610 3rd St · Syracuse, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity! This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision—bring your ideas and transform this space into the perfect home or investment. With a little TLC, this home offers great potential for equity growth. Enjoy the charm of small-town living while staying close to schools, shopping, and dining. Don’t miss your chance to make this one your own—schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($795 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in NE, #1,404 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Syracuse-Dunbar-Avoca Schools (rural): math 65% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #16 of 111 in NE (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Otoe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Otoe County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.15%
- DSCR
- 3.77
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,500
- List price
- $30,000
- Delta
- -74.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $22,851
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 65.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.62×
- Total profit
- $55,590
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68446
- Home prices YoY
- -6.8%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $279/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $444 | +0% $435 | +5% $427 | +10% $418 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $372 | -5% $404 | +0% $435 | +5% $466 | +10% $498 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $443 | base $435 | +0.5pp $427 | +1.0pp $419 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $30,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $30,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $30,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $30,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $30,000 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Investor opportunity! This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision—bring your ideas and transform this space into the perfect home or investment. With a little TLC, this home offers great potential for equity growth. Enjoy the charm of small-town living while staying close to schools, shopping, and dining. Don’t miss your chance to make this one your own—schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-15price $35,000 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Investor opportunity! This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision—bring your ideas and transform this space into the perfect home or investment. With a little TLC, this home offers great potential for equity growth. Enjoy the charm of small-town living while staying close to schools, shopping, and dining. Don’t miss your chance to make this one your own—schedule a showing today!
-
2025-08-15$45,000 New 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
Investor opportunity! This property is a blank canvas ready for your vision—bring your ideas and transform this space into the perfect home or investment. With a little TLC, this home offers great potential for equity growth. Enjoy the charm of small-town living while staying close to schools, shopping, and dining. Don’t miss your chance to make this one your own—schedule a showing today!
-
2025-01-17soldstatus $38,000 Sold 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Investment opportunity in Syracuse, NE. Handyman or sweat equity could turn this into a nice 1 bedroom rental. Home will be cleaned out before closing. Huge detached garage & corner lot.
-
2025-01-11status Pending 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Investment opportunity in Syracuse, NE. Handyman or sweat equity could turn this into a nice 1 bedroom rental. Home will be cleaned out before closing. Huge detached garage & corner lot.
-
2025-01-07$35,000 New 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Investment opportunity in Syracuse, NE. Handyman or sweat equity could turn this into a nice 1 bedroom rental. Home will be cleaned out before closing. Huge detached garage & corner lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $279 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $519 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$240/yr (+$20/mo · 86.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$279
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$763
- − Management
- −$763
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $5,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse-Dunbar-Avoca Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3177550
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,897
- Composite
- 52.13/100
- National rank
- #1616
- State rank
- #16 of 111 in NE
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #1404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,871
Population outlook (Otoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,475 people
- By 2030
- 16,627 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 16,911 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 17,186 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 18,549 · +12.6%
- By 2100
- 19,590 · +18.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otoe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.9) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -38.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.9 2020: R+37.8 2016: R+38.7 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.32%
- Current HPI
- 237.2558
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-14.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $30,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $35,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $45,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-01-17 Sold (MLS) $38,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-01-11 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2025-01-07 Listed $35,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $279 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…