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612 State Route 1031
C Composite 55.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$23,500

612 State Route 1031 · Boggs, PA 16259
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,390 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1880 0.29 ac lot $17/sqft · 47% below area Est $44k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located right across the road from the Allegheny River, this 2-3 bed 1-bathroom property in Templeton is ready for its new owner! 612 Route 1031 borders State Game Land 287 which boasts over 2,000 acres of public hunting land, coupled with its proximity to the river, boat launch, and local town amenities, this property makes an ideal base camp for every outdoorsman. Add some touches to make it your winter hunting camp or bring your contractor and turn it into a rental or perfect starter home! Outside you'll find a carport to keep the snow off your vehicle and a covered porch, perfect for sipping your coffee while watching the boats go down the river. Inside you'll find a spacious living room, large kitchen, bathroom, and 3 additional rooms all on the same floor. Whether you're looking for an investment property or something for yourself, this property is worth a look!

Key facts

  • Public hunting land
  • Allegheny river
  • Boat launch

Tags

ALLEGHENY RIVERSTATE GAME LAND 287PUBLIC HUNTING LANDBOAT LAUNCHLOCAL TOWN AMENITIESCARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $621 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $21k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.8%/yr); year-one equity from $162 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $653 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $20,680 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.68%
Cap rate
41.39%
Cash-on-cash
125.36%
DSCR
6.58
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,461
List price
$23,500
Delta
-47.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 Clay Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,488 (+7%) 0mo $59,000 $40 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.48×
Total profit
$36,027
Equity at exit
$3,737
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.58×
Total profit
$82,764
Equity at exit
$2,434

Cash invested: $6,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16259

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$123
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $588/yr
Insurance
$10
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$621

Break-even live

Break-even rent $315
Max offer price $23,500
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $634 -5% $628 +0% $621 +5% $614 +10% $608
Rent -10% $534 -5% $577 +0% $621 +5% $664 +10% $708
Rate -1.0pp $633 -0.5pp $627 base $621 +0.5pp $615 +1.0pp $609

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,875
Closing costs
$705
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $23,500 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $23,500 Active 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $23,500 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $23,500 Active 190 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $23,500 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $23,500 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $23,500 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $23,500 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $23,500 Active 182 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $23,500 Active 181 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $23,500 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $23,500 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $23,500 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $23,500 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    price $23,500 880-char remark
    Show marketing remark (880 chars)

    Located right across the road from the Allegheny River, this 2-3 bed 1-bathroom property in Templeton is ready for its new owner! 612 Route 1031 borders State Game Land 287 which boasts over 2,000 acres of public hunting land, coupled with its proximity to the river, boat launch, and local town amenities, this property makes an ideal base camp for every outdoorsman. Add some touches to make it your winter hunting camp or bring your contractor and turn it into a rental or perfect starter home! Outside you'll find a carport to keep the snow off your vehicle and a covered porch, perfect for sipping your coffee while watching the boats go down the river. Inside you'll find a spacious living room, large kitchen, bathroom, and 3 additional rooms all on the same floor. Whether you're looking for an investment property or something for yourself, this property is worth a look!

  16. 2026-03-25
    price $26,500 880-char remark
    Show marketing remark (880 chars)

    Located right across the road from the Allegheny River, this 2-3 bed 1-bathroom property in Templeton is ready for its new owner! 612 Route 1031 borders State Game Land 287 which boasts over 2,000 acres of public hunting land, coupled with its proximity to the river, boat launch, and local town amenities, this property makes an ideal base camp for every outdoorsman. Add some touches to make it your winter hunting camp or bring your contractor and turn it into a rental or perfect starter home! Outside you'll find a carport to keep the snow off your vehicle and a covered porch, perfect for sipping your coffee while watching the boats go down the river. Inside you'll find a spacious living room, large kitchen, bathroom, and 3 additional rooms all on the same floor. Whether you're looking for an investment property or something for yourself, this property is worth a look!

  17. 2026-02-02
    price $29,900 880-char remark
    Show marketing remark (880 chars)

    Located right across the road from the Allegheny River, this 2-3 bed 1-bathroom property in Templeton is ready for its new owner! 612 Route 1031 borders State Game Land 287 which boasts over 2,000 acres of public hunting land, coupled with its proximity to the river, boat launch, and local town amenities, this property makes an ideal base camp for every outdoorsman. Add some touches to make it your winter hunting camp or bring your contractor and turn it into a rental or perfect starter home! Outside you'll find a carport to keep the snow off your vehicle and a covered porch, perfect for sipping your coffee while watching the boats go down the river. Inside you'll find a spacious living room, large kitchen, bathroom, and 3 additional rooms all on the same floor. Whether you're looking for an investment property or something for yourself, this property is worth a look!

  18. 2025-12-04
    listed $34,900 Active 880-char remark
    Show marketing remark (880 chars)

    Located right across the road from the Allegheny River, this 2-3 bed 1-bathroom property in Templeton is ready for its new owner! 612 Route 1031 borders State Game Land 287 which boasts over 2,000 acres of public hunting land, coupled with its proximity to the river, boat launch, and local town amenities, this property makes an ideal base camp for every outdoorsman. Add some touches to make it your winter hunting camp or bring your contractor and turn it into a rental or perfect starter home! Outside you'll find a carport to keep the snow off your vehicle and a covered porch, perfect for sipping your coffee while watching the boats go down the river. Inside you'll find a spacious living room, large kitchen, bathroom, and 3 additional rooms all on the same floor. Whether you're looking for an investment property or something for yourself, this property is worth a look!

  19. 2025-02-27
    soldstatus $22,500 Closed 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Handy Man Special. 2 Bedroom Ranch Style Home. Bring Your Hammer and Nails, Great Starter Home, Investment Property Or Great Camp. House is Located Just Before Templeton, Fishing, Boating, Hunting, Camping, Hiking, Biking and a Public Boat Launch Nearby.

  20. 2025-02-24
    status Pending 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Handy Man Special. 2 Bedroom Ranch Style Home. Bring Your Hammer and Nails, Great Starter Home, Investment Property Or Great Camp. House is Located Just Before Templeton, Fishing, Boating, Hunting, Camping, Hiking, Biking and a Public Boat Launch Nearby.

  21. 2025-02-03
    historical Contingent 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Handy Man Special. 2 Bedroom Ranch Style Home. Bring Your Hammer and Nails, Great Starter Home, Investment Property Or Great Camp. House is Located Just Before Templeton, Fishing, Boating, Hunting, Camping, Hiking, Biking and a Public Boat Launch Nearby.

  22. 2025-01-25
    listed $19,900 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Handy Man Special. 2 Bedroom Ranch Style Home. Bring Your Hammer and Nails, Great Starter Home, Investment Property Or Great Camp. House is Located Just Before Templeton, Fishing, Boating, Hunting, Camping, Hiking, Biking and a Public Boat Launch Nearby.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$588 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$588 · $49/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,206
− Mortgage interest
−$1,316
− Property taxes
−$588
− Insurance
−$915
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$684
Taxable income
$7,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,822
After-tax cash flow
$5,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Armstrong SD
NCES district ID
4202590
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,333
Composite
40.41/100
National rank
#3729
State rank
#233 of 539 in PA

Livability — Boggs

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,111

Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,513 people
By 2030
59,579 · -4.7%
By 2040
52,890 · -15.4%
By 2050
45,904 · -26.6%
By 2075
32,023 · -48.8%
By 2100
20,415 · -67.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.78%
Current HPI
133.4758
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $23,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $26,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $29,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $34,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-27 Sold (MLS) $22,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-24 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-03 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-01-25 Listed $19,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $588 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…