CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3592 Weidrick Rd
B+ Composite 79.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,900

3592 Weidrick Rd · Stannards, NY 14895
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,815 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 318 Days on market
Built 1960 0.30 ac lot $27/sqft · 71% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Covered front porch
  • New electric service

Tags

NEW ELECTRIC SERVICEWELL PUMPMETAL ROOFHOT WATER TANKWATER PRESSURE TANKCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#940 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, employment B; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $50k implies a 524% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.49%
Cap rate
21.57%
Cash-on-cash
54.54%
DSCR
3.43
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,410
List price
$49,900
Delta
-69.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2422 State Route 19 Rd 0.34mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,909 (+5%) 21mo $60,900 $32 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$40,739
Equity at exit
$44,954
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
8.88×
Total profit
$110,085
Equity at exit
$96,945

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14895

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $976
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 698-char remark
    Show marketing remark (698 chars)

    Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.

  2. 2026-04-14
    price $49,900 698-char remark
    Show marketing remark (698 chars)

    Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.

  3. 2025-09-07
    price $63,900 698-char remark
    Show marketing remark (698 chars)

    Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.

  4. 2025-06-24
    listed $72,900 Active 698-char remark
    Show marketing remark (698 chars)

    Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.

  5. 2016-11-16
    soldstatus $8,000 Closed Sale or Rented 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.

  6. 2016-10-15
    status Pending Sale 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.

  7. 2016-09-28
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.

  8. 2016-08-26
    price $17,000 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.

  9. 2016-08-15
    listed $18,000 Active 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,885
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$5,368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,191
− Management
−$1,191
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$2,140
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$514
After-tax cash flow
$1,989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wellsville Central School District
NCES district ID
3630480
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$39,964
Composite
39.71/100
National rank
#3903
State rank
#442 of 590 in NY

Livability — Stannards

Score
61/100
State rank
#940
US rank
#18310

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,117

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,362 people
By 2030
43,078 · -5.0%
By 2040
38,031 · -16.2%
By 2050
33,634 · -25.9%
By 2075
25,285 · -44.3%
By 2100
18,902 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.16%
Current HPI
280.3569
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-09-07 Price Changed $63,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $72,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-11-16 Sold (MLS) $8,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-10-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2016-09-28 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2016-08-26 Price Changed $17,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-08-15 Listed $18,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,068 · +144.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…