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104 Burrs Mill Rd
B- Composite 69.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

104 Burrs Mill Rd · Leisuretowne, NJ 08088
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,834 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 248 Days on market
Built 1930 1.03 ac lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Auction UPDATE! Due to the prior high bidder’s failure to timely deliver the required deposit in accordance with the auction terms, the property is being re-offered for sale and the bid deadline has been extended. Rare opportunity in desirable Southampton Township. This 1-acre property offers exceptional potential for renovation or new construction in a prime location. The existing 1930 home provides a great start while the true value lies in the expansive lot and long-term possibilities. Whether you’re an investor, builder, or buyer looking to create a custom home, this property delivers flexibility and upside in a sought-after area. Property is currently occupied. Showings available during scheduled preview events with pre-registration required. Auction bidding opens at $125,000 plus buyer’s premium. Seller reserves the right to accept an offer prior to auction close. Take advantage of this unique chance to secure land and opportunity in Southampton Township. The seller is seeking all cash as is bids.

Key facts

  • Existing dwelling
  • 1 acre lot
  • Land

Tags

1 ACRE LOTEXISTING DWELLINGLANDLOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $868 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.0% in Leisuretowne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#516 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lenape Regional High School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #136 of 472 in NJ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $135k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.55%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$33,616
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$101,345
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08088

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,656 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$466 /mo · $5,596/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$558
Net cashflow
$868

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,558
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $944 -5% $906 +0% $868 +5% $830 +10% $791
Rent -10% $658 -5% $763 +0% $868 +5% $973 +10% $1,078
Rate -1.0pp $936 -0.5pp $902 base $868 +0.5pp $833 +1.0pp $797

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 248 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 242 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 240 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 239 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 231 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 229 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 228 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 227 DOM
  16. 2026-02-17
    status Active 1036-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1036 chars)

    Auction UPDATE! Due to the prior high bidder’s failure to timely deliver the required deposit in accordance with the auction terms, the property is being re-offered for sale and the bid deadline has been extended. Rare opportunity in desirable Southampton Township. This 1-acre property offers exceptional potential for renovation or new construction in a prime location. The existing 1930 home provides a great start while the true value lies in the expansive lot and long-term possibilities. Whether you’re an investor, builder, or buyer looking to create a custom home, this property delivers flexibility and upside in a sought-after area. Property is currently occupied. Showings available during scheduled preview events with pre-registration required. Auction bidding opens at $125,000 plus buyer’s premium. Seller reserves the right to accept an offer prior to auction close. Take advantage of this unique chance to secure land and opportunity in Southampton Township. The seller is seeking all cash as is bids.

  17. 2026-02-16
    historical 1036-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1036 chars)

    Auction UPDATE! Due to the prior high bidder’s failure to timely deliver the required deposit in accordance with the auction terms, the property is being re-offered for sale and the bid deadline has been extended. Rare opportunity in desirable Southampton Township. This 1-acre property offers exceptional potential for renovation or new construction in a prime location. The existing 1930 home provides a great start while the true value lies in the expansive lot and long-term possibilities. Whether you’re an investor, builder, or buyer looking to create a custom home, this property delivers flexibility and upside in a sought-after area. Property is currently occupied. Showings available during scheduled preview events with pre-registration required. Auction bidding opens at $125,000 plus buyer’s premium. Seller reserves the right to accept an offer prior to auction close. Take advantage of this unique chance to secure land and opportunity in Southampton Township. The seller is seeking all cash as is bids.

  18. 2025-10-16
    listed $125,000 Active 1036-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1036 chars)

    Auction UPDATE! Due to the prior high bidder’s failure to timely deliver the required deposit in accordance with the auction terms, the property is being re-offered for sale and the bid deadline has been extended. Rare opportunity in desirable Southampton Township. This 1-acre property offers exceptional potential for renovation or new construction in a prime location. The existing 1930 home provides a great start while the true value lies in the expansive lot and long-term possibilities. Whether you’re an investor, builder, or buyer looking to create a custom home, this property delivers flexibility and upside in a sought-after area. Property is currently occupied. Showings available during scheduled preview events with pre-registration required. Auction bidding opens at $125,000 plus buyer’s premium. Seller reserves the right to accept an offer prior to auction close. Take advantage of this unique chance to secure land and opportunity in Southampton Township. The seller is seeking all cash as is bids.

  19. 2013-10-24
    soldstatus $85,000
  20. 2012-06-07
    historical
  21. 2011-11-18
    listed $127,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,596 · $466/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,596 · $466/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,873
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$5,596
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,550
− Management
−$2,550
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$9,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,163
After-tax cash flow
$8,250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lenape Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3408490
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$98,739
Composite
44.86/100
National rank
#2724
State rank
#136 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Leisuretowne

Score
57/100
State rank
#516
US rank
#21971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,153

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.45%
Current HPI
302.9094
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2012-06-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-11-18 Listed $127,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,596 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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