5505 S Grove St #42 · Rocklin, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 32 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 38 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully remodeled 2002 manufactured home located in one of Rocklin's desirable 55+ communities! Thoughtfully updated from top to bottom within the last year, this move-in-ready home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and low-maintenance living. Step inside to discover a bright and inviting interior featuring a stunning remodeled kitchen, updated bathrooms, new flooring throughout, fresh interior and exterior paint, and a quiet, high-quality dishwasher that adds convenience to everyday living. Beyond the cosmetic updates, extensive improvements include new HVAC ductwork to enhance year-round comfort and efficiency. Outside, you'll appreciate the attractive new la
Key facts
- New landscaping
- Remodeled kitchen
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Land lease community; monthly land lease amount $1,250; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Attached covered parking; Guest parking available; No enclosed garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220V outlet in kitchen; Individual electric meter; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Double-wide; Built in 2002; Updated/remodeled; Wood skirting
- Construction: Shingle roof; Karsten Villa make
- Exterior features: Backyard; Close to clubhouse; Front and back landscaping; Shed(s) on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Range hood; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Breakfast area
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tile surfaces; Tub with shower over; Shower stall(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Dual-pane windows; Great room living area; Breakfast area in kitchen; Dining bar and additional dining space in kitchen; Updated/remodeled interior; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $702 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.7% in Rocklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#136 in CA, #4,755 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Rocklin Unified (suburban): math 44% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #96 of 517 in CA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.26%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,904
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5505 S Grove St #51 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+4%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $98 | 85 |
| 4140 Lakeside Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $44 | 80 |
| 4264 Fernwood St #54 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-2%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $77 | 79 |
| 5505 S Grove St #202 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 11mo | $218,000 | $151 | 72 |
| 4137 Oakmont St | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 6mo | $124,000 | $86 | 68 |
| 4267 Fernwood St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $104 | 68 |
| 4271 Fernwood St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 1mo | $149,500 | $104 | 68 |
| 4319 Oakwood St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (+3%) | 10mo | $151,000 | $110 | 67 |
| 4261 Fernwood St #33 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $104 | 63 |
| 4212 Rockwood St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,141 (-14%) | 0mo | $158,600 | $139 | 62 |
| 5265 Oakwood Ct | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 8mo | $119,800 | $83 | 58 |
| 4280 Cedarwood St #67 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 11mo | $139,900 | $97 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $14,588
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $69,698
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95677
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 159
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,507 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$526
- Net cashflow
- $702
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5415 S Grove St Rocklin, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $2,100 | $2.75 | 2d | 6 | 0.08mi |
| 5800 Woodside Dr Rocklin, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,239 | $2.63 | 3d | 4 | 0.42mi |
| 4769 Racetrack Cir Rocklin, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,950 | $2.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4710 El Cid Ct Rocklin, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $2,575 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3041 Twin Creeks Ln Rocklin, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $2,695 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5051 El Don Dr Rocklin, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,270 | $2.02 | 2d | 7 | 1.31mi |
| 1501 Cobble Creek Cir Rocklin, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $2,300 | $2.61 | 2d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 2601 Chalmette Ct Rocklin, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1724 | $2,800 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6115 Brookside Cir Rocklin, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1102 | $2,706 | $2.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6115 Brookside Cir Rocklin, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1150 | $2,814 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6115 Brookside Cir Rocklin, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1150 | $2,783 | $2.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5180 Rocklin Rd Rocklin, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $2,552 | $2.98 | 2d | 9 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,407
- − Management
- −$2,407
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $5,824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,398
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rocklin Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0600013
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,858
- Composite
- 49.58/100
- National rank
- #1984
- State rank
- #96 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rocklin
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #4755
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rocklin, CA
- County
- Placer County · 390,510 people
- City population
- 73,077
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,206
- Household income
- $105,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1107.0
Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 422,709 people
- By 2030
- 444,249 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 480,192 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 506,390 · +19.8%
- By 2075
- 550,219 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 547,760 · +29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15% Asian 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Placer
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -443.08%
- Current HPI
- 278.1359
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.93%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…