3592 Weidrick Rd · Stannards, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Covered front porch
- New electric service
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#940 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, employment B; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $50k implies a 524% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.54%
- DSCR
- 3.43
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,410
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -69.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2422 State Route 19 Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,909 (+5%) | 21mo | $60,900 | $32 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $40,739
- Equity at exit
- $44,954
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.88×
- Total profit
- $110,085
- Equity at exit
- $96,945
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14895
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.
-
2026-04-14price $49,900 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.
-
2025-09-07price $63,900 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.
-
2025-06-24$72,900 Active 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Great potential for a business, farmette, residence or recreational property. Located on . 30 acres within walking distance of the Genesee River. Great for fishing and kayaking. This home has a new 100 amp electric service, well pump, metal roof, hot water tank and water pressure tank. Enter the home from the covered front porch. This ranch style home has a living room, kitchen, 2 bedrooms, a full bath and a covered enclosed area that could be used for an outdoor kitchen. This property also has a newer 24 X 40 metal building with a plywood floor that could be a second home or a workshop. There are also 2 outbuildings and partial fenced yard. Seller makes no guarantees on the septic system.
-
2016-11-16soldstatus $8,000 Closed Sale or Rented 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.
-
2016-10-15status Pending Sale 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.
-
2016-09-28historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.
-
2016-08-26price $17,000 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.
-
2016-08-15$18,000 Active 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Fixer upper in pleasant location between Stannards Rd. and River Rd. in town of Wellsville. This ranch style home is offered as-is and is priced to sell. Proof of cash funds required.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,191
- − Management
- −$1,191
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $2,140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$514
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630480
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,964
- Composite
- 39.71/100
- National rank
- #3903
- State rank
- #442 of 590 in NY
Livability — Stannards
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #940
- US rank
- #18310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,117
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,362 people
- By 2030
- 43,078 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 38,031 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 33,634 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 25,285 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 18,902 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.16%
- Current HPI
- 280.3569
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+177.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $63,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $72,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-11-16 Sold (MLS) $8,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-10-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-09-28 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2016-08-26 Price Changed $17,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-08-15 Listed $18,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,068 · +144.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…