13103 Cypress Hill Dr Unit B2 · Hudson, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your new home located at 13103 Cypress Hill Dr. , #118 Unit B2. Affordable second-floor condo in Hudson with tons of potential!! This unit offers a spacious layout and a great opportunity to update to your own style. Enjoy the privacy of no upstairs neighbors and a comfortable living space filled with natural light. Step out onto the large porch-perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee. Ideal for year-round living, seasonal use, or investment. Enjoy the outdoors of your new community by relaxing by the community pool or get your tennis racket out or head to the shuffleboard courts. This home awaits you.
Key facts
- Shuffleboard courts
- Near dining
- Second floor condo
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.6% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#289 in FL, #4,856 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Moon Lake Elementary School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,787 of 2,144 statewide, top 84%, 579 students, 70% FRL); Crews Lake Middle School. (math 47% / reading 39%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 834 students, 67% FRL); Fivay High School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,610 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 48% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 365 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.03%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,187
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -21.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13026 Cypress Hill Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,189 (+15%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $122 | 72 |
| 13317 Norman Cir | 1.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,060 (+2%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 11606 Baywood Meadows Dr #2 | 1.09mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-3%) | 2mo | $93,500 | $93 | 55 |
| 13002 Titleist Dr | 0.90mi | 2/2.0 | 1,103 (+7%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 12830 Lake Tree Ln | 0.84mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 12449 Eagle Lake Ave | 1.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (-11%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $179 | 41 |
| 12202 Great Basin Dr | 1.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+18%) | 0mo | $284,457 | $233 | 35 |
| 13038 Titleist Dr | 0.89mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+19%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $203 | 35 |
| 12809 Kellywood Cir | 1.30mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-23%) | 2mo | $197,500 | $247 | 34 |
| 12236 Great Basin Dr | 1.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+18%) | 1mo | $289,540 | $237 | 34 |
| 12260 Great Basin Dr | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+18%) | 2mo | $271,490 | $222 | 33 |
| 12192 Isle Royale Dr | 1.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+18%) | 2mo | $259,990 | $213 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $11,352
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $47,048
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34669
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,891 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $408/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$424
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $471 | +0% $442 | +5% $412 | +10% $382 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $292 | -5% $367 | +0% $442 | +5% $516 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $495 | -0.5pp $468 | base $442 | +0.5pp $415 | +1.0pp $387 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12405 Shearwater Dr Unit 12405 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 52d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 12834 Lake Tree Ln Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 7d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 12706 White Bluff Rd Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,740 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 12135 Environmental Dr #4 New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,800 | $1.45 | 73d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11550 Baywood Meadows Dr #7 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,495 | $1.48 | 73d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 13341 Tropical Breeze Way Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 54d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12065 Grizzly Ln Unit Labs New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,150 | $1.49 | 30d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12245 Grizzly Ln New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1207 | $2,280 | $1.89 | 73d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- UnfurnishedCondo land includedUnit located on 2nd floor
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees reported ~$424.55; total annual fees reported ~$5,094.56Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- HOA required; monthly HOA ~$424.55 (quarterly association fee listed)Association covers cable TV, pool, building and grounds maintenance, pest control, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and waterAssociation approval required to purchaseCommunity features include clubhouse, sidewalks, tennis courts and street lightsPets allowed (maximum ~35 lbs)Senior community
Exterior
- Parking
- No parking details provided
- Utilities
- Public sewerWater available and connectedElectricity availableCable availablePhone availableUnderground utilitiesSewer connected
- Home design
- CondominiumResidential propertyOne story (building listed as one level)Faces south
- Construction
- Stucco and frame constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt as part of Building #118
- Exterior features
- BalconySliding doorsAsphalt/paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRangeRange hoodRefrigeratorDisposal
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tileTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenThermostatTotal of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryer hookup (electric)Inside laundry roomElectric water heaterWater softener
HOA detail $424/mo · $5,088/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $105,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $105,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $105,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $105,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $105,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $105,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $105,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $105,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $105,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $105,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $105,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $105,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $105,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $105,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $105,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $105,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $105,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $105,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $105,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $105,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $105,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $105,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $105,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $105,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $105,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $105,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $105,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $105,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $105,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $105,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $105,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $105,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $105,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $105,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $105,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $105,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $408 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$463/yr (+$39/mo · 113.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$408
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,816
- − Management
- −$1,816
- − HOA
- −$5,088
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $4,108
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$986
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This is a good condition townhouse with a good exterior and interior. It has a good roof and landscaping. The home is move-in ready and has good potential for updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls and trim — Painting the exterior walls and trim can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Clean and maintain the landscaping — A well-maintained landscape can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Inspect and clean the HVAC system — A clean and functioning HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, which can increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hudson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #4856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 45,307
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,618
- Household income
- $58,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.24%
- Current HPI
- 321.5862
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-26.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Listed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-28 Price Changed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-19 Listed $142,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $408 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…