53 of 357 statewide, top 15%, 495 students, 34% FRL); Hawthorne Middle School (math 35% / reading 54%, grade D, #52 of 109 statewide, top 51%, 674 students, 48% FRL); Pocatello High School (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #25 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,352 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.30%
Cash-on-cash
17.88%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$9,980
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$41,720
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83202

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $199/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $702
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $450 -5% $423 +0% $396 +5% $261 +10% $229
Rent -10% $301 -5% $349 +0% $396 +5% $444 +10% $492
Rate -1.0pp $444 -0.5pp $421 base $396 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $347

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-30
    listed $95,000 Active
  3. 2024-07-08
    soldstatus Closed 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home sits on a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. This property comes with a spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window outlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garbage for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long!

  4. 2024-07-03
    soldstatus Closed 1126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  5. 2024-07-03
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  6. 2024-05-23
    status Pending 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  7. 2024-05-23
    status Pending 1126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  8. 2024-05-20
    price $80,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  9. 2024-05-20
    price $80,000 1126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  10. 2024-04-23
    listed $97,500 Active 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home sits on a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. This property comes with a spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window outlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garbage for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long!

  11. 2024-04-22
    listed $97,500 Active 1126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1126 chars)

    Spectacular opportunity near the heart of Chubbuck within walking distance of Bistline Park! This manufactured home includes a 0.14-acre plot of land located within easy access of all the essentials. A spacious detached single car garage with built-in storage & a covered portion off the rear ideal for additional outdoor storage or even a wonderful, covered area to enjoy the outdoors. Stepping inside, the home features a great-sized living room with rich dark flooring making the space easy to clean. Off the living room is the kitchen with complementary dark wood cabinetry & a charming window overlooking the yard for added natural light. The home comes with 2 good-sized bedrooms & a full bathroom down the main hallway & a walk-in laundry room with built-ins perfect for organization. Additionally, the property comes with separate garage. for convience. Trust us, this move-in ready home wont last long! Please note, this home will not qualify for a traditional home mortgage. It will need to be cash or special mobile home financing. It would make a great rental, starter or retirement home.

  12. 2018-07-02
    listed $72,900
  13. 2017-02-22
    soldstatus
  14. 2017-02-22
    soldstatus
  15. 2016-10-14
    listed $44,900
  16. 2014-04-17
    soldstatus
  17. 2011-02-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$199 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$656 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$456/yr (+$38/mo · 228.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,443
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$199
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$809
After-tax cash flow
$3,948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocatello District
NCES district ID
1602640
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,478
Composite
43.46/100
National rank
#3003
State rank
#26 of 92 in ID

Livability — Chubbuck

Score
86/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#454

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chubbuck, ID
County
Bannock County · 82,995 people
City population
24,513
Metro
Pocatello, ID
Population (ZIP)
24,513
Household income
$70,423
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
510.0

Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,173 people
By 2030
86,575 · +0.5%
By 2040
86,235 · +0.1%
By 2050
86,090 · -0.1%
By 2075
85,032 · -1.3%
By 2100
85,103 · -1.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Bannock

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.31%
Current HPI
229.4622
Rent YoY
▲ 3.14%
Metro
Pocatello, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Pending SRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $95,000 SRMLS
  • 2024-07-08 Sold (MLS) PCTMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-07-03 Sold (MLS) SRMLS
  • 2024-05-23 Pending PCTMLS
  • 2024-05-23 Pending SRMLS
  • 2024-05-20 Price Changed $80,000 PCTMLS
  • 2024-05-20 Price Changed $80,000 SRMLS
  • 2024-04-23 Listed $97,500 PCTMLS
  • 2024-04-22 Listed $97,500 SRMLS
  • 2018-07-02 Listed $72,900 PCTMLS
  • 2017-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-02-22 Sold (MLS) PCTMLS
  • 2016-10-14 Listed $44,900 PCTMLS
  • 2014-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-02-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $199 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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