9434 Emerald Green Dr · Iowa Colony, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$267,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * FANTASTIC 4 BEDROOM IN MASTER PLAN STERLING LAKES * * * Come See this 4 Bedroom Beauty in Gated Master Plan Development. Resort Style Amenties Including Pocket Parks, Walking Trails, Lakes, Splash Pad & Olympic Sized Swimming Pool! Turn Key Ready for New Owners! Front Porch Elevation Makes for Great Curb Appeal. Large Living Area w/ Wood Like Plank Tile Throughout. Window Treatments & Custom Drapes Stay. Gorgeous Granite Kitchen w/ Abundant Cabinetry & Counter Space. Undermount Sink. Refrigerator Stays. Home Water Softener Installed & Reverse Osmosis Drinking Water System in Kitchen. Renovated Downstairs 1/2 Bath. Large Master Retreat w/ Beautifully Renovated Master Bath. Super Shower & Dual Vanity Sinks. Huge Walk in Closet. Spacious Fully Fenced Back Yard & Oversized Back Patio. Large Storage Shed Stays. Extended Driveway w/ Sidewalk to Back of Home. Pride of Ownership is Easy To See Here. Excellent Location w/ Quick Access to 288 & Hwy 6. * * * THIS IS THE ONE YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR * * *
Key facts
- 6,290 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $267k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (9.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $267k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Iowa Colony — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#757 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Alvin ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #255 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1148 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.28%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $273,729
- List price
- $267,000
- Delta
- -2.46%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9715 Blue Sapphire Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,121 (+2%) | 0mo | $272,500 | $128 | 76 |
| 1523 Splashing Wave Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,031 (-3%) | 0mo | $349,490 | $172 | 64 |
| 1522 Shimmering Ocean Way | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (-2%) | 1mo | $331,000 | $162 | 64 |
| 9822 Garnet Springs Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,879 (-10%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 1419 Splashing Wave Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,031 (-3%) | 1mo | $319,990 | $158 | 63 |
| 9114 Serene Hvn | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (-2%) | 1mo | $352,865 | $173 | 62 |
| 1507 Shimmering Ocean Way | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (-2%) | 1mo | $354,490 | $174 | 62 |
| 9111 Serene Haven Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,035 (-2%) | 1mo | $319,490 | $157 | 61 |
| 9007 Serene Hvn | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (-2%) | 2mo | $356,865 | $175 | 59 |
| 2518 Platinum Chase Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 2,361 (+13%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $127 | 47 |
| 9107 Serene Hvn | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,322 (+11%) | 2mo | $355,865 | $153 | 47 |
| 9915 Garnet Grove Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,879 (-10%) | 3mo | $254,000 | $135 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-58,910
- Equity at exit
- $39,811
- IRR
- -31.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-88,585
- Equity at exit
- $23,085
Cash invested: $74,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77583
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 1148
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,755 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,400
- Tax from tax record
- −$724 /mo · $8,693/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- HOA
- −$83
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $-142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9 | -5% $-67 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-218 | +10% $-293 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-360 | -5% $-251 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-33 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-74 | base $-142 | +0.5pp $-211 | +1.0pp $-282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,750
- Closing costs
- $8,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9439 Ruby Mist Dr Rosharon, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2605 | $2,276 | $0.87 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 9518 Peridot Green Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $1,886 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9423 Grand Spark Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1999 | $2,600 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1731 | $2,875 | $1.66 | 45d | 7 | 0.67mi |
| 10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1731 | $3,025 | $1.75 | 0d | 6 | 0.67mi |
| 2314 Red Slate Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2531 | $2,850 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1816 Corsica Creek Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1653 | $2,669 | $1.61 | 0d | 20 | 0.71mi |
| 10313 Malta Trace Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $2,545 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1123 Diamond Drape Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2510 Green Jasper Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $2,375 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2523 Topaz Hill Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1857 | $2,950 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1014 Star Grass Ln Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $2,375 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10610 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,700 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10622 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,775 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10507 Moon Valley Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,650 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10630 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1940 | $2,875 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10502 Moon Valley Ln Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,725 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1403 Cascade Hills Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2067 | $3,450 | $1.67 | 9d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1234 Scarlet Creek Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,650 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10538 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,775 | $1.82 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 9901 Kilkenny St Iowa Colony, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1735 | $2,726 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 10602 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,850 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1119 Toledo Bend Pass Rosharon, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10714 Cliffs View Dr Iowa Colony, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2070 | $2,700 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $83 · $996/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolsecurity
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $267,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $267,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $267,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $267,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $267,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $267,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $267,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $267,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-03-10$267,000 Active
-
2023-01-31soldstatus
-
2023-01-27soldstatus Sold 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* * * FANTASTIC 4 BEDROOM IN MASTER PLAN STERLING LAKES * * * Come See this 4 Bedroom Beauty in Gated Master Plan Development. Resort Style Amenties Including Pocket Parks, Walking Trails, Lakes, Splash Pad & Olympic Sized Swimming Pool! Turn Key Ready for New Owners! Front Porch Elevation Makes for Great Curb Appeal. Large Living Area w/ Wood Like Plank Tile Throughout. Window Treatments & Custom Drapes Stay. Gorgeous Granite Kitchen w/ Abundant Cabinetry & Counter Space. Undermount Sink. Refrigerator Stays. Home Water Softener Installed & Reverse Osmosis Drinking Water System in Kitchen. Renovated Downstairs 1/2 Bath. Large Master Retreat w/ Beautifully Renovated Master Bath. Super Shower & Dual Vanity Sinks. Huge Walk in Closet. Spacious Fully Fenced Back Yard & Oversized Back Patio. Large Storage Shed Stays. Extended Driveway w/ Sidewalk to Back of Home. Pride of Ownership is Easy To See Here. Excellent Location w/ Quick Access to 288 & Hwy 6. * * * THIS IS THE ONE YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR * * *
-
2022-12-28status Pending 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* * * FANTASTIC 4 BEDROOM IN MASTER PLAN STERLING LAKES * * * Come See this 4 Bedroom Beauty in Gated Master Plan Development. Resort Style Amenties Including Pocket Parks, Walking Trails, Lakes, Splash Pad & Olympic Sized Swimming Pool! Turn Key Ready for New Owners! Front Porch Elevation Makes for Great Curb Appeal. Large Living Area w/ Wood Like Plank Tile Throughout. Window Treatments & Custom Drapes Stay. Gorgeous Granite Kitchen w/ Abundant Cabinetry & Counter Space. Undermount Sink. Refrigerator Stays. Home Water Softener Installed & Reverse Osmosis Drinking Water System in Kitchen. Renovated Downstairs 1/2 Bath. Large Master Retreat w/ Beautifully Renovated Master Bath. Super Shower & Dual Vanity Sinks. Huge Walk in Closet. Spacious Fully Fenced Back Yard & Oversized Back Patio. Large Storage Shed Stays. Extended Driveway w/ Sidewalk to Back of Home. Pride of Ownership is Easy To See Here. Excellent Location w/ Quick Access to 288 & Hwy 6. * * * THIS IS THE ONE YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR * * *
-
2022-12-20status Option Pending 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* * * FANTASTIC 4 BEDROOM IN MASTER PLAN STERLING LAKES * * * Come See this 4 Bedroom Beauty in Gated Master Plan Development. Resort Style Amenties Including Pocket Parks, Walking Trails, Lakes, Splash Pad & Olympic Sized Swimming Pool! Turn Key Ready for New Owners! Front Porch Elevation Makes for Great Curb Appeal. Large Living Area w/ Wood Like Plank Tile Throughout. Window Treatments & Custom Drapes Stay. Gorgeous Granite Kitchen w/ Abundant Cabinetry & Counter Space. Undermount Sink. Refrigerator Stays. Home Water Softener Installed & Reverse Osmosis Drinking Water System in Kitchen. Renovated Downstairs 1/2 Bath. Large Master Retreat w/ Beautifully Renovated Master Bath. Super Shower & Dual Vanity Sinks. Huge Walk in Closet. Spacious Fully Fenced Back Yard & Oversized Back Patio. Large Storage Shed Stays. Extended Driveway w/ Sidewalk to Back of Home. Pride of Ownership is Easy To See Here. Excellent Location w/ Quick Access to 288 & Hwy 6. * * * THIS IS THE ONE YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR * * *
-
2022-12-05$279,900 Active 1067-char remark
Show marketing remark (1067 chars)
* * * FANTASTIC 4 BEDROOM IN MASTER PLAN STERLING LAKES * * * Come See this 4 Bedroom Beauty in Gated Master Plan Development. Resort Style Amenties Including Pocket Parks, Walking Trails, Lakes, Splash Pad & Olympic Sized Swimming Pool! Turn Key Ready for New Owners! Front Porch Elevation Makes for Great Curb Appeal. Large Living Area w/ Wood Like Plank Tile Throughout. Window Treatments & Custom Drapes Stay. Gorgeous Granite Kitchen w/ Abundant Cabinetry & Counter Space. Undermount Sink. Refrigerator Stays. Home Water Softener Installed & Reverse Osmosis Drinking Water System in Kitchen. Renovated Downstairs 1/2 Bath. Large Master Retreat w/ Beautifully Renovated Master Bath. Super Shower & Dual Vanity Sinks. Huge Walk in Closet. Spacious Fully Fenced Back Yard & Oversized Back Patio. Large Storage Shed Stays. Extended Driveway w/ Sidewalk to Back of Home. Pride of Ownership is Easy To See Here. Excellent Location w/ Quick Access to 288 & Hwy 6. * * * THIS IS THE ONE YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR * * *
-
2022-11-21historical
-
2022-10-24$299,999 Active
-
2022-10-21historical
-
2022-09-09$299,999 Active
-
2016-07-12soldstatus
-
2016-07-11soldstatus
-
2016-07-11soldstatus Sold
-
2016-06-14status Pending
-
2016-06-03status Option Pending
-
2016-05-04price $199,999
-
2016-03-17$209,999 Active
-
2016-03-17$199,999
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,693 · $724/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,693 · $724/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,062
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,956
- − Property taxes
- −$8,693
- − Insurance
- −$1,335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,645
- − Management
- −$2,645
- − HOA
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$7,767
- Taxable loss
- −$5,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $-273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alvin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808090
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,740
- Composite
- 38.96/100
- National rank
- #4080
- State rank
- #255 of 826 in TX
Livability — Iowa Colony
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #757
- US rank
- #13904
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iowa Colony, TX
- County
- Brazoria County · 374,982 people
- City population
- 51,892
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,747
- Household income
- $119,287
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 251.0
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.19%
- Current HPI
- 198.6559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+33.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Listed $267,000 HARMLS
- 2023-01-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-01-27 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-12-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-12-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-12-05 Listed $279,900 HARMLS
- 2022-11-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-10-24 Listed $299,999 HARMLS
- 2022-10-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-09-09 Listed $299,999 HARMLS
- 2016-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-07-11 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-07-11 Sold (MLS) — BCBR
- 2016-06-14 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-06-03 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-05-04 Price Changed $199,999 HARMLS
- 2016-03-17 Listed $209,999 HARMLS
- 2016-03-17 Listed $199,999 BCBR
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $8,693 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…