🏷️ Likely Rental
605 Ellis Ave · Ashland, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,175
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; 2 stories
- Exterior features: 50' x 140' lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $1k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $842 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1k).
- Recommended offer: $1k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 866.5% vs local median 3.5% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in WI, #750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, employment F.
- Ashland School District (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #325 of 342 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $35 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $329 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 15% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $850; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 91.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 866.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3072.13%
- DSCR
- 137.69
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 163.53×
- Total profit
- $53,471
- Equity at exit
- $175
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 352.68×
- Total profit
- $115,704
- Equity at exit
- $102
Cash invested: $329 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54806
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,076 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $18/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $842
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $294
- Closing costs
- $35
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,175 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,175 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,175 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,175 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,175 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,175 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,175 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,175 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$1,025 Active
-
2026-03-10soldstatus $850 Closed 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.
-
2026-02-10price $850 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.
-
2026-01-09$900 Active 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.
-
2023-05-09soldstatus $134,000
-
2023-04-21soldstatus $134,000 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Great true duplex in the heart of Ashland. Upstairs downstairs duplex with three (!) separate furnaces (two forced air and a backup whole-house boiler system). Electrical recently redone by Jolma Electric - separate electric. Trees removed. New kitchen and bathroom installed upstairs. New kitchen downstairs. hardwood floors downstairs. Upgraded windows. Lots of upgrades and updates on this recent remodel. Should be a great earner for years to come. Current income around $2,000 per month total. Two separate electric meters are installed. A new gas meter could easily be installed. Beautiful corner lot - right across from Kwik Trip. Could become a commercial investment in the future.
-
2022-09-29$135,000 689-char remark
Show marketing remark (689 chars)
Great true duplex in the heart of Ashland. Upstairs downstairs duplex with three (!) separate furnaces (two forced air and a backup whole-house boiler system). Electrical recently redone by Jolma Electric - separate electric. Trees removed. New kitchen and bathroom installed upstairs. New kitchen downstairs. hardwood floors downstairs. Upgraded windows. Lots of upgrades and updates on this recent remodel. Should be a great earner for years to come. Current income around $2,000 per month total. Two separate electric meters are installed. A new gas meter could easily be installed. Beautiful corner lot - right across from Kwik Trip. Could become a commercial investment in the future.
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2021-02-05soldstatus $50,000
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2021-02-05soldstatus $50,000
-
2019-10-29$58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66
- − Property taxes
- −$18
- − Insurance
- −$6
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,033
- − Management
- −$1,033
- − Depreciation
- −$34
- Taxable income
- $10,727
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,575
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500510
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,114
- Composite
- 19.4/100
- National rank
- #8782
- State rank
- #325 of 342 in WI
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,708
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,204 people
- By 2030
- 14,639 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 13,198 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 11,841 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 9,755 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 8,675 · -42.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Native American 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: 37.1pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+30.8 2008: D+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.11%
- Current HPI
- 168.3012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-98.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $1,025 LSAR
- 2026-03-10 Sold (MLS) $850 LSAR
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $850 LSAR
- 2026-01-09 Listed $900 LSAR
- 2023-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $134,000 LSAR
- 2022-09-29 Listed $135,000 LSAR
- 2021-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-05 Sold (MLS) $50,000 LSAR
- 2019-10-29 Listed $58,000 LSAR
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,325 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…