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161 An County Road 422
D Composite 43.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,500

161 An County Road 422 · Palestine, TX 75803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1975 0.36 ac lot $109/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

Key facts

  • Two closets
  • Updated floors
  • Privacy-fenced yard

Tags

UPDATED FLOORSTWO CLOSETSSPACIOUS LAUNDRY ROOMPRIVACY-FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank (aerobic septic)
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; One story
  • Construction: HardiPlank-type siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Built using typical residential construction (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Patio; Wood fencing / fenced yard; Level lot; County road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Electric oven; Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Tankless water heater; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Tankless water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($819/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (8.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
  • Westwood ISD (town): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #659 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $999 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,330 (8.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.03%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$323,993
List price
$144,500
Delta
-55.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-19,059
Equity at exit
$21,545
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-10,969
Equity at exit
$12,494

Cash invested: $40,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75803

Home prices YoY
-34.0%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,323 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$758
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,910/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,237
Max offer price $144,500
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,125
Closing costs
$4,335
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $144,500 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,500 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,500 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,500 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,500 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,500 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $144,500 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,500 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,500 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,500 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,500 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,500 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,500 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,500 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,500 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,500 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $144,500 Active 633-char remark
  18. 2026-04-02
    listed $150,000 Active 370-char remark
  19. 2026-01-22
    price $150,000
  20. 2025-09-03
    listed $165,000 Active
  21. 2024-06-10
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  22. 2024-06-10
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  23. 2024-06-10
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  24. 2024-05-16
    status Pending
  25. 2024-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  26. 2024-05-08
    historical Active Option Contract
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  27. 2024-03-30
    price $129,500
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  28. 2024-03-30
    price $129,500
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  29. 2024-02-27
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  30. 2024-02-27
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Country Living !! This Lovely 2 bedroom 1 bath Charming home just outside of town is move in ready. Has open concept Large Living area Kitchen and Dining combined with breakfast bar. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet and storage space. and kitchen pantry. New appliances 2022 New flooring 2023 and tankless water heater Spacious master bedroom with 2 closets. Bathroom Tub Shower combo open area with lots of cabinet space. Large laundry room for that extra storage. Covered Patio and large fenced backyard. outside storage building. New Roof in 2022. Foundation for the entire house has been replaced from the ground up. Many extras. Come see and make this your home!

  31. 2005-12-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,910 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,644 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$735/yr (+$61/mo · 38.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,880
− Mortgage interest
−$8,094
− Property taxes
−$1,910
− Insurance
−$722
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,270
− Management
−$1,270
− Depreciation
−$4,204
Taxable loss
−$1,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$382
After-tax cash flow
$1,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood ISD
NCES district ID
4843290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,200
Composite
24.41/100
National rank
#7684
State rank
#659 of 826 in TX

Livability — Palestine

Score
66/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#12357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,531
Population (ZIP)
21,390

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,663 people
By 2030
57,373 · +1.3%
By 2040
58,960 · +4.1%
By 2050
59,073 · +4.3%
By 2075
53,737 · -5.2%
By 2100
42,516 · -25.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.92%
Current HPI
186.4885
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $144,500 PAOR
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $150,000 PAOR
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $165,000 PAOR
  • 2024-06-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-06-10 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2024-06-10 Sold (MLS) PAOR
  • 2024-05-16 Pending NTREIS
  • 2024-05-08 Contingent PAOR
  • 2024-05-08 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2024-03-30 Price Changed $129,500 PAOR
  • 2024-03-30 Price Changed $129,500 NTREIS
  • 2024-02-27 Listed $135,000 PAOR
  • 2024-02-27 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,910 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…