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4511 Norton St
D Composite 41.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

4511 Norton St · Kansas City, MO 64130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1959 8,471 sqft lot $161/sqft · 55% above area Est $121k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready! Charming and cozy three bedroom, two bathroom home with a bonus room in the basement. This inviting property features an open living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a comfortable and functional space for everyday living and entertaining. The home offers great curb appeal with a welcoming exterior that stands out from the street. A full basement provides for additional storage! The basement also features a full bathroom and bonus room (forth bedroom/office/home gym) and the potential to have a finished living room! Step outside to enjoy the large backyard--perfect for relaxing or outdoor gatherings. A wonderful opportunity to own a well-maintained home with character and potential.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Bonus room
  • Full basement

Tags

BONUS ROOMFULL BASEMENTLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,813 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.60%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,785
List price
$139,000
Delta
15.08%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4410 Myrtle Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+6%) 4mo $80,000 $88 75
4504 E 43rd St 0.39mi 2/1.0 907 (+5%) 2mo $140,000 $154 72
4338 Myrtle Ave 0.20mi 2/1.0 780 (-10%) 3mo $125,000 $160 72
4327 Mersington Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 940 (+9%) 4mo $50,000 $53 71
4521 Lawn Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 816 (-6%) 4mo $88,000 $108 65
4519 Lister Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 816 (-6%) 6mo $93,000 $114 65
4132 Spruce Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+6%) 2mo $99,995 $110 63
4208 Spruce Ave 0.42mi 1/1.0 (-1) 812 (-6%) 5mo $48,000 $59 62
3942 Myrtle Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 890 (+3%) 3mo $85,000 $96 61
4218 Cleveland Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 780 (-10%) 6mo $110,000 $141 59
3938 Myrtle Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 805 (-7%) 0mo $65,000 $81 56
3920 Spruce Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 968 (+12%) 4mo $105,000 $108 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,295
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,719
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64130

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,238 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $506/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $228 -5% $188 +0% $149 +5% $110 +10% $70
Rent -10% $51 -5% $100 +0% $149 +5% $198 +10% $247
Rate -1.0pp $219 -0.5pp $184 base $149 +0.5pp $113 +1.0pp $76

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4216 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,125 $1.44 17d 1 0.39mi
4309 College Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,550 $1.49 17d 1 0.53mi
4028 Myrtle Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,490 $1.35 45d 1 0.55mi
4144 College Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,095 $0.99 24d 1 0.64mi
3949 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 945 $1,565 $1.66 3d 3 0.66mi
4427 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 17d 1 0.67mi
4005 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,050 $1.33 45d 1 0.70mi
4534 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $1,045 $1.15 17d 1 0.77mi
4911 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 0.90mi
4917 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 0.91mi
3736 Cypress Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 8d 1 0.94mi
4902 E 39th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 820 $1,300 $1.59 17d 1 0.98mi
5013 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 978 $1,225 $1.25 24d 1 0.98mi
3315 E 52nd St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 662 $1,125 $1.70 24d 1 0.99mi
3017 E 51st St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 621 $1,303 $2.10 8d 1 0.99mi
5601 E 39th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,225 $1.50 4d 1 1.10mi
3911 Oakley Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,195 $1.46 13d 1 1.15mi
5636 E 40th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,225 $1.50 4d 1 1.16mi
5700 E 40th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,245 $1.53 22d 1 1.17mi
5707 E 40th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,295 $1.59 13d 1 1.19mi
2305 E 41st St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,000 $1.33 8d 1 1.20mi
4930 Park Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 17d 1 1.27mi
3437 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 17d 1 1.28mi
3841 Olive St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $985 $1.24 15d 1 1.29mi
3710 Wabash Ave Unit 2S Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $850 $0.97 24d 1 1.41mi
5114 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,300 $1.16 8d 1 1.43mi
5614 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,175 $1.31 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Move in ready! Charming and cozy three bedroom, two bathroom home with a bonus room in the basement. This inviting property features an open living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a comfortable and functional space for everyday living and entertaining. The home offers great curb appeal with a welcoming exterior that stands out from the street. A full basement provides for additional storage! The basement also features a full bathroom and bonus room (forth bedroom/office/home gym) and the potential to have a finished living room! Step outside to enjoy the large backyard--perfect for relaxing or outdoor gatherings. A wonderful opportunity to own a well-maintained home with character and potential.

  2. 2026-04-27
    price $139,000 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Move in ready! Charming and cozy three bedroom, two bathroom home with a bonus room in the basement. This inviting property features an open living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a comfortable and functional space for everyday living and entertaining. The home offers great curb appeal with a welcoming exterior that stands out from the street. A full basement provides for additional storage! The basement also features a full bathroom and bonus room (forth bedroom/office/home gym) and the potential to have a finished living room! Step outside to enjoy the large backyard--perfect for relaxing or outdoor gatherings. A wonderful opportunity to own a well-maintained home with character and potential.

  3. 2026-03-06
    price $140,000 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Move in ready! Charming and cozy three bedroom, two bathroom home with a bonus room in the basement. This inviting property features an open living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a comfortable and functional space for everyday living and entertaining. The home offers great curb appeal with a welcoming exterior that stands out from the street. A full basement provides for additional storage! The basement also features a full bathroom and bonus room (forth bedroom/office/home gym) and the potential to have a finished living room! Step outside to enjoy the large backyard--perfect for relaxing or outdoor gatherings. A wonderful opportunity to own a well-maintained home with character and potential.

  4. 2026-02-13
    listed $145,000 Active 726-char remark
    Show marketing remark (726 chars)

    Move in ready! Charming and cozy three bedroom, two bathroom home with a bonus room in the basement. This inviting property features an open living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating a comfortable and functional space for everyday living and entertaining. The home offers great curb appeal with a welcoming exterior that stands out from the street. A full basement provides for additional storage! The basement also features a full bathroom and bonus room (forth bedroom/office/home gym) and the potential to have a finished living room! Step outside to enjoy the large backyard--perfect for relaxing or outdoor gatherings. A wonderful opportunity to own a well-maintained home with character and potential.

  5. 2025-12-25
    historical $1,195
  6. 2025-12-06
    listed $1,195
  7. 2023-12-18
    soldstatus
  8. 2023-10-24
    soldstatus
  9. 2023-09-29
    soldstatus
  10. 2011-06-13
    soldstatus 59-char remark
    Show marketing remark (59 chars)

    Bring your investors , Motivated Seller, Bring All Offers !

  11. 2011-05-19
    listed $8,500 59-char remark
    Show marketing remark (59 chars)

    Bring your investors , Motivated Seller, Bring All Offers !

  12. 2006-10-11
    soldstatus
  13. 2006-10-05
    soldstatus
  14. 2006-02-21
    listed $22,000
  15. 2004-05-06
    soldstatus
  16. 1999-08-03
    soldstatus
  17. 1995-02-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$506 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,348 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$842/yr (+$70/mo · 166.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,858
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$506
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$550
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$132
After-tax cash flow
$1,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
19,644
Household income
$42,221
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Swedish 0%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.32%
Current HPI
267.491
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+531.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $139,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $140,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $145,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-25 Rental Removed $1,195 RENTLY
  • 2025-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,195 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-06-13 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-19 Listed $8,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-10-05 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-21 Listed $22,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-05-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-08-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-02-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $506 · -23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…