262 W Caribbean · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952

$15,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 133 Days on market

Built 1980 $930/mo HOA · 48% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED, NEW AIR CONDITIONER, LAMINATE FLOORING THROUGHOUT, INCLUDES SUN ROOM AND SEPERATE SHED.

Key facts

• New metal roof
• Community amenities
• Hurricane shutters

Tags

• RESORT STYLE AMENITIES
• NEW METAL ROOF
• HURRICANE SHUTTERS
• 2 YEAR OLD A C SYSTEM
• COMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Pets allowed
• HOA & community: Community association with clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, and game room; HOA dues paid monthly

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 2 covered spaces (3 total parking spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volts electric service with three-phase; Sewer available; Water available
• Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Multi/split levels; Single-story appearance (1 story listed); Resale condition; North-facing
• Construction: Wood siding construction; Modular construction; Aluminum skirt
• Exterior features: Aluminum skirting; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator included
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Built-in features; Closet cabinetry; Partially furnished
• Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
• Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 47.0% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 645 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (54%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 13.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 46.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 145.28%
• DSCR: 7.46
• GRM: 0.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $83,616
• Comps found: 11

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7 Giralda	0.28mi	2/2.0	1,200 (-4%)	4mo	$21,000	$18	77
2948 Fiddlewood Cir	0.58mi	2/2.0	1,280 (+3%)	1mo	$122,000	$95	68
192 W Caribbean	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,416 (+14%)	6mo	$49,000	$35	66
3033 Satinleaf Ln	0.69mi	2/2.0	1,248 (0%)	4mo	$195,000	$156	64
188 W West Caribbean W	0.16mi	2/2.0	1,400 (+12%)	17mo	$106,000	$76	58
110 W Caribbean	0.33mi	2/2.0	1,416 (+14%)	5mo	$77,500	$55	58
2960 Fiddlewood Cir	0.54mi	2/2.0	1,246 (-0%)	22mo	$225,000	$181	56
8164 Buckthorn Cir	0.40mi	2/2.0	1,338 (+7%)	18mo	$83,000	$62	55
3316 Ironwood Ave	0.73mi	2/2.0	1,134 (-9%)	10mo	$208,500	$184	42
7 Oliva Rd	0.64mi	2/2.0	1,350 (+8%)	18mo	$90,000	$67	41
8526 Lidflower Ct	0.58mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,404 (+12%)	6mo	$70,900	$50	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 7.78×
• Total profit: $28,458
• Equity at exit: $2,237

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 15.40×
• Total profit: $60,497
• Equity at exit: $1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34952

• Home prices YoY: -29.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 645
• Price-to-rent: 0.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,952 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$79
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$19 /mo · $225/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$930
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$410
• Net cashflow: $508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,308

Max offer price $15,000

Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $519	-5% $514	+0% $508	+5% $503	+10% $498
Rent	-10% $354	-5% $431	+0% $508	+5% $586	+10% $663
Rate	-1.0pp $516	-0.5pp $512	base $508	+0.5pp $505	+1.0pp $501

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,750
• Closing costs: $450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 28 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1417	$1,700	$1.20	25d	1	0.37mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1013	$2,055	$2.03	15d	7	0.40mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	995	$1,764	$1.77	15d	15	0.46mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	1.0–2.0	1117	$1,926	$1.72	15d	6	0.55mi
1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$1,795	$1.95	15d	1	0.81mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL	2.0	2.5	1425	$2,200	$1.54	15d	1	0.86mi
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1121	$2,300	$2.05	25d	1	0.91mi
1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	1.0	902	$2,000	$2.22	25d	1	0.91mi
1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL	3.0	2.0	921	$2,100	$2.28	25d	1	0.93mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1440	$1,695	$1.18	15d	1	0.94mi
1503 SE Royal Green Cir Unit V104 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	865	$1,750	$2.02	25d	1	0.95mi
1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	886	$1,800	$2.03	25d	1	0.96mi
1524 SE Royal Green Cir Unit Q102 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	865	$1,800	$2.08	15d	1	0.99mi
1550 SE Royal Green Cir Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,850	$2.37	15d	1	0.99mi
1565 SE Royal Green Cir #108 Port St Lucie, FL	1.0	1.0	705	$1,595	$2.26	15d	1	1.00mi
1562 SE Royal Green Cir Unit T-204 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,900	$2.43	25d	1	1.00mi
1566 SE Royal Green Cir #203 Port St Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$2,000	$2.56	15d	1	1.07mi
1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	886	$1,750	$1.98	15d	1	1.10mi
1618 SE Elkhart Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL	3.0	2.0	1176	$2,200	$1.87	25d	1	1.10mi
2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	3.0	2.0	1212	$2,950	$2.43	15d	1	1.13mi
1536 SE Royal Green Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,750	$2.24	25d	1	1.14mi
1550 SE Royal Green Cir Unit P-203 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,750	$2.24	25d	1	1.16mi
1548 SE Royal Green Cir Unit M-103 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	886	$1,800	$2.03	25d	1	1.18mi
1548 SE Royal Green Cir #108 Port St Lucie, FL	1.0	1.0	705	$1,650	$2.34	15d	1	1.18mi
1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	895	$1,922	$2.15	15d	7	1.21mi
1350 SE La Haven Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1041	$2,100	$2.02	25d	1	1.33mi
1456 SE Rivergreen Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$1,825	$1.98	15d	1	1.35mi
991 SE Walters Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1040	$8,500	$8.17	25d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $930 · $11,160/yr

Listing history 29 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $15,000 Active 133 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $15,000 Active 130 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $15,000 Active 129 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $15,000 Active 128 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $15,000 Active 127 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $15,000 Active 125 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $15,000 Active 124 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $20,000 Active 122 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $20,000 Active 121 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 120 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 119 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $20,000 Active 116 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 115 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $20,000 Active 114 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 113 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 112 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $20,000 Active 111 DOM
18. 2026-04-25
    status Active
19. 2026-04-04
    historical Active Under Contract
20. 2026-03-29
    status Active
21. 2026-03-21
    status Pending
22. 2026-03-14
    price $20,000
23. 2026-03-05
    price $29,000
24. 2026-01-27
    listed $32,500 Active
25. 2024-01-29
    soldstatus $47,000 Closed 111-char remark

    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED, NEW AIR CONDITIONER, LAMINATE FLOORING THROUGHOUT, INCLUDES SUN ROOM AND SEPERATE SHED.

26. 2024-01-02
    status Pending 111-char remark

    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED, NEW AIR CONDITIONER, LAMINATE FLOORING THROUGHOUT, INCLUDES SUN ROOM AND SEPERATE SHED.

27. 2023-12-10
    price $60,000 111-char remark

    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED, NEW AIR CONDITIONER, LAMINATE FLOORING THROUGHOUT, INCLUDES SUN ROOM AND SEPERATE SHED.

28. 2023-11-28
    price $70,000 111-char remark

    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED, NEW AIR CONDITIONER, LAMINATE FLOORING THROUGHOUT, INCLUDES SUN ROOM AND SEPERATE SHED.

29. 2023-11-16
    listed $75,000 Active 111-char remark

    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED, NEW AIR CONDITIONER, LAMINATE FLOORING THROUGHOUT, INCLUDES SUN ROOM AND SEPERATE SHED.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,425
• − Mortgage interest: −$840
• − Property taxes: −$225
• − Insurance: −$75
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,874
• − Management: −$1,874
• − HOA: −$11,160
• − Depreciation: −$436
• Taxable income: $6,940
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,666
• After-tax cash flow: $4,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Lucie
• NCES district ID: 1201770
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,737
• Composite: 37.28/100
• National rank: #4449
• State rank: #51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Port St. Lucie, FL
• County: Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
• City population: 221,051
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,655
• Household income: $61,628
• Rent vs Own: 25.8% rent · 74.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 338,016 people
• By 2030: 355,687 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 385,521 · +14.1%
• By 2050: 406,106 · +20.1%
• By 2075: 441,054 · +30.5%
• By 2100: 436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -155.80%
• Current HPI: 371.0573
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.92%
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-73.3% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-25 Relisted — Beaches MLS
• 2026-04-04 Contingent — Beaches MLS
• 2026-03-29 Relisted — Beaches MLS
• 2026-03-21 Pending — Beaches MLS
• 2026-03-14 Price Changed $20,000 Beaches MLS
• 2026-03-05 Price Changed $29,000 Beaches MLS
• 2026-01-27 Listed $32,500 Beaches MLS
• 2024-01-29 Sold (MLS) $47,000 Beaches MLS
• 2024-01-02 Pending — Beaches MLS
• 2023-12-10 Price Changed $60,000 Beaches MLS
• 2023-11-28 Price Changed $70,000 Beaches MLS
• 2023-11-16 Listed $75,000 Beaches MLS