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605 Ellis Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,175

605 Ellis Ave · Ashland, WI 54806
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 900 sqft · Other · 26 Days on market
Built 1950 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; 2 stories
  • Exterior features: 50' x 140' lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,175 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $1k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $842 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1k).
  • Recommended offer: $1k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 866.5% vs local median 3.5% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in WI, #750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, employment F.
  • Ashland School District (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #325 of 342 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $35 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $329 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 15% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $850; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,157 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
91.61%
Cap rate
866.49%
Cash-on-cash
3072.13%
DSCR
137.69
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
163.53×
Total profit
$53,471
Equity at exit
$175
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
352.68×
Total profit
$115,704
Equity at exit
$102

Cash invested: $329 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54806

Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,076 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6
Tax est. 1.5%
$1 /mo · $18/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$842

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10
Max offer price $1,175
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$294
Closing costs
$35
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,175 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,175 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,175 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,175 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,175 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,175 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,175 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,175 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-05-14
    listed $1,025 Active
  10. 2026-03-10
    soldstatus $850 Closed 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.

  11. 2026-02-10
    price $850 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.

  12. 2026-01-09
    listed $900 Active 532-char remark
    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Spacious one-bedroom apartment located on the main floor of a duplex. The unit features a large kitchen that seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and basement, offering a functional and open layout. The apartment is pet-friendly, and tenants are responsible for lawn care and snow removal, in addition to all utilities. Applicants must successfully pass a background and credit check. Prior to move-in, the tenant is required to pay prorated first month’s rent, along with the applicable security and pet deposit.

  13. 2023-05-09
    soldstatus $134,000
  14. 2023-04-21
    soldstatus $134,000 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Great true duplex in the heart of Ashland. Upstairs downstairs duplex with three (!) separate furnaces (two forced air and a backup whole-house boiler system). Electrical recently redone by Jolma Electric - separate electric. Trees removed. New kitchen and bathroom installed upstairs. New kitchen downstairs. hardwood floors downstairs. Upgraded windows. Lots of upgrades and updates on this recent remodel. Should be a great earner for years to come. Current income around $2,000 per month total. Two separate electric meters are installed. A new gas meter could easily be installed. Beautiful corner lot - right across from Kwik Trip. Could become a commercial investment in the future.

  15. 2022-09-29
    listed $135,000 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Great true duplex in the heart of Ashland. Upstairs downstairs duplex with three (!) separate furnaces (two forced air and a backup whole-house boiler system). Electrical recently redone by Jolma Electric - separate electric. Trees removed. New kitchen and bathroom installed upstairs. New kitchen downstairs. hardwood floors downstairs. Upgraded windows. Lots of upgrades and updates on this recent remodel. Should be a great earner for years to come. Current income around $2,000 per month total. Two separate electric meters are installed. A new gas meter could easily be installed. Beautiful corner lot - right across from Kwik Trip. Could become a commercial investment in the future.

  16. 2021-02-05
    soldstatus $50,000
  17. 2021-02-05
    soldstatus $50,000
  18. 2019-10-29
    listed $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,917
− Mortgage interest
−$66
− Property taxes
−$18
− Insurance
−$6
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,033
− Management
−$1,033
− Depreciation
−$34
Taxable income
$10,727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,575
After-tax cash flow
$7,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland School District
NCES district ID
5500510
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,114
Composite
19.4/100
National rank
#8782
State rank
#325 of 342 in WI

Livability — Ashland

Score
84/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#750

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, WI
Population (ZIP)
11,708

Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,204 people
By 2030
14,639 · -3.7%
By 2040
13,198 · -13.2%
By 2050
11,841 · -22.1%
By 2075
9,755 · -35.8%
By 2100
8,675 · -42.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Native American 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: 37.1pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+30.8 2008: D+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.11%
Current HPI
168.3012
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $1,025 LSAR
  • 2026-03-10 Sold (MLS) $850 LSAR
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $850 LSAR
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $900 LSAR
  • 2023-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $134,000 LSAR
  • 2022-09-29 Listed $135,000 LSAR
  • 2021-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-05 Sold (MLS) $50,000 LSAR
  • 2019-10-29 Listed $58,000 LSAR

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,325 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…